College Football's Top Underdogs - Week 7 of Upset Possibilities
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
Another strong week for our college football underdog selections has us at 17-13 ATS for the season and 9-1 against the number the past two weeks. This week, a pair of pooches from the Big Ten and Pac-12 in particular really caught our attention.
All odds courtesy of
#125 Purdue at #126 Illinois (+10.5) Illinois is 3-2, which for them is really good, considering their lousy football history. The Fighting Illini have won the games they were favored and lost the ones they were not and are 3-2 ATS altogether. One could make a case for Purdue being at least 4-1 if not 5-0 if they could have closed out their first three contests, all losses, by a total of eight points. The Boilermakers are deserving favorite, but the Illinois defense by Big Ten standards is improving and the offense is putting together a solid run game with explosive plays. The Illini defense is generating better than two turnovers a contest and Purdue will make miscues. Illinois falls, but by just 7.
#129 Duke (+2) at #130 Georgia Tech Duke's pass defense let them down on Sept. 29th and they were upset by Virginia Tech at home 31-14. That will not happen versus Georgia Tech's option, because the Yellow Jackets have 17 pass attempts in