College Football Week 11 Betting Trends You Need to Know
by Dave Schwab Scores & Statson
The SEC’s Alabama Crimson Tide left little doubt that they are the best team in the country with last Saturday night’s 29-0 shutout against the LSU Tigers as 14-point favorites on the road. The 9-0 Tide (straight-up) have been able to cover in six of those first nine games and their average margin of victory over this undefeated run has been an incredible 37.2 points.
Alabama will be back in action this Saturday afternoon as a 24.5-point home favorite against the rival Mississippi State Bulldogs, who are ranked No. 18. The total for this SEC West Division clash has been set at 51.5 points on Intertops online sportsbook’s current college football Week 11 board. Game time from Bryant-Denny Stadium on CBS is set for 3:30 p.m.
The Tide have won their last five home games against Mississippi State SU with a 4-1 edge ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last 11 meetings overall.
The ACC’s Clemson Tigers have the inside track on the second berth in this year’s College Football Playoff after starting their season a perfect 9-0 SU with a 5-4 record ATS. The No. 2 Tigers have covered in their last four games in lopsided blowouts heading into Saturday night’s road game against the No. 22 Boston College Eagles in a slated 8 p.m. start on ABC. Clemson has been opened as a 20-point favorite with the total set at 58.5 points.
Clemson has won the last five meetings SU in this ACC Atlantic Division tilt, but the Eagles have a 4-1 edge ATS. The total has gone OVER in four of the last six meetings at Alumni Stadium in Boston.
The Notre Dame Fighting Irish took over LSU’s spot in the latest CFP rankings at No. 3. They improved their record to 9-0 SU with last Saturday’s 31-21 road victory against Northwestern in a game that ended as a PUSH. The Irish are an even 4-4-1 ATS and the total has gone OVER in five of their last six games.
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This Saturday night, Notre Dame will play host to Florida State in a 7:30 p.m. start in South Bend on NBC. It has been opened as an 18-point favorite with the total set at 54.5 points. The Seminoles have won four of the last five meetings SU with the Irish holding the slight 3-2 edge ATS. The total has been split evenly at 2-2-1 in those five games.
The Big Ten’s Michigan Wolverines round out the top four teams in the CFP rankings with an SU record of 8-1 while going 6-3 ATS. They will still have to get past Ohio State in their season finale and win the conference championship to hold onto one of those four playoffs spots, but the first task at hand is to keep things rolling this Saturday against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.
Michigan goes on the road as a heavy 39-point favorite for the 3:30 p.m. kickoff on the Big Ten Network and the total has been set at 48.5 points. The Wolverines has won their last three games against Rutgers both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in all four meetings.
The SEC’s No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs would probably have to beat Alabama in the conference title game to earn a spot in the playoff, but first, they will have to get by the Auburn Tigers this Saturday as 14.5-point home favorites. Game time in Athens on ESPN is set for 7 p.m. and the total has been set at 50 points.
The Bulldogs are 8-1 SU with a 5-4 record ATS. They have won seven of their last 10 games against the Tigers both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in seven of those contests. Georgia is a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in its last five home games against Auburn.