In what has been the most competitive major conference in college football for the past several seasons, The Georgia Bulldogs still have the best chance to take down the Tide as +270 second-favorites on the list. After these two national powers, the odds fall to +1200 for the LSU Tigers and the Florida Gators with Mississippi State rounding out the top five teams at +2200.
In light of these posted futures, America’s Bookie has also released betting odds for the OVER/UNDER on each SEC team’s projected win total for the 12-game regular season.
2019 SEC Win Total Odds
Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama’s projected win total for this season is 11 games with the betting odds favoring the OVER at -125. The money line odds for the total staying UNDER are set at -105.
You would have to go all the way back to 2007 to find the last time that Alabama failed to win at least 10 games including the postseason. That was Nick Saban’s first season as head coach. His record moving forward speaks for itself with five national championships on the resume. Over the last four seasons combined, his teams have a grand total of four losses. Two were in the regular season and two were to Clemson in the national title game.
Considering that the Tide only play 12 regular season games, it’s a safe bet that they will win at least 11 games this year to, at the very least, earn a PUSH on the OVER. After last season’s embarrassing 44-16 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoff Championship, this team is going to be on a mission to win it all this time around. With LSU at home, the only real test could come against Auburn on the road in the annual season finale.
The projected wins this season for the Bulldogs is 10.5 games. The betting odds the total goes OVER are set at -210 with +165 odds the total stays UNDER.
Georgia does not face Alabama in the regular season playing in the SEC East Division. This presents a clear path back to the SEC Championship in a likely rematch against the Tide. The Bulldogs went 7-1 in conference play last season with the lone loss coming against LSU.
The biggest tests on this year’s slate should come from Notre Dame at home early in the season followed by road games against Florida and Auburn in the month of November. The Bulldogs are once again stacked on both sides of the ball, so it would be hard seeing them losing more than one of those three games. There is not that much betting value in the -210 odds for the OVER, but betting against at least 11 wins does not make all that much sense.
The Tigers’ projected wins this season has been set at nine games with the betting odds favoring the OVER at -125. The betting odds that total stays UNDER are set at -105.
Along with Florida, the Tigers are one of the few SEC teams that can play the role of spoiler against the top two teams in the conference. A loss to the Gators on the road proved costly last season, so getting them at home this year is a plus. The bad news in the schedule is Alabama on the road.
The rest of the schedule is manageable, but an early September showdown against the Big 12’s Texas Longhorns will be a good test. With the possibility of a PUSH at nine wins, I would go with the OVER as the best bet.