March Madness Bubble Watch: Who Needs To Do What? Part III
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
It is Championship Week with all the major conferences playing. There is no need to discuss any of the other smaller conferences since they are all one-bid leagues. Let's talk about those squarely on the bubble and what they need to earn a bid and what prevents them from doing so.
Betting Look at Those Thought To Be on the Right Side of The Bubble
In reviewing the various websites that have - Bracketologists - here are the teams they are talking about. Of course, the results of all the teams on the bubble will decide this fate and for example, a team like Memphis winning the AAC title playing on their home floor would pull the seat on any of these wanna be's.
Betting Look at Those Thought on the Right Side of The Bubble
From the ACC, N.C. State and Clemson are prime Bubble teams. Here is where it gets interesting. They play each other in an 8/9 game on Wednesday and the loser could very well be playing in the NIT next week. The winner gets top-seeded Virginia the next day and if whoever wins their first contest, if they would upset the Cavaliers, they're headed to the tournament.
Some consider TCU a safe bet because they have 47 NET rating and are 46th in RPI. As fans and bettors of the sport, how do you overlook that fact that they are 2-6 SU and ATS to close the season and they are 7-11 in the Big 12? The Horned Frogs are also 3-8 vs. Quad 1 opponents. Maybe that is good enough in some people's eyes, but we would recommend defeating Oklahoma State and knocking off top-seeded Kansas State before expecting an invite.
The committee is not going to take three teams from the Southern Conference, even though they probably should. Wofford is the champ and they might get the 6th seed depending on what occurs. UNC-Greensboro finished second in the SoCon and 2nd in the tourney but does have lower NET ranking than Furman at 57 compared to 35. Still, Greensboro has a better regular season record in the conference and beat them in the tourney and deserve the second bid from this league. If Furman is picked, we hope it's at Indiana's expense.
Creighton is like Clemson, some like them, others do not. The Bluejays are peeking on a five-game winning streak, still, that came on the heels of losing four in a row. We are of the opinion that Creighton has to reach the Big East Finals to be taken seriously.
Betting Look at Those on the Wrong Side of The Bubble
We need to go back to 64 teams if Indiana, Alabama, and Florida actually are still thought as Bubble teams. Granted, each has a few very impressive victories. But seriously, they still have lost 14 games and are all but assured of losing another in their conference tournaments. Let's be honest, the Baltimore Orioles beat the Boston Red Sox a few times last year, did that make the O's a better-looking team? Of course not.
OK, we will cool the negativity and go in a different direction.
Though it is misnomer to think teams are chosen a truly fair and equitable way, if the Hoosiers, Crimson Tide or the Gators reach the finals of their particular tournaments, we are open-minded enough to say they deserve to be discussed and talked about by the committee.
If any team accomplished this feat, that would mean winning three games in three days and most likely two contests would be against opposing clubs thought as significantly better than they are. Do this and you deserve some respect.
However, all things being equal, our preference for one the remaining slots is Belmont, who has low 40's NET and RPI numbers and who was 5-3 vs. Quads 1 and 2.