The trick with baseball is finding value on the best teams and following those teams all-season long. This power ranking will be based on “against the spread” performance from week to week. In baseball, “the spread” is the “run line.” The money line is the straight up record. When a team wins a regular season game, they have just beaten the money line, but possibly, did not beat the run line.

This ranking is not a popularity contest or which team has the best lineup or the best rotation. This ranking is about beating the spread, (money line/run line). We will base this ranking from week to week on who has the better record against the spread and the team’s performance from a betting perspective. In baseball, this usually means that the best teams, with the best records, are the decisively better teams to bet on, however, there are exceptions.

Previous Rankings: Week 9, Week 8, Week 7Week 6Week 5Week 4Week 3Week 2Week 1Preseason

MLB ATS Trends:

Road Teams: 473-407 53.75%

Home Teams: 407-473 46.25%

Favorites: 389-491 44.20%

Underdogs: 491-389 55.80 %

Road Favorites: 146-164 47.10%

Road Underdogs: 327-243 57.37%

Home Favorites: 243-327 42.63%

Home Underdogs: 164-146 52.90%

Over & Under Trends:

Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 32-47.06% | Unders- 36 52.94%

Non-Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 391 50.52% | Unders- 383 49.48%

Total Games: Overs- 423 50.24% | Unders- 419 49.76

1. Los Angeles Dodgers

World Series Odds: +400
Record: 41-19 SU and 30-30-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 2nd

The Dodgers and Twins are in a back and forth battle for the best record and who would have thunk it! This lineup is on fire and they get on base, making them the best team to bet the money line.

2. Minnesota Twins

World Series Odds: +1000
Record: 40-18 SU and 34-24-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 1st

The Twins keep swinging the sticks and they keep winning. As they head to Cleveland they will be fine, look for the hot hitting to continue.

3. Houston Astros

World Series Odds: +350
Record: 40-20 SU and 32-28-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 3rd

The Astros are coming into their own and Verlander is tied for the best record in the majors. This team is talented, and they will be right here all-season.

4. New York Yankees

World Series Odds: +550
Record: 38-20 SU and 33-25-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 4th

The Yankees did what they had to do against the Sox and that was take the series. Once they get healthy, they will be the best team in baseball, easily.

5. Tampa Bay Rays

World Series Odds: +1000
Record: 35-22 SU and 33-24-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 5th

Tampa has pitching to burn but they had better show up against out of division team, they didn’t do it against the Twins.

6. Milwaukee Brewers

World Series Odds: +1400
Record: 34-26 SU and 32-28-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 8th

Nelson is back and that should give the Brewers the addition they so badly need. This steam is on the cusp of greatness and a good bet, not a great bet, but solid

7. Philadelphia Phillies

World Series Odds: +900
Record: 33-26 SU and 30-29-0 Rune Line
Previous Rank: 6th

The Phillies are an odd team and different guys step up during letdown from others. If they can put this thing together, they will win a pile of baseball games.

8. Atlanta Braves

World Series Odds: +1600
Record: 32-27 SU and 30-29-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 9th

The Braves have pitching woes in the form of ERA and that’s a problem. Right now, they are an average risk, but things could fall of the boat.

9. Colorado Rockies

World Series Odds: +5500
Record: 31-27 SU and 31-27-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 19th

The Rockies are sick right now with 8 straight wins. This steam is on fire but still find themselves 9 games behind the boys in blue. It’s going to be an uphill battle.

10. Chicago Cubs

World Series Odds: +1200
Record: 31-26 SU and 28-29-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 7th

The Cubs cannot get the pitching right and with Lester going belly up, this is a big problem. Betting on this team is the flip of a coin.

11. Arizona Diamondbacks

World Series Odds: +4000
Record: 30-30 SU and 36-24-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 10th

The D Backs are not looking great but against the run line they are the second-best team in baseball. Go figure! Bet the run line.

12. Texas Rangers

World Series Odds: +7500
Record: 30-27 SU and 35-22-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 17th

The Rangers are playing much better baseball than anyone expected and are squarely in the wild card race; it’s just now June… Bet the run line and be careful on the money line with Joey Gallo out for 2 weeks.

13. St. Louis Cardinals

World Series Odds: +1600
Record: 30-28 SU and 32-26-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 14th

The Cardinals swept the Cubs and that could happen if they were the worst team in baseball. Sweeps are what the Cubs and Cardinals do to each other. Don’t get excited, this team is not that great but good enough to stay above .500 on the run line.

