The trick with baseball is finding value on the best teams and following those teams all season long. This power ranking will be based on “against the spread” performance from week to week. In baseball, “the spread” is the “run line.” The money line is the straight-up record. When a team wins a regular-season game, they have just beaten the money line, but possibly, did not beat the run line. 

This ranking is not a popularity contest or which team has the best lineup or the best rotation. This ranking is about beating the spread, (money line/run line). We will base this ranking from week to week on who has a better record against the spread and the team’s performance from a betting perspective. In baseball, this usually means that the best teams, with the best records, are the decisively better teams to bet on, however, there are exceptions. 


Previous Rankings: Week 19Week 18, Week 17Week16Week 15Week 14Week 13Week 12Week 11Week 10, Week 9, Week 8, Week 7Week 6Week 5Week 4Week 3Week 2Week 1Preseason


MLB ATS Trends:

Road Teams: 956-814 54.01%
Home Teams: 814-956 45.99%
Favorites: 795-975 44.92%
Underdogs: 975-795 55.38%
Road Favorites: 293-311 55.08%
Road Underdogs: 642-481 57.17%
Home Favorites: 481-642 42.83%
Home Underdogs: 333-314 51.47%

Over & Under Trends:

Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 70 48.28% | Unders- 75 51.72%
Non-Extra-Inning Games: Overs- 777 50.42% | Unders- 764 49.58%
Total Games: Overs- 847 50.24% | Unders- 839 49.76%


1. Los Angeles Dodgers

World Series Odds: +260
Record: 79-41 SU and 59-61-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 1  

The Dodgers are a great team to bet from here on out. Stay a mile away from the RL.


2. New York Yankees

World Series Odds: +450
Record: 77-41 SU and 71-47-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 2

If the Ray’s would have had their act together early, the Yankees would be in trouble. Bet this team on the RL, it’s the best bet in baseball.


3. Houston Astros 

World Series Odds: +175
Record: 77-41 SU and 62-56-0 Run Line
Previous Rank:

The Astros have come a long way through a grind it out, the last couple of months. This team has heart and grit. Bet them. 


4. Cleveland Indians

World Series Odds: +1800 
Record: 71-47 SU and 63-55-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 5

The Indians are tied for first place in the AL Central. This team is tough-minded, and they play to win nightly.


5. Minnesota Twins

World Series Odds: +1600
Record: 71-47 SU and 61-57-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 4

The Twins are 5-5 I the last ten games, the Indians are 8-2 and theirs your difference. This race heats up as the battle for the division becomes a war. 


6. Atlanta Braves

World Series Odds: +900
Record: 70-50 SU and 57-63-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 6

The Braves are right where they need to be and maintain a 6.5 game lead over the Nationals. This is a good team, but not enough. Definitely bet the ML.


7. Tampa Bay Rays

World Series Odds: +2800
Record: 69-50 SU and 60-59-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 7

The Rays are a day late and a dollar short unless the Yankees collapse. They remain a solid bet at 69-50.


8. Oakland Athletics

World Series Odds: +4000
Record: 67-51 SU and 64-54-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 8

The A’s maintain but that’s just about it, they are in a dogfight for the WC, so take them seriously. 


9. Chicago Cubs 

World Series Odds: +1700
Record: 64-54 SU and 58-60-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 9

The Cubs are worth betting when you pick your spots, pick them carefully and stay away from the RL.


10. Washington Nationals

World Series Odds: +2500
Record: 62-55 SU and 63-54-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 11 

The Nat’s are stale. They had a great run before the All-Star break but short-lived.


11. St. Louis Cardinals 

World Series Odds: +2200
Record: 61-55 SU and 61-55-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 10

The Cardinals are still in this race at just 2-games back of the Cubs. They want to win. The ML is worthy.


12. Milwaukee Brewers

World Series Odds: +2800
Record: 62-57 SU and 56-63-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 15

The Brewers picked up a couple of games on the Cubs and are now 2.5 back. They are just not a team we have confidence in with money.  


13. New York Mets  

World Series Odds: +2800
Record: 61-57 SU and 60-58-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 19

The Mets are on fire all of a sudden at 8-2 over 10. This team is healthy and have bats. We say bet them, not the “farm” but bet them.


14. Boston Red Sox

World Series Odds: +5000
Record: 62-58 SU and 51-69-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 13

The Red Sox are not worth stressing over a wager. Stay away, this team is beaten up and old. 


15. Philadelphia Phillies 

World Series Odds: +2800
Record: 60-58 SU and 55-63-0 Rune Line
Previous Rank: 12

The Phillies are back to their awfulness! They are clogged in the middle with no betting value. Possible against the RL.


16. Texas Rangers

World Series Odds: 20000
Record: 59-58 SU and 68-49-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 14

Still the second-best team in baseball against the RL. It’s working, why not bet it…


17. Arizona Diamondbacks 

World Series Odds: +7000
Record: 59-59 SU and 66-52-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 17

The D Backs are the best team in MLB when it comes to betting the RL. Pound it and make money, it’s that simple. 


18. San Francisco Giants

World Series Odds: +10000
Record: 59-60 SU and 63-56-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 16

The Giants have potential and are well managed but too little too late.  


19. Los Angeles Angels

World Series Odds: +40000
Record: 58-61 SU and 63-56-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 18

The Angels are a bizarre group but often worthy of an RL look.


20. Cincinnati Reds

World Series Odds: +12500
Record: 56-60 SU and 63-53-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 20
 
The Reds are a bad bet pick your spots on the RL, it could pay off but there are no guarantees with this group. 


21. San Diego Padres

World Series Odds: +20000
Record: 55-62 SU and 55-62-0 Run line
Previous Rank: 22

The Padres are bad against the ML. Bet against them the rest of the way. 


22. Colorado Rockies 

World Series Odds: +30000
Record: 53-65 SU and 53-65-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 21

The Rockies tanked, badly! This tea is a mess. Bet against them both ways.


23. Chicago White Sox

World Series Odds: +100000
Record: 52-64 SU and 53-63-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 23
   
The White Sox right where they are supposed to be, not good at all. Bet against them on the road and at home.


24. Pittsburgh Pirates

World Series Odds: +25000
Record: 48-69 SU and 53-64-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 24 

The Pirates are rotten. This team is most definitely worth betting against the ML.


25. Toronto Blue Jays

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 49-72 SU and 61-60-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 26
 
The Blue Jays keep games close, bet the RL is you have the stomach for it.


26. Seattle Mariners 

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 48-71 SU and 56-63-0 Rune Line 
Previous Rank: 25

The Mariners have won a couple of games in the last 2-weeks! This team needs to be gutted and they must start over. The ML against is the best bet.


27. Miami Marlins 

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 44-73 SU and 60-57-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 27

The Marlins are holding down the fort at the 4th worst team in baseball, but they do win a few on the ML. Be careful or stay away.


28. Kansas City Royals

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 43-76 SU and 57-62-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 28

The Royals have won a couple in a row but are still 3-7 in the last 10. The ML is the play on this team as well.


29. Baltimore Orioles

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 39-78 SU and 51-66-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 29

The O’s winning ways went by, by in a hurry. Bet against, they are terrible.


30. Detroit Tigers

World Series Odds: +250000
Record: 35-80 SU and 47-68-0 Run Line
Previous Rank: 30

The Tigers are 35-80 with 52 games left! This team is on pace to set an all-time losing record. This team is maybe the worst to come along in 40+ years. They went 43-119 in 2003. The worst record in the Modern Era came from the Mets in 1962, 40-120. 


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