The trick with baseball is finding value on the best teams and following those teams all season long. This power ranking will be based on “against the spread” performance from week to week. In baseball, “the spread” is the “run line.” The money line is the straight up record. When a team wins a regular season game, they have just beaten the money line, but possibly, did not beat the run line.
This ranking is not a popularity contest or which team has the best lineup or the best rotation. This ranking is about beating the spread, (money line/run line). We will base this ranking from week to week on who has a better record against the spread and the team’s performance from a betting perspective. In baseball, this usually means that the best teams, with the best records, are the decisively better teams to bet on, however, there are exceptions.
Previous Rankings: Week 6, Week 5, Week 4, Week 3, Week 2, Week 1, Preseason MLB ATS Trends: Road Teams: 331-288 52.08% Home Teams: 288-313 47.92% Favorites: 262-339 43.59% Underdogs: 339-262 56.41 % Road Favorites: 90-116 43.69% Road Underdogs: 223-172 56.46% Home Favorites: 172-223 43.54% Home Underdogs: 116-90 56.31% Over & Under Trends: Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 18-39.13% | Unders- 28 60.87% Non-Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 275 51.40% | Unders- 260 48.60% Total Games: Overs- 293 50.43% | Unders- 288 49.57% World Series Odds: +500 Record: 27-16 SU and 18-25-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 10
And sure enough, here are the ‘boys in blue’. The Dodgers are on top and just might stay. A 7-3 for the last 10 really helped. Keep hitting, keep pitching and the Dodgers will run away with the NL West.
World Series Odds: +400 Record: 26-15 SU and 20-21-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 9
The Astros are even better, having gone 8-2 in the last 10 with a 16-4 home record! Do the math, this team is on pace to lose less than 16 at home!
World Series Odds: +2000 Record: 25-14 SU and 21-18-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 3
The Twins have reversed roles with the Indians. Last season the Indians owned the division, this year, the Twins look really good.
World Series Odds: +1200 Record: 24-15 SU and 24-15-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 1
Tampa has a great rotation that’s still worthy of a rune line bet but, in the end, can they hang in the AL East? It’s not looking good.
World Series Odds: +1000 Record: 24-14 SU and 20-18-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 2
The Cubs are rocking at the right time. The Cardinals had a bad week, the Brewers had a good week and Pittsburgh won’t be here for the long haul. This Cubs team is solid and a great bet.
World Series Odds: +600 Record: 24-16 SU and 21-19-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 6
The Yankees will finish with the best record in baseball! You heard it here. This team is a great team and one that bettors will love in the “dog days’.
World Series Odds: +1400 Record: 24-18 SU and 22-20-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 15
The Brewers picked it up and are on a mini-comeback. This team has players, they have bats, but lack depth on the mound, it will snag them late in the season.
World Series Odds: +900 Record: 23-16 SU and 21-18-0 Rune Line Previous Rank: 7
The Phillies are not quite there, and, in the NL East, they had better pick it up. The Braves are talented, is Harper enough… Maybe.
World Series Odds: +3300 Record: 22-19 SU and 25-16-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 4
The D Backs took a dump and they are awful at home. They are still a nice story but be careful.
World Series Odds: +1600 Record: 22-19 SU and 24-17-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 5
The Cardinals are still a great bet on the run line, but a mess in the division. They will improve, stay faithful Cards fans.
World Series Odds: +3300 Record: 22-19 SU and 22-19-0 Run line Previous Rank: 13
The Padres are strong enough to say “bet them” but pick your spots.
World Series Odds: +1000 Record: 22-19 SU and 18-23-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 19
The Red Sox! What a turnaround and we have called it for six weeks. This team has a WS winning lineup, they aren’t dead! Bet them.
World Series Odds: +1800 Record: 21-18 SU and 19-20-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 8
The Indians have the big wood and that’s all folks, it’s not enough.
World Series Odds: +2000 Record: 21-20 SU and 20-21-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 14
The Braves are winning enough to stay afloat but sub .500 on the betting line. Be patient, wait them out and bet out of the division.
World Series Odds: +5000 Record: 20-23 SU and 23-20-0 Rune Line Previous Rank: 17
The Mariners are not awful, but they are not good. They need a “real” skipper, they need pitching, and Felix must go. Really, he won’t go on his own, so pay him, and boot him. Cut your losses.
World Series Odds: +5000 Record: 20-17 SU and 19-18-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 11
The Pirates are 7-3 in the last 10. Who expected this? Pick your spots, they are a very inconsistent bet.
World Series Odds: +8000 Record: 19-21 SU and 24-16-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 21
The Angels are a fantastic bet against the run line. This team has heart and they still have the best player in the game.
World Series Odds: +2800 Record: 19-20 SU and 21-18-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 18
The Mets are not totally a zoo, but close. When will this wealthy team spend money? Probably never.
World Series Odds: +6600 Record: 19-21 SU and 19-21-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 23
The Rockies are a mystery and who knows if they have much in the tank. It looks as if they will get worse before they get better.
World Series Odds: +8000 Record: 19-23 SU and 17-25-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 27
The A’s are not very good, but they play in the AL West. That’s good news for everyone. Houston will not be caught but the A’s have the staff if they can get it together.
World Series Odds: +20000 Record: 18-23 SU and 23-18-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 26
The Reds played .500 ball this past week and that’s better than expected. They are still a better bet against than for.
World Series Odds: +25000 Record: 18-20 SU and 19-19-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 16
The Tigers are right there in the middle of the pack and going nowhere. Their pitching is struggling, and the sticks are quiet.
World Series Odds: +20000 Record: 18-21 SU and 18-21-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 20
The White Sox are playing in a bad division with some talent but have no leadership whatsoever. This team is on its way to at least 80 losses; making for a bad bet.
World Series Odds: +15000 Record: 17-21 SU and 21-17-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 12
The Rangers are no longer the great run line bet. They are bad all the way around and anyway you slice it. Bet against this team if you want to win money.
World Series Odds: +20000 Record: 17-23 SU and 18-22-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 24
The Giants are still a mess and nowhere worthy of betting on. Bet against them, be careful against the run line.
World Series Odds: +20000 Record: 16-24 SU and 18-22-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 22
“The Toronto Blue Jays are going nowhere and quickly.” This is what we said last week, and man were they awful! This team is one of the worst in baseball and it shows. The problem—run line, they aren’t that bad. Pick your spots and win with this team.
World Series Odds: +3300 Record: 16-24 SU and 14-26-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 25
The Nationals have had two bad weeks and things look bleak for this team. They are a great bet against the run line; they get blown out often.
World Series Odds: +150000 Record: 14-27 SU and 21-20-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 29
Just as with the Texas Rangers, the Royals are finally showing their true colors. This is a bad baseball team and they are going to get worse.
World Series Odds: +100000 Record: 14-26 SU and 17-23-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 28
The Orioles are another team that refuses to get blown out. Be very careful betting against them on the run line but money line—bet against.
World Series Odds: +100000 Record: 10-29 SU and 14-25-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 30
The worst team in the majors and it’s not close. This team is the worst team in a very long time. They are awful. They are on pace to lose close to 130 games! But against them and stay consistent, you will win a small fortune when it’s all said and done.
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