14. San Diego Padres

World Series Odds: +3300
Record: 30-29 SU and 28-31-0 Run line
Previous Rank: 12th

The Machado experiment is not exactly the homecoming of the late Tony Gwynn (God rest his soul). This steam has some talent, but they have no idea how to make it work. Run from these guys.

15. Boston Red Sox

World Series Odds: +1200
Record: 30-29 SU and 24-35-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 13th

The Red Sox are the second to worst team against the run line. When they get beat, they get their butts kicked. Keep betting against them run line and lay off money line.

16. Los Angeles Angels

World Series Odds: +8000
Record: 29-30 SU and 34-25-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 20th

It’s amazing how this team can be so close but yet so far away. The Angels are in full rebuild mode, lets face the facts. Nothing is going to happen for this this season.

17. Oakland Athletics

World Series Odds: +6000
Record: 29-30 SU and 28-31-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 11th
How different a team can look after the Astros leave town! The A’s had a great week prior but don’t count on this team for any kind of real consistency.

18. Cleveland Indians

World Series Odds: +2500
Record: 29-30 SU and 27-32-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 16th

The Indians haven’t picked it up like we thought they would and in fact, they are a huge disappointment. Another flip of the coin should you decide to bet them.

19. Chicago White Sox

World Series Odds: +25000
Record: 29-30 SU and 26-33-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 22nd

The White Sox have a bullpen that shows big potential but other than that, not much here folks. The safe bet is run line against.

20. Pittsburgh Pirates

World Series Odds: +6000
Record: 28-30 SU and 28-30-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 18th

The Pirates have no pitching because their all on the DL. This steam is snake bit. Don’t bet on them, they are stagnant and going nowhere.

21. New York Mets

World Series Odds: +2800
Record: 28-31 SU and 28-31-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 15th

The Met-same old gig; boring! They are not a good team, run from them.

22. Cincinnati Reds

World Series Odds: +15000
Record: 27-32 SU and 31-28-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 21st

The Reds are looking worse than we thought but given how bad they were last season, they look better than anyone projected.

23. Washington Nationals

World Series Odds: +4000
Record: 26-33 SU and 26-33-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 24th

Bet against this team on the run line and expect to win money. They are up and down and all-over the place. If anything handicap well and bet against.

24. Seattle Mariners

World Series Odds: +12500
Record: 25-37 SU and 29-33-0 Rune Line
Previous Rank: 23rd

The Mariners have not collapsed to this degree in a long time. The front office needs run, the ownership need run, and this team need to be sold! Yes, we said it. Sell this team to someone that want to win, the long-suffering fans deserve better.

25. San Francisco Giants

World Series Odds: +50000
Record: 24-34 SU and 25-33-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 25th

The Giants are still awful and will win you money if you bet against them. Stay consistent, when they beat you double down!

26. Detroit Tigers

World Series Odds: +50000
Record: 22-34 SU and 25-31-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 27th

The Tigers have Dixon and that’s a great thing for the fans. That’s all they have, otherwise, they are a wreck and completely untrustworthy.

27. Miami Marlins

World Series Odds: +200000
Record: 21-36 SU and 26-31-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 29th

The Marlins have a chance to turn this season around. If they can find hitting they would be a well-balanced team. The pitching is solid, look for better things from these guys.

28. Toronto Blue Jays

World Series Odds: +25000
Record: 21-38 SU and 26-33-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 26th

The jays are not playing well on any level. This team is much like Seattle (other than a couple of WS wins) take that glorious past away and the Jays are Seattle allover again.

29. Kansas City Royals

World Series Odds: +200000
Record: 19-40 SU and 30-29-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 28th

The Royals can’t find offense if it hits them in the mouth. Maybe Cheslor Cuthbert will add some pop in the lineup. Certainly bet against this team. Keep them on your top-five to bet against.

30. Baltimore Orioles

World Series Odds: +150000
Record: 18-41 SU and 26-36-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 30th

The Orioles are actually allowing less homers than the Mariners and Angels, but don’t be fooled, they give up the long ball like backyard whiffle ball. This team is batting practice. Stick to your guns and bet against this team on the money line and watch carefully the run line, handicap thoroughly or stay away.

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