The trick with baseball is finding value on the best teams and following those teams all season long. This power ranking will be based on “against the spread” performance from week to week. In baseball, “the spread” is the “run line.” The money line is the straight-up record. When a team wins a regular-season game, they have just beaten the money line, but possibly, did not beat the run line. 

This ranking is not a popularity contest or which team has the best lineup or the best rotation. This ranking is about beating the spread, (money line/run line). We will base this ranking from week to week on who has a better record against the spread and the team’s performance from a betting perspective. In baseball, this usually means that the best teams, with the best records, are the decisively better teams to bet on, however, there are exceptions. 

Previous Rankings: Week16Week 15Week 14Week 13Week 12Week 11Week 10, Week 9, Week 8, Week 7Week 6Week 5Week 4Week 3Week 2Week 1Preseason

MLB ATS Trends:

Road Teams: 812-677 54.53%
Home Teams: 677-812 45.47%
Favorites: 659-830 44.26%
Underdogs: 830-659 55.74%
Road Favorites: 258-276 48.31%
Road Underdogs: 554-401 58.01%
Home Favorites: 401-554 41.99%
Home Underdogs: 276-258 51.69%

Over & Under Trends:

Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 60 49.18% | Unders- 62 50.82%
Non-Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 656 50.54% | Unders- 642 49.46%
Total Games: Overs- 716 50.42% | Unders- 704 49.58%

1. Los Angeles Dodgers

World Series Odds: +275
Record: 67-35 SU and 49-53-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 1

The Dodgers lost Chris Taylor but next man up with Gavin Lux. This team is deep, keep betting. 

2. New York Yankees

World Series Odds: +325
Record: 64-34 SU and 59-39-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 2

The Yankees have no idea where their rotation will end up but hey, it matters not. This team is talented and ill have no issues late. 

3. Houston Astros

World Series Odds: +350
Record: 64-37 SU and 50-51-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 4

The Astros have had their battles staying healthy but on a great turn now. This team is right where they want to be and Gurriel is on fire. 

4. Minnesota Twins

World Series Odds: +1000
Record: 60-38 SU and 51-47-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 3

The Twins are .500 without Buxton and that’s a telling point as to where they end up. Be careful, really, lay-off.

5. Atlanta Braves

World Series Odds: +850
Record: 60-41 SU and 50-51-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 5

The Braves must make a move to shore up the rotation or this division could be stolen. They are no doubt the most talented team in the NL East, but injuries are a bother.

6. Cleveland Indians

World Series Odds: +2200 
Record: 57-41 SU and 50-48-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 8

The Indians are smacking the baseball right now and catching up with the Twins. This new outfield is working. 

7. Oakland Athletics

World Series Odds: +3300
Record: 57-43 SU and 56-44-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 7

“The Oakland A’s have turned the corner and we can say; they are a good team. Bet them”. Olson has proven his worth and this team is for real.

8. Tampa Bay Rays

World Series Odds: +2500
Record: 57-45 SU and 52-50-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 6

The Rays take a big hit this week and losing does that! Let’s be honest; a lot of talent but not enough to challenge the Yankees.

9. Chicago Cubs 

World Series Odds: +1600
Record: 54-45 SU and 49-50-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 10

The Cubs have lost one game since that All-Star break, can they keep it up against St. Louis and Milwaukee this week? This week say it all in this division. 

10. Boston Red Sox

World Series Odds: +2500
Record: 54-46 SU and 43-57-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 9

The Red Sox have offense, their pitching is old, haggard, and beat.

11. Washington Nationals

World Series Odds: +2500
Record: 52-46 SU and 52-46-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 11

“The Nationals are hot and have certainly picked it up, We don’t think their rotation holds-up.” That held up, and will…

12. Milwaukee Brewers

World Series Odds: +2000
Record: 53-48 SU and 50-51-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 15 

“The Brewers are right here in the middle of the pack at 15, however, they can steal the NL Central. Look for their play to be motivated.” Yea, NO… ha, wow, what a collapse by the bullie in July. Count this team out unless they make some big moves for the pen. 

13. St. Louis Cardinals 

World Series Odds: +2800
Record: 51-47 SU and 51-47-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 16

The Cards are 2.5 games behind the Cubs and can beat them straight up this week. Let’s see where the chips fall. 

14. Philadelphia Phillies 

World Series Odds: +2500
Record: 52-48 SU and 49-51-0 Rune Line
Previous Rank: 13

The Phillies pen is awful, and their depth is non-existent, almost everywhere. Harper was a waste of money. Not because he’s not that great—because the Phillies need a team, not one guy.  

15. Los Angeles Angels

World Series Odds: +12500
Record: 52-49 SU and 58-43-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 14

This team is experiencing growing pains and may not go anywhere this season but keep betting the run line. 

