We finally have some real opportunities when it comes to betting NFL football this week with a full slate of matchups.
Week 1 is the second-hardest week of the NFL preseason because most teams provide little information on playing time for starters. Prior to 2015, most coaches were relatively open about discussing who would play how much and who would sit. That made it much easier for handicappers and football bettors to map out a strategy.
That has since changed as more and more coaches are limiting access, similar to the regular season and playing it close to the vest.
Because most starters will not see much if any time in the field, it is best to limit your plays to a chosen few to limit your exposure. Stick with your favorite bets on side or totals and be prepared to hit it harder in Week 2 and 3 when the starters will be on the gridiron for a more extended period of time.
N.Y. Jets vs. N.Y. Giants (-1.5, 33) Best Line: MyBookie
These teams alternate who the home team annually in this matchup despite playing in the same stadium. It's a weird series as the "visitor" usually covers and the Jets are 8-3 SU and 9-2 ATS as the "road" team. Jets win 17-16 (Upset Special).
Indianapolis (-2, 35) at Buffalo - Best Line: Intertops
With reports, Andrew Luck will take snaps in this contest, Indianapolis went from a Pick to -2 at Buffalo. Have to agree. Colts cover 24- 16.
The Patriots are a good choice after a preseason loss. However, under Bill Belichick, New England is 1-9 ATS as a road favorite. The Lions are 5-1 ATS in Week 1. Detroit wins 20-19.
Washington (-1, 35.5) at Cleveland - Best Line: Intertops
The Redskins were flipped from +1 to -1 at Cleveland with reports of the Browns sitting more starters. Best guess here is new Browns coach Freddy Kitchens wants to establish a winning culture. Cleveland wins 20-16.
Houston at Green Bay (-2.5, 36) - Best Line: BetAnySport
For whatever reason, Green Bay in Lambeau Field in August usually means points and they are 30-13 OVER run. Play OVER 36.
Carolina (-1.5, 35.5) at Chicago (-3, 37) Best Line: MyBookie
This NFC encounter is tied for the highest total of Week 1 and look for this contest to have a free-flow to it we'll see a total in the '40s. Play OVER 37.
Tampa Bay at Pittsburgh (-2.5, 37) Best Line: JazzSports
Be on the lookout for Pittsburgh at -3 come game time, which could add value to a Buccaneers team that is 27-12 ATS on the road lately. Pittsburgh non-cover 21-20.
Minnesota at New Orleans (-3, 37) Best Line: MyBookie
The Saints best teams have always played well in August, as head coach Sean Peyton wants to win every time. New Orleans wins 23-13 (Best Bet).
Cincinnati at Kansas City (-2.5, 37) Best Line: America's Bookie
Since arriving in Kansas City, coach Andy Reid has given up the tag - Doesn't care about winning preseason games. Reid's also on a 9-1 ATS move in NFLX conference clashes. Kansas City wins 24-14.
Doug Upstone has been involved in sports handicapping
in some form or another his entire adult life. NOBODY watches and studies games
more than he does. Whether it is live or going back and watching
later, Doug has game notes and observations dating back two decades. (Yes,
somehow he’s still married to his original wife.)
Doug is process person, meaning he’s developed his own power
ratings in different sports to determine if the lines are accurate from his
perspective, yet always follows the fundamentals when handicapping games.
Doug has been heard on various sports radio talk shows (Tony
George Radio Show on Sirius radio the latest) around the country for years and
never has a shortage of opinions. Plus, his Line Moves article is one of the
most consistently viewed pieces among sports bettors on Facebook and Google
Doug has been writing articles for over a decade and doing
videos nearly as long at several websites, which are among the most viewed in
any particular week.
His articles have been in the New York Post.com,
Sportsbookreview.com, RantSports.com, Covers.com, Playbook.com, Daily Racing
Form, StatFox.com and Sportsbook.ag on a daily basis, along with being seen at
many different websites on the internet and is pleased to become part of the
ScoresandStats.com team also in various capacities.
He also does work on some of the most popular football
newsletters in the country, something he has done since 2006.
Doug has had 21 No. 1 rankings at documented sports monitors
in a multitude of sports and over 80 Top 10 finishes and consistently delivers
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