The trick with baseball is finding value on the best teams and following those teams all season long. This power ranking will be based on “against the spread” performance from week to week. In baseball, “the spread” is the “run line.” The money line is the straight-up record. When a team wins a regular-season game, they have just beaten the money line, but possibly, did not beat the run line.
This ranking is not a popularity contest or which team has the best lineup or the best rotation. This ranking is about beating the spread, (money line/run line). We will base this ranking from week to week on who has a better record against the spread and the team’s performance from a betting perspective. In baseball, this usually means that the best teams, with the best records, are the decisively better teams to bet on, however, there are exceptions.
Previous Rankings: Week16, Week 15, Week 14, Week 13, Week 12, Week 11, Week 10, Week 9, Week 8, Week 7, Week 6, Week 5, Week 4, Week 3, Week 2, Week 1, Preseason MLB ATS Trends: Road Teams: 812-677 54.53% Home Teams: 677-812 45.47% Favorites: 659-830 44.26% Underdogs: 830-659 55.74% Road Favorites: 258-276 48.31% Road Underdogs: 554-401 58.01% Home Favorites: 401-554 41.99% Home Underdogs: 276-258 51.69% Over & Under Trends: Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 60 49.18% | Unders- 62 50.82% Non-Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 656 50.54% | Unders- 642 49.46% Total Games: Overs- 716 50.42% | Unders- 704 49.58% World Series Odds: +275 Record: 67-35 SU and 49-53-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 1
The Dodgers lost Chris Taylor but next man up with Gavin Lux. This team is deep, keep betting.
World Series Odds: +325 Record: 64-34 SU and 59-39-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 2
The Yankees have no idea where their rotation will end up but hey, it matters not. This team is talented and ill have no issues late.
World Series Odds: +350 Record: 64-37 SU and 50-51-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 4
The Astros have had their battles staying healthy but on a great turn now. This team is right where they want to be and Gurriel is on fire.
World Series Odds: +1000 Record: 60-38 SU and 51-47-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 3
The Twins are .500 without Buxton and that’s a telling point as to where they end up. Be careful, really, lay-off.
World Series Odds: +850 Record: 60-41 SU and 50-51-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 5
The Braves must make a move to shore up the rotation or this division could be stolen. They are no doubt the most talented team in the NL East, but injuries are a bother.
World Series Odds: +2200 Record: 57-41 SU and 50-48-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 8
The Indians are smacking the baseball right now and catching up with the Twins. This new outfield is working.
World Series Odds: +3300 Record: 57-43 SU and 56-44-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 7
“The Oakland A’s have turned the corner and we can say; they are a good team. Bet them”. Olson has proven his worth and this team is for real.
World Series Odds: +2500 Record: 57-45 SU and 52-50-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 6
The Rays take a big hit this week and losing does that! Let’s be honest; a lot of talent but not enough to challenge the Yankees.
World Series Odds: +1600 Record: 54-45 SU and 49-50-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 10
The Cubs have lost one game since that All-Star break, can they keep it up against St. Louis and Milwaukee this week? This week say it all in this division.
World Series Odds: +2500 Record: 54-46 SU and 43-57-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 9
The Red Sox have offense, their pitching is old, haggard, and beat.
World Series Odds: +2500 Record: 52-46 SU and 52-46-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 11
“The Nationals are hot and have certainly picked it up, We don’t think their rotation holds-up.” That held up, and will…
World Series Odds: +2000 Record: 53-48 SU and 50-51-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 15
“The Brewers are right here in the middle of the pack at 15, however, they can steal the NL Central. Look for their play to be motivated.” Yea, NO… ha, wow, what a collapse by the bullie in July. Count this team out unless they make some big moves for the pen.
World Series Odds: +2800 Record: 51-47 SU and 51-47-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 16
The Cards are 2.5 games behind the Cubs and can beat them straight up this week. Let’s see where the chips fall.
World Series Odds: +2500 Record: 52-48 SU and 49-51-0 Rune Line Previous Rank: 13
The Phillies pen is awful, and their depth is non-existent, almost everywhere. Harper was a waste of money. Not because he’s not that great—because the Phillies need a team, not one guy.
World Series Odds: +12500 Record: 52-49 SU and 58-43-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 14
This team is experiencing growing pains and may not go anywhere this season but keep betting the run line.
World Series Odds: +10000 Record: 50-49 SU and 57-42-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 12
The Rangers took a dump and we knew it was coming, however, they always keep games close.
World Series Odds: +6600 Record: 50-50 SU and 52-46-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 22
The Giants have an amazing story to tell. At .500 this is a success. The beginning of the season looked like a disaster.
World Series Odds: +6600 Record: 50-50 SU and 57-43-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 18
The D Backs gain no ground and stay at .500, still, they are a great RL wager.
World Series Odds: +10000 Record: 46-46 SU and 46-53-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 17
The Rockies are mismanaged. This team has talent, they should be winning, and they are stagnant.
World Series Odds: +10000 Record: 47-52 SU and 45-54-0 Run line Previous Rank: 19
The Padres are getting worse, keep betting them against the run line
World Series Odds: +10000 Record: 46-52 SU and 48-50-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 20 The Pirates are a middle team that can’t get over the hump. Stay a long ways away. World Series Odds: +50000 Record: 44-52 SU and 44-52-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 21
Another middle team that is simply not worth the stress to bet, they win some and lose some, it’s the flip of a coin.
World Series Odds: +20000 Record: 45-54 SU and 47-52-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 24
The Mets move up one based on record but don’t get excited, they are going nowhere quickly!
World Series Odds: +10000 Record: 44-53 SU and 50-47-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 23
The Reads have more questions than answers at 97 games in. We thought they had enough to make .500; who knows…
World Series Odds: +250000 Record: 40-62 SU and 48-54-0 Rune Line Previous Rank: 25
Keep betting Mariners games over, it’s the only way to bet this team.
World Series Odds: +250000 Record: 38-63 SU and 47-54-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 27
The Blue Jays keep stinking the joint up and they are fun to bet against.
World Series Odds: +250000 Record: 36-61 SU and 49-48-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 26
The Marlins have no gas in the tank and their rotation is getting hammered. Betting against this team is always a good choice.
World Series Odds: +250000 Record: 37-64 SU and 50-51-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 28
The Royals are still bad but stay afloat with the run line. Be careful, the run line could win you some money.
World Series Odds: +250000 Record: 31-67 SU and 41-57-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 30
Still awful, but out of the MLB cellar. This team has dug deep and found a way to win a few. Stay miles away.
World Series Odds: +250000 Record: 30-65 SU and 37-58-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 29
“The Detroit tigers once sold Howard Johnson for Walt Terrell. Although the Tigers have had some decent teams since the front office clearly has no desire to build a winning team.” We stand by this and feel sorry for the faithful in Rock City. Welcome to the cellar Tigers, you are officially the worst team in baseball.
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