2018-2019 Scores&Stats MLB Betting Power Rankings: Week 3
by Brad Mullins Scores & Statson
The trick with baseball is finding value on the best teams and following those teams all season long. This power ranking will be based on “against the spread” performance from week to week. In baseball, “the spread” is the “run line.” The money line is the straight up record. When a team wins a regular season game, they have just beaten the money line, but possibly, did not beat the run line.
This ranking is not a popularity contest or which team has the best lineup or the best rotation. This ranking is about beating the spread, (money line/run line). We will base this ranking from week to week on who has a better record against the spread and the team’s performance from a betting perspective. In baseball, this usually means that the best teams, with the best records, are the decisively better teams to bet on, however, there are exceptions.
World Series Odds:+5000 Record: 12-4 SU and 12-4-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 5
The Rays are on a hot streak with Austin Meadows tearing it up at the plate. This week will prove to be a nice test for bettors as they take on 3 with Baltimore and 3 against Boston. Right now, this team is nailing and they are door closers against the run line.
World Series Odds:+5000 Record: 13-5 SU and 12-6-0 Rune Line Previous Rank: 1
If the Mariners are legitimate, then they will step up this week and take care of business against Cleveland and the Angels. The Mariners took a beating against Houston and this should be their sign; they are human. They can still win a pile of games. This week will be a great test of their ability to bounce back.
World Series Odds:+10000 Record: 11-6 SU and 10-7-0 Run line Previous Rank: 8
The Padres can end up being a very good bet this year at least here in the early going, coming off a 7-3 road trip is a boon, and now facing 2 against Colorado and 4 against the Reds. This week should be great for the run line and should see at least 4 wins.
World Series Odds:+650 Record: 11-5 SU and 6-10-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 17
The Astros have finally found their groove with a 9-game winning streak heading into Oakland and Texas. When the Astros dial it up, they are hard to beat. Altuve is on a roll and this team will be tough. They are here in the 4-spot, based on the run line and record, but look for them to move on up quickly.
World Series Odds:+3400 Record: 10-9 SU and 11-8-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 10
Khris Davis and his league-leading 10 homers, is carrying this team, the bad news; they are facing the Astros, the good news; they will not see Verlander or Cole. Could be a great week for the A’s. They are hitting and that matters.
World Series Odds:+815 Record: 9-8 SU and 7-10-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 2
The Dodgers are in unfamiliar territory for this time of year looking up at the Padres. Will this last? It could, the Padres are very solid, and the Dodgers are doing what they do best, disappoint. Look, don’t jump off the bridge just yet, the Dodgers have a ton of talent and they will figure this out, just as the Sox and Yankees.
World Series Odds:+10000 Record: 5-9 SU and 6-8-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 30
The Reds have picked it up, they are still not a team to count on or for that matter even a team to bet on, however, they may be a team to NOT bet against. The Reds are motivated in LA, and Puig returns. Last season comes to mind… Food for thought…
World Series Odds:+1350 Record: 5-9 SU and 5-9-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 29
All of the other guys can say all of the great things about the Cubs, let them say it because we are looking at what they actually do… They are 5-9 against both, the money line as well as the run line. This team is not a worthy bet.
World Series Odds:+2800 Record: 4-12 SU and 5-11-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 25
The Rockies and the Marlins should form their own 2-man league and just beat each other up. These two can’t buy wins. The Rockies have some pitching and Marquez will be tough, and a bright spot. Follow him every five days and win a little, otherwise run!