Betting NBA Futures To Win Championship - Keep It Simple
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
Over the years, the NBA has tried to sell people how balanced their league is. During the playoffs, there are upsets, near upsets and often good to great series, once we reach the Conference Finals.
The fact of the matter is, no matter what the NBA says, no matter what kind of futures odds sportsbooks list, there is one simple answer to choosing and betting that year's eventual NBA champion.
Answer: The Best Team Always Wins
As compared to all other major professional sports, the NBA is the purist for sports. In Major League Baseball, the NFL, the NHL, and even soccer, sometimes a team gets hot at the right time and ends up winning a championship. You can go down the list at Wikipedia, review the team's record, seeds or any type of information you want to research at other websites and you can easily spot the where there were upsets.
The New York Giants won Super Bowls in 2008 and 2012, with teams were 9-7 in the regular season. The 2006 St. Louis Cardinals had an 83-79 regular season record and the 2011-12 Los Angeles Kings were the 8th seed in the Western Conference and won the Stanley Cup.
That does not happen in the NBA.
Follow The Plan and Bet on The Surest Aspect
Please note, we said the best team, not the team with the best record, though that happens often.
On occasion, a lower than expected seed wins an NBA title and that has happened and in the 21st century, as a three-seed has taken home the hardware four times. They were the L.A. Lakers (2002), Detroit (2004), San Antonio (2007) and most recently, Dallas (2011).
But note, these were not some team barely making the postseason, they were very good high-quality clubs who got even better in the postseason.
Going all the way back to 1970, only one team lower than a three-seed has EVER won an NBA title. That was the 1995 Houston Rockets. Houston was the champs the previous year. The Rockets had several key players from the 1994 champions miss anywhere from 10 to 20 games that season. Once everyone was back to health, the Rockets flew through the playoffs and became back-to-back champions.
In the history of the NBA, which goes back to 1947, the 1969 Boston Celtics (4th seed) are the only other team that was not a Top 3 seed to win a title. That is incredible material to know.
When To Bet Future's Champ
Granted, you still have six teams to choose from when considering a choice for NBA champions. However, most years, the number of actual clubs that truly standout is no more than four. That is where you have to break down the teams, consider matchups and coaching before making a pick or two.
At the same time, you have to be fully aware, your pick is not going to generate a large number of winnings, because you are betting the favorite or those on the short list.
If you wait until the regular season ends and before the playoffs begin, that is your best opportunity. But if you feel confident before then and you have the confidence of knowing who the top 3 teams in each conference will be, you could find more favorable odds.
Bottom line, you have the majority of the answer to win an NBA futures bet, the rest is up to you to close the deal.