Week 1 of the NFL preseason saw its usual array of unpredictable results. Other elements like Baltimore winning and covering spread remaining intact and so did Dallas failing to win and beat the spread in August football.

Looking ahead, we're caught in a weird situation compared to the past and we have to keep our ears and eyes open to what lies ahead this week.

It used for those of us in the NFL previews and predictions business, Week 2 saw starters play anywhere from one quarter to start the game to somewhere into the second quarter. There is no guarantee that will happen anymore as coaches thinking has changed, doing whatever possible to limit injuries to starters. Of course, this holds back skills like tackling overall the first few weeks of the regular season, which has become extremely noticeable, particularly in the secondary or in the open field. To complain about it will not change a thing, we just move on as football bettors.


Betting Football, It's Just Not About the Quarterback, It's In the Trenches Too!


Still, the sportsbooks are expecting scoring up this week with more starters close to previous levels, just not the same volume as before. This is shown in the totals. Last week only two totals were as high as 38 points. For Week 2, only one game is on the '30s for a total, with the others ranging from 40 to 46 points, with means roughly another six to seven total points on average.

Here are this week's NFL predictions and the online sportsbooks with the best current odds for each contest

The picks:

THURSDAY

Philadelphia at Jacksonville (-3, 35) Best Line: MyBookie

Both these teams come in off embarrassing losses last week and will seek to turn their situations around with a better effort. Look for the Eagles to rebound quicker. Eagles win 20-16.

Green Bay at Baltimore (-4.5, 38.5) - Best Line: Intertops

We know John Harbaugh is money in the NFL preseason and so does the online sportsbooks listed here. But when the total is between 35.5 and 42 points, Harbaugh and Baltimore are remarkable 20-4 ATS. Ravens win/cover 26-17 (Consider OVER also).

FRIDAY

Chicago at N.Y. Giants (-1.5, 42) Best Line: America's Bookie

Giants passing offense carved up the Jets last week. That won't happen against Chicago. Also,  road teams after scoring 14 points or less, against opponent after scoring 30 points or more, are 27-9 ATS. Bears win 23-20 (Upset Special).

Miami at Tampa Bay (-3.5, 44) Best Line: MyBookie

Miami's in for a long season and Tampa Bay could be improved under coach Bruce Arians. Dolphins are 2-11 ATS when over .500 vs. an under .500 foe, who's off a loss. Buccaneers win/cover 27-20 (Best Bet).

SATURDAY

Cleveland at Indianapolis (-3, 43) Best Line: Intertops

The world still loves Cleveland at the moment, but Indianapolis gave a real dull effort at Buffalo and plays better at home against a Browns team that is 1-7 ATS off a double-digit victory. Colts win/cover 24-17.

New England (-3, 40.5) at Tennessee Best Line: JazzSports

Underestimated Patriots desire at Detroit after losing there last season. It's back to normal for New England who is 1-10 ATS as a road favorite of seven points or less. Titans win 20-19.

Detroit at Houston (-4, 42.5) Best Line: MyBookie

Detroit could not have played any worse last week at home and they are far more competitive on the road in H-Town. Houston wins in non-cover 19-17.

SUNDAY

New Orleans at L.A. Chargers (-3, 44) Best Line: JazzSports

Taking New Orleans who is 31-15 ATS as a road underdog and 11-2 ATS away games after allowing six or more yards a play in their earlier contest. Saints win 27-20.

Seattle at Minnesota (-4, 42) Best Line: MyBookie

Minnesota coach Mike Zimmer is 15-7 ATS in NFLX, but Seattle's Pete Carroll is 24-12 ATS and catching points. Minnesota wins in non-cover 21-20.

MONDAY

San Francisco at Denver (-2, 42.5) Best Line: Bovada

Great spot for Denver who is 8-1 ATS off a SU loss as a favorite and facing an opponent off a SU win. Denver win/cover 24-17.


Last week: 5-5 SU and 4-6 ATS
Season Record: 6-5 SU and 5-6 ATS
Upset Special: 0-1
Best Bets: 0-1


 

About the Author

Doug Upstone has been involved in sports handicapping in some form or another his entire adult life. NOBODY watches and studies games more than he does. Whether it is live or going back and watching later, Doug has game notes and observations dating back two decades. (Yes, somehow he’s still married to his original wife.)

Doug is process person, meaning he’s developed his own power ratings in different sports to determine if the lines are accurate from his perspective, yet always follows the fundamentals when handicapping games.

Doug has been heard on various sports radio talk shows (Tony George Radio Show on Sirius radio the latest) around the country for years and never has a shortage of opinions. Plus, his Line Moves article is one of the most consistently viewed pieces among sports bettors on Facebook and Google Plus.

Doug has been writing articles for over a decade and doing videos nearly as long at several websites, which are among the most viewed in any particular week.

His articles have been in the New York Post.com, Sportsbookreview.com, RantSports.com, Covers.com, Playbook.com, Daily Racing Form, StatFox.com and Sportsbook.ag on a daily basis, along with being seen at many different websites on the internet and is pleased to become part of the ScoresandStats.com team also in various capacities.

He also does work on some of the most popular football newsletters in the country, something he has done since 2006.

Doug has had 21 No. 1 rankings at documented sports monitors in a multitude of sports and over 80 Top 10 finishes and consistently delivers HUGE profits.

 

Doug Upstone's Most Recent Top Awards

#1 2016 NFL at The Sports Eye

#1 2015 NFL at Cappers Monitor

#1 2014-15 NHL at Cappers Monitor, Cappers Watchdog & The Sports Eye

#1 2013-14 NHL at Cappers Monitor & The Sports Eye

#1 2014 NFL Playoffs at The Sports Eye Monitor

#1 2013 NFL at Cappers Monitor

#1 2013 NHL at Cappers Monitor, Cappers Watchdog & The Sports Eye

#1 2009-10 CBB at Cappers Monitor

#1 2009 MLB at The Sports Eye and Free Sports Monitor

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