College Football's Top Underdogs - Rivalry Week of Upset Possibilities
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
Let's call it what it was last week, the gambling gods handed it to us and we had to swallow hard and take it. That has left us in a non-profitable position of 30-29-1 ATS and we look to pick it up and finish the regular season in the black.
Rivalry week is littered with cool names of trophies and doesn't make sense of historical outcomes. They don't always work out the way, but they make solid strategic wagers.
#123 Nebraska (+10) at #124 Iowa (Friday) It took Nebraska awhile to find the win column, but they picked on beating the oddsmaker before that. The Cornhuskers have covered six in a row and are playing with great confidence headed to Iowa City for the quickly growing and natural rivalry. For the Nebraska seniors, they have been drubbed 40-10 and 56-14 the last two years by the Hawkeyes and now with a coach who has taught and understands Huskers football, this group has every reason to dig a little deeper. We are not calling for an outright upset, just the Children of the Corn to keep the loss respectable at six or seven points.
#157 Marshall at #158 Florida Int. (+2.5) Florida International can wrap up the Conference USA East title with a victory over Marshall and initially, oddsmakers gave them the nod at -1.5, before they were flipped to -2.5 by the wagering masses. No question the Thundering Herd have the pedigree dating back decades ago. However, here are few betting tidbits to think about. It starts with Marshall having a 19-34 ATS record as a road favorite. That is followed by FIU coach Butch Davis being a sharp 10-5 ATS as a home underdog and the sublet of that is the Golden Panthers are 5-0 ATS under his direction. FIU wins this contest outright and advances.
#165 Georgia Tech (+17) at #166 Georgia The backdrop of this rivalry is its name - Good, Old Fashion Hate. These Peach State schools have been warring for years and they each actually have official records that are different about these matchups that go back more than more than 80 years ago. Georgia has a far more important contest next week against some team from Alabama. Their motivation certainly comes into question. That will not be the case for the Yellow Jackets who lost this game last 38-7 at home and arrive in Athens on a four-game winning streak. The visiting team has covered five in a row and Georgia Tech is 11-2 ATS after gaining 125 or less passing yards in three straight tilts. Georgia by 13 or less.
#215 Louisiana (+3.5) at #216 UL-Monroe In the deep south, this is known as the Battle of the Bayou. For betting purposes this one of those rivalry's you don't over think when placing a bet, just trust the numbers. That's right, skip the stats and records and trust all the clichés relating to "You can throw out the records books when these teams collide." Well not all of them. The road team in this nasty confrontation is 8-0 ATS most recently and 13-2-1 ATS going back 16 years. Just bet it, we do.
#233 Arizona State at #234 Arizona (+1) The teams play for the Territorial Cup, which is the oldest trophy in college football dating back to 1899. First-year coaches Herm Edwards and Kevin Sumlin will begin learning how blood-thirsty these Grand Canyon state fans are for their team to win and hold the bragging rights. For better than two decades this was another doesn't make sense rivalry, with the visitor and usually the underdog covering over 85 percent of the time. But like all streaks they eventually end, now the home team is trending at 5-0 SU and ATS. Back Zona!
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