2018-2019 Scores&Stats MLB Betting Power Rankings: Week 1
by Brad Mullins Scores & Statson
The trick with baseball is finding value on the best teams and following those teams all season long. This power ranking will be based on “against the spread” performance from week to week. In baseball, “the spread” is the “run line.” The money line is the straight up record. When a team wins a regular season game, they have just beaten the money line, but possibly, did not beat the run line.
This ranking is not a popularity contest or which team has the best lineup or the best rotation. This ranking is about beating the spread, (money line/run line). We will base this ranking from week to week on who has a better record against the spread and the team’s performance from a betting perspective. In baseball, this usually means that the best teams, with the best records, are the decisively better teams to bet on, however, there are exceptions.
World Series Odds:+5000 Record: 5-1 SU and 6-0-0 Rune Line Previous Rank: 20
The Seattle Mariners stuck it to the Red Sox and it was embarrassing. We get it, it’s early, it’s extremely early but this was a dream opening for M’s fans. Here is the bottom line; they are pounding the baseball with an eyepopping g 48 runs scored! Insanity! Will it continue? Who knows, but right now, the Mariners are hot.
World Series Odds:+900 Record: 3-0 SU and 3-0-0 Rune Line Previous Rank: 5
The Phils have done exactly what their fans expected them to do, win. They got their $300 million dollar man and the offense in this town is ramped up and ready to take over the division. The Braves had better keep one eye open as well as the Mets. This team can hit, run, score and defend.
World Series Odds:+1400 Record: 3-1 SU and 3-1-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 17
Do not doubt the Los Angeles Dodgers. This team went out in the offseason and got the bullie shored up and they got a starter or two. They are blasting the baseball with 42 runs scored, however, they have allowed 22, that’s troublesome early but nice on the over.
World Series Odds:+40000 Record: 2-1 SU and 2-1-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 14
The A’s won so many games last season with a dire lack of pitching. This team is all about the fundamentals of the game and they showed it with 90+ wins. They will be hard pressed to match last season.
World Series Odds:+20000 Record: 2-1 SU and 2-1-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 30
The Orioles have already done their job; take it to the Yankees. Season over! They have the opportunity to start fresh and whether their pitching holds up on any level is the question, right now, they are a good bet to keep games close.
World Series Odds:+2500 Record: 2-2 SU and 2-2-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 28
Another middle of the pack baseball team that’s hoping for some kind of rags to riches story. Not going to happen. They refuse to spend money, and, in this league, you must spend it to win it. I.E. Phillies.
World Series Odds:+4000 Record: 2-2 SU and 2-2-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 12th
The Rockies pressed the NL West last season and they were close. They have the ability to get hot at any given moment but consistently is the problem. This team can win 80+ games and maybe more if they find a solid back-half to the rotation.
World Series Odds:+8000 Record: 2-2 SU and 2-2-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 29
This may be Jeter’s team, but they are a long way from 1998. They may as well be on the moon. Paul O’Neil has left the building, along with Bernie, Mo, and 15 other stars. Having said that, they are rebuilding, and they have a ton of money to get what they want when they want it.
World Series Odds: +700 Record: 3-1 SU and 2-2-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 1st
With the best player in baseball one would think the Angels would be in the brink of greatness, not this year. As much as this team coughed up for Trout, they need to match on a rotation that’s relevant.
World Series Odds:+1200 Record: 1-2 SU and 1-2-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 22
The Pirates play great defense and that’s all folks. They need a bat, they need pitching and they need a bullpen, but they must need the bullpen first! This team will struggle to score and struggle to get on base.
World Series Odds:+2500 Record: 3-3 SU and 2-4-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 3
The Yankees will be fine. The Orioles have certainly put a damper on the opening weekend, but it matters not. The Yankees are a deep team with big bats and solid pitching with the best bullpen in baseball. They will win 95+ games.
World Series Odds:+600 Record: 1-3 SU and 1-3-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 2
The 2nd best team in baseball finds themselves here in the 26th spot on our ranking but this will be short lived. The Astros are very good and still have the best pitcher over the last five years in the MLB. Look for this team to win 100 games.
World Series Odds:+1800 Record: 1-2 SU and 0-3-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 1
The Red Sox are the best team in baseball and yes, they were taken to the woodshed by the Seattle Mariner but that was that. This team will be fine. They have a ton of hitting and a ton of pitching. The Red Sox will make a deep run and they will be a contender this entire season. They will be a solid bet, bank on it.
World Series Odds:+6600 Record: 0-3 SU and 0-3-0 Run Line Previous Rank: 7
The Braves have no bats right now and they have allowed 23 runs. They have issues and it starts on the hill. They will be better than what they appear but initially, their slow start is a huge red flag. They must get that first win under their belt.