The Ravens are on an eight-game winning streak and have taken over first place in the AFC.
With just four weeks left in the NFL regular season, the playoff picture is becoming a bit clearer, however, the only team up to this point to clinch a division has been the Saints in the NFC South.
Every team has had a bye now, so the remaining four weeks will be full slates.
Previous Rankings: Week 12, Week 11, Week 10, Week 9, Week 8, Week 7 , Week 6, Week 5, Week 4, Week 3, Week 2, Week 1, Preseason Here are the latest NFL betting trends after week 13: • Favorites: 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS (Season: 121-70-1 SU and 83-105-4 ATS) • Favorites of 7 or more: 2-2 SU and 2-2 ATS (Season: 42-8 SU and 25-24-1 ATS) • Favorites of 3 or less: 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS (Season: 31-27-1 SU and 27-30-2 ATS) • Home Underdogs: 5-6 SU and 6-5 ATS (Season: 25-45-1 SU and 35-36 ATS)
Away underdogs (70-47-4 ATS / 59.83%) have been a great bet the entire season. I expect favorites to finish the season strong, as I can’t see dogs hitting 55+% throughout the entire regular season.
There have now been 92 overs (47.92%) and 100 unders (52.08%).
SB LIV Odds: +4000 Record: 9-3 (8-3-1 ATS) Previous Rank: 1
The Bills upset the Cowboys (26-15) on Thanksgiving Day and have now won three in a row. If the DEF (15.7 PPG - 3rd) can hold up, the Bills may have a chance to pull off an upset or two in the playoffs.
SB LIV Odds: +500 Record: 10-2 (8-4 ATS) Previous Rank: 4
NO have locked up the NFC South, but they’re still fighting for home field advantage in the playoffs and they have a huge game this week against SF. If they win on Sunday, they should win out.
SB LIV Odds: +1400 Record: 9-3 (8-4 ATS) Previous Rank: 5
The Packers have found ways to win this season, but their work isn’t done yet. They need to tighten up defensively if they want to contend, as they’re allowing 376.8 YPG (28th).
SB LIV Odds: +10000 Record: 7-5 (8-4 ATS) Previous Rank: 7
The Rams needed a win and were able to dominate the Cardinals (34-7), but the schedule is about to get tough. They play the Seahawks, Cowboys and 49ers the next three weeks. I’m fading the Rams.
SB LIV Odds: +8000 Record: 7-5 (8-4 ATS) Previous Rank: 8
Hodges started at QB and the Steelers picked up a win over the Browns (20-13). PIT are in a playoff position right now, but they’ll need the DEF (18.8 PPG - 6th) to continue playing well to lock up a WC.
SB LIV Odds: +750 Record: 10-2 (7-4-1 ATS) Previous Rank: 9
The Niners lost a close game to BAL (20-17), but they covered ATS. It would take a lot to not make the playoffs at this point, but the remaining schedule isn’t going to be easy (NO, ATL, LAR and SEA).
SB LIV Odds: N/A Record: 3-8-1 (7-4-1 ATS) Previous Rank: 2
Arizona have lost five games in a row and were blown out on Sunday. The OFF has improved under Murray this season, but the Cardinals have the worst DEF (426.3 YPG - 32nd) in the league.
SB LIV Odds: +400 Record: 10-2 (7-5 ATS) Previous Rank: 3
NE are coming off a loss to HOU (28-22), but they’re going to make the playoffs. The OFF was a bit better this week and Brady threw 3 TDs, but the DEF allowed four passing TDs.
SB LIV Odds: +700 Record: 10-2 (7-5 ATS) Previous Rank: 12
SEA won on MNF against Minny (37-30) and have now won five consecutive games. Seattle rank #3 in takeaways with 27 (11 INTs / 16 Fumbles), but the DEF allows 24.4 PPG (23rd), which has to improve.
SB LIV Odds: +1000 Record: 8-4 (7-5 ATS) Previous Rank: 14
The Chiefs are pulling away from the Raiders in the AFC West. KC dominated OAK (40-9) in W13 and they should win the division. KC will rely on the OFF (29 PPG - 3rd) if they want to win the SB.
SB LIV Odds: +3000 Record: 6-6 (7-5 ATS) Previous Rank: 6
The NFC East is terrible and whoever makes it out of the division will lose in the playoffs. DAL have beat up on soft opponents and the OFF (432.8 YPG - 1st) has had their numbers padded.
SB LIV Odds: +75000 Record: 4-8 (7-5 ATS) Previous Rank: 17
Lock made his debut finally and he looked alright (18/28 for 134 yards, 2 TDs and 1 INT) in a win over the LAC (23-20). The season is over, but DEN need to see what they have in Lock the next few weeks.
SB LIV Odds: +6600 Record: 7-5 (6-5-1 ATS) Previous Rank: 18
The Titans have won three in a row, but still need some help to make the playoffs. With two games against HOU and one against NO, making the playoffs is going to be tough.
SB LIV Odds: +15000 Record: 6-6 (6-5-1 ATS) Previous Rank: 10
The Colts have lost 4 of their last 5 games to fall out of the playoff picture. It’s tough to win games when you rank #26 in passing yards (204.8 PYPG) in today’s NFL. Indy also only score 21.8 PPG (17th).
