Betting NFL parlays are the ultimate risk/reward proposition given that each one of your picks included in that bet needs to win. The only exception is in the case of a PUSH, which reduces the parlay by one play. The more teams you add to a parlay play, the bigger the return, but I look at three teams as the sweet spot with a 6/1 return. Once you start adding teams, the betting edge shifts more and more in the book’s favor.
The Rams are 5-0 straight-up with a 3-1-1 record against the spread heading into a 4:05 p.m. start on FOX as seven-point road favorites against the 2-3 Denver Broncos. They failed to cover for the first time this season in last Sunday’s tight 33-31 victory against Seattle as 7.5-point road favorites, but that was against an NFC West rival.
The Broncos have lost their last three games by a combined 35 points following the SU 2-0 start. They have gone a costly 0-4-1 against the spread this season. Look for Los Angeles to keep things rolling on the road where it has gone 6-3 ATS in its last nine road games.
Jacksonville will be on the road against the Dallas Cowboys as a three-point favorite in a 4:25 p.m. start at AT&T Stadium on FOX. The Jaguars come into this inter-conference clash at 3-2 both SU and ATS following last Sunday’s 30-14 road loss against Kansas City as three-point underdogs. They covered as three-point favorites against the New York Giants in their only other road game this season.
Dallas slipped to 2-3 (SU and ATS) with a 19-16 overtime loss to Houston as a 3.5-point road underdog. The Cowboys return home with a 2-4 record ATS in their last six games at AT&T Stadium against Jacksonville’s 10-5 record ATS in its last 15 road games.
The bigger factor in the Jaguars’ favor in this matchup is a defense that is ranked third in the NFL in points allowed (17.2) going up against a Dallas offense that is averaging 16.6 points per game. As a side bet on a two-team parlay, you might want to take Jacksonville and the UNDER 40.5 points in this one.
The final play in this parlay prop sends the 3-2 Baltimore Ravens on the road to face the 3-2 Tennessee Titans in a 4:25 p.m. start at Nissan Stadium on CBS. Each team is coming off a Week 5 loss with the Ravens set as slight 2.5-point favorites on the road for this game.
Baltimore was on the wrong end of a 12-9 grinder against NFC North rival Cleveland as a three-point road favorite last Sunday. This followed a big 26-14 upset against Pittsburgh as a three-point underdog in another road game against a division foe.
Tennessee was flying high with back-to-back victories as an underdog against Jacksonville on the road and Philadelphia at home. Things came crashing down last Sunday in a 13-12 road loss against Buffalo as a six-point favorite. It is hard to know what to expect from the Titans in this Sunday’s matchup.
The Ravens have a 4-2 mark ATS in their last six road games and it has a 7-3-1 record ATS in its last 11 road games against the Titans. This is shaping up as another low-scoring grind for each team with the 2.5-point spread favoring Baltimore in a three-point road win.