2018-2019 Scores&Stats MLB Betting Power Rankings: Week 5
by Brad Mullins Scores & Statson
The trick with baseball is finding value on the best teams and following those teams all-season long. This power ranking will be based on “against the spread” performance from week to week. In baseball, “the spread” is the “run line.” The money line is the straight up record. When a team wins a regular season game, they have just beaten the money line, but possibly, did not beat the run line.
This ranking is not a popularity contest or which team has the best lineup or the best rotation. This ranking is about beating the spread, (money line/run line). We will base this ranking from week to week on who has the better record against the spread and the team’s performance from a betting perspective. In baseball, this usually means that the best teams, with the best records, are the decisively better teams to bet on, however, there are exceptions.
World Series Odds:+1400 Record: 18-9 SU and 18-9-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 3rd
The Rays continue to pound the baseball and continue racking up the wins, best of all, they’re finding ways to win on the road. The home wins will come their way, getting over in Fenway is a big bonus. This team is the real deal against the spread and run line.
World Series Odds:+3300 Record: 16-9 SU and 12-13-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 7th
The Twins have amassed the second-best record in baseball and that matter to bettors. Michael Pineda may not be Maddux, Glavine, or Smoltz just yet, however, he is a much-needed asset that sat out the entire last season. The Twins have a serious chance to win this division.
World Series Odds:+1400 Record: 17-10 SU and 18-9-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 9th
The Cardinals keep getting better and have picked up the pace with a sweep of the Brewers, that’s a big deal. This team has balance, and Paul Goldschmidt! Look for the Cardinals to keep bringing big bats and consistent pitching, along with fantastic defense. They will win a lot of baseball games.
World Series Odds:+1800 Record: 17-11 SU and 15-13-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 14th
With the return of Sanchez, the Yankees are back in business and with 8 homers in just 15 games, Sanchez is more than an asset, he’s a key element. This team is blessed with the best pen in the majors along with a murderers row; that once it gets hot, watch out.
World Series Odds:+500 Record: 17-11 SU and 11-17-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 4th
The Astros have found their way back and that means taking over the AL West by two games. The Astros have World Series winning talent, and that will be hard to keep in check. The Mariners are hanging around but will that last all-season? Find a first baseman -- this team is the best in baseball.
World Series Odds:+2800 Record: 18-13 SU and 17-14-0 Rune Line Previous Rank: 1st
“The Seattle Mariners are legitimate.” Is what we said last week, we stick by that. This team is growing and along with growing comes pain… Beckham is hitting but must find his inner Jeter! Santana will never find his inner Griffey! However, he has potential. The team must limit the errors.
World Series Odds:+5000 Record: 16-13 SU and 19-10-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 16th
The D Backs had their chances last season and we knew they had potential, we didn’t see it coming along this soon. What a nice surprise for the fans in Phoenix. This team has pitched their buts off in the early going, they’re going to need this trend going into the summer – the NL west is brutal. Right now they are a solid bet, especially against the run line.
World Series Odds:+900 Record: 16-12 SU and 14-14-0 Rune Line Previous Rank: 10th
“The Phils are disappointing for one reason; they are not 18-3! Come on now, Harper is good, and he will have a lasting impact for years to come but expecting a miracle; it’s too early. This team will get better and fight all-season for the division.” (last week’s comments) Baseball is a grind, the Phils will be tough, keep giving them time.
World Series Odds:+3300 Record: 16-12 SU and 14-14-0 Run line Previous Rank: 12th
Yates is the bomb diggity and the bats have stayed steady. The run line is a losing proposition right now, but the money line is making money. Will it continue? Depends on the Dodgers, Diamondbacks, and Rockies. The Giants don’t count! The NL West is tough, there may not be a real path this season, but who knows… Time will tell.
World Series Odds:+1400 Record: 15-12 SU and 14-13-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 11th
The Indians are not-- and have not been a bad baseball team. These guys can “hit like Mays and run like Hays”! Can they pitch, and can it last all-season? Yes, why not? They need a gun and who knows, they might find one, should they… they will win the division.
World Series Odds:+1400 Record: 15-14 SU and 14-15-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 5th
The Brewers must find offense on the road or they bring no real value to the betting table, however, they are ripping it up at home. Count on them win the home series, stay away from the road and never bet the run line.
World Series Odds:+5000 Record: 13-15 SU and 14-14-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 23rd
The Rockies may catch fire, maybe we gave up on them too soon, but in the NL East, no probably not. Bet this team when playing out of the division. With 10 of the last 13, they have been solid against the money line.
World Series Odds:+4000 Record: 12-14 SU and 12-14-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 6th
The Pirates are struggling after having been on fire the previous week. This one is most definitely “the same old Pirates” they have come back down to earth. Polanco will get back in the groove, possibly their fate has a better landing this week.
Odds: +1000 Record: 11-17 SU and 8-20-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 24th
““The Red Sox are awful right now, it won’t last, look at the Astros. The Sox will be fine and will find their groove.” We still believe this team is loaded with talent and they will start winning. Be cautious, don’t bet the farm, let them get back in their own time. “” We still believe…
World Series Odds:+50000 Record: 9-19 SU and 15-13-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 29th
“The Royals are still a bad baseball team and what’s amazing, their run line record… Look, this will not last, they are the Royals and unfortunately for their fans, they are awful.” It will continue to not last, start betting against the Royals.
World Series Odds:+50000 Record: 8-20 SU and 11-17-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 30th
The Marlins lack talent in the lineup, however, they are working on a very good rotation, along with an elite bullpen! Pitching spells winning, this team will not stay here in 30th, not going to happen.