SB LIV Odds: +250 Record: 10-2 (6-6 ATS) Previous Rank: 11
The Ravens are favored to win the Super Bowl and they’ve won 8 consecutive games. BAL rank #1 in points scored (33.8 PPG) and rushing yards (207.8 RYPG). They’ll be tough to beat in the playoffs.
SB LIV Odds: +2200 Record: 8-4 (6-6 ATS) Previous Rank: 19
HOU are coming off their biggest win of the season and they should be able to win out with games against DEN, TEN (2x) and TB, but they may struggle to cover ATS, as they’ll be big favs each week.
SB LIV Odds: +2800 Record: 8-4 (6-6 ATS) Previous Rank: 13
Cousins isn’t built to shine under the spotlight. He’s now 0-8 in MNF games in his career, which is easily the worst record out of active QBs. If Minny make the playoffs, they’ll be eliminated quickly.
SB LIV Odds: +15000 Record: 6-6 (6-6 ATS) Previous Rank: 15
Two consecutive losses have hurt the Raiders playoff chances. OAK scores 19.8 PPG (23rd), while they allow 27 PPG (28th) and they’re lucky that they’ve posted a .500 record up to this point.
SB LIV Odds: +50000 Record: 5-7 (6-6 ATS) Previous Rank: 16
Carolina have lost four consecutive games, including a brutal loss to WAS (29-21) in W13. CAR lead the NFL in sacks (3.8 SPG), but they’re allowing 26.7 PPG (26th) and 366.7 YPG (22nd).
SB LIV Odds: N/A Record: 3-9 (6-6 ATS) Previous Rank: 22
Somehow the Dolphins defeated the Eagles (37-31) in W13. Fitzpatrick threw for 365 yards and 3 TDs in the win. The next three games are winnable for MIA and could be a good bet down the stretch.
SB LIV Odds: +100000 Record: 4-8 (5-7 ATS) Previous Rank: 20
The Jets had a 3-game win streak snapped by the Bengals (22-6). The Jets didn’t turn the football over, but they couldn’t move the sticks. The Jets are now scoring 17 PPG (28th).
SB LIV Odds: +100000 Record: 4-8 (5-7 ATS) Previous Rank: 21
The Jags have lost four games in a row and have decided to bench Foles in favor of Minshew. I like the move, as Foles has proven he should have never been signed to that big contract.
SB LIV Odds: +100000 Record: 3-9 (5-7 ATS) Previous Rank: 26
WAS upset the Panthers (29-21). They rushed for 248 yards and 3 TDs in the win. Haskins struggled through the air again and I’m not sure he’s capable of growing into a franchise QB.
SB LIV Odds: N/A Record: 3-8-1 (5-7 ATS) Previous Rank: 27
The Lions have lost five games in a row and can’t stop anyone. DET allow 26.2 PPG (25th), 280.1 PYPG (30th) and 118 RYPG (23rd). Despite the struggles, DET are keeping games close as dogs.
SB LIV Odds: N/A Record: 1-11 (5-7 ATS) Previous Rank: 29
The Bengals finally got a win. They started Dalton against the Jets and he did enough to win. Cincy will be looking for a QB in this year’s draft and they should have the #1 pick.
SB LIV Odds: +30000 Record: 5-7 (4-7-1 ATS) Previous Rank: 23
The Browns needed to beat PIT, but they couldn’t get it done. Mayfield went 18/32 for 196 yards, 1 TD and 1 INT. He hasn’t been getting it done all season and he now has 14 INTs (3rd).
SB LIV Odds: +50000 Record: 5-7 (4-8 ATS) Previous Rank: 32
Winston lost a fumble, but he finally didn’t throw an INT in a win against JAX (28-11). TB have won two in a row and it wouldn’t surprise me if they finished the season on a 3-1 ATS run.
SB LIV Odds: +5000 Record: 5-7 (4-8 ATS) Previous Rank: 24
Philly are fighting for a playoff spot in the NFC East yet they inexplicably lost to MIA. They likely need to win out to win the division, which is possible with games against NYG (2x), WAS and DAL.
SB LIV Odds: N/A Record: 3-9 (4-8 ATS) Previous Rank: 25
ATL failed to cover ATS in a loss to NO (26-18). The Falcons rank #2 in passing yards (295.2 PYPG), but the DEF allows 26.9 PPG (27th) and needs an overhaul in next year’s draft.
SB LIV Odds: N/A Record: 2-10 (4-8 ATS) Previous Rank: 28
The Giants have lost 8 games in a row and have been brutal during that stretch. It’s going to take time for Jones to develop, but in the meantime they need to improve the DEF (28.2 PPG - 29th).
SB LIV Odds: +50000 Record: 4-8 (3-7-2 ATS) Previous Rank: 30
LAC lost on a last second FG against DEN after a questionable PI call. However, if LAC were playing better football this game wouldn’t have even been close. I won’t avoid LAC the rest of the year.
SB LIV Odds: +15000 Record: 6-6 (3-9 ATS) Previous Rank: 31
The Bears have won two games in a row, but failed to cover ATS in both. The Bears schedule is tough to finish the season and I’m fading them in any game the opponent is favored by a TD or less.
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