16. Texas Rangers

World Series Odds: +10000
Record: 50-49 SU and 57-42-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 12

The Rangers took a dump and we knew it was coming, however, they always keep games close. 

17. San Francisco Giants

World Series Odds: +6600
Record: 50-50 SU and 52-46-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 22

The Giants have an amazing story to tell. At .500 this is a success. The beginning of the season looked like a disaster.  

18. Arizona Diamondbacks 

World Series Odds: +6600
Record: 50-50 SU and 57-43-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 18

The D Backs gain no ground and stay at .500, still, they are a great RL wager. 

19. Colorado Rockies 

World Series Odds: +10000
Record: 46-46 SU and 46-53-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 17

The Rockies are mismanaged. This team has talent, they should be winning, and they are stagnant. 

20. San Diego Padres

World Series Odds: +10000
Record: 47-52 SU and 45-54-0 Run line
Previous Rank: 19

The Padres are getting worse, keep betting them against the run line

21. Pittsburgh Pirates

World Series Odds: +10000
Record: 46-52 SU and 48-50-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 20
The Pirates are a middle team that can’t get over the hump. Stay a long ways away. 

22. Chicago White Sox

World Series Odds: +50000
Record: 44-52 SU and 44-52-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 21

Another middle team that is simply not worth the stress to bet, they win some and lose some, it’s the flip of a coin. 

23. New York Mets  

World Series Odds: +20000
Record: 45-54 SU and 47-52-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 24

The Mets move up one based on record but don’t get excited, they are going nowhere quickly!

24. Cincinnati Reds

World Series Odds: +10000
Record: 44-53 SU and 50-47-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 23

The Reads have more questions than answers at 97 games in. We thought they had enough to make .500; who knows…  

25. Seattle Mariners 

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 40-62 SU and 48-54-0 Rune Line 
Previous Rank: 25

Keep betting Mariners games over, it’s the only way to bet this team. 

26. Toronto Blue Jays

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 38-63 SU and 47-54-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 27

The Blue Jays keep stinking the joint up and they are fun to bet against. 

27. Miami Marlins 

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 36-61 SU and 49-48-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 26

The Marlins have no gas in the tank and their rotation is getting hammered. Betting against this team is always a good choice.

28. Kansas City Royals

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 37-64 SU and 50-51-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 28

The Royals are still bad but stay afloat with the run line. Be careful, the run line could win you some money. 

29. Baltimore Orioles

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 31-67 SU and 41-57-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 30

Still awful, but out of the MLB cellar. This team has dug deep and found a way to win a few. Stay miles away. 

30. Detroit Tigers

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 30-65 SU and 37-58-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 29

“The Detroit tigers once sold Howard Johnson for Walt Terrell. Although the Tigers have had some decent teams since the front office clearly has no desire to build a winning team.” We stand by this and feel sorry for the faithful in Rock City. Welcome to the cellar Tigers, you are officially the worst team in baseball.  

Regular Season MLB Game Previews and Predictions


About the Author

Having lived in several different states I am never quite sure where I should say that I am from! I was born in WA. State. I did not grow up there. My family moved to Idaho when I was a young boy, where we lived for 11 years. As a result of my fathers occupation; I have had the privilage to experience many states and different cultures around the country.

I have lived in WA, OR, CA, ID, CO, KS, NY, MO, TX, FL, IN, NV, AZ, and Hawaii. I have also lived in Puerto Rico, Mexico, El Salvador, Costa Rica, and Nicaragua. I have managed to visit or live in, 49 of our great states and travel extensively throughout Central America. My travels have taken me to such places as Sinaloa, Chiapas, Myan ruins in Guatemala, and many, many others.  I believe that I have had the honor to visit every Mexican state.

I am an English teacher by trade and love helping others improve thir lives through education. I have taught for institutions such as The University of Washington (Go Huskies) Berlitz, and a few other international language academies. I have obtained many degrees in the school of hard knocks, by way of old fashioned experience!  Such as driving taxi, working at McDonalds, working for giant retailers as well as giant casinos! A jack of all trades for sure.

I love sports! My passion is sports. I love talking about it, arguing about it, following and keeping up with the current state of affairs. Having lived in many places helps me connect with many different fan bases. As a writer, this is a real advantage to have. I can connect with a Yankees fan, or a Chargers fan.  I love it and I hope to continue to give readers a different perspective than the average, run of the mill story will give them.

As you read my stories; I hope you enjoy them. I hope they make you think, maybe make you happy and even make you mad! As you read further you may discover that over the years; I have been influenced by people such as Jim Rome, or Colin Cowherd. These are the kinds of folks that make me think and make me see sports differently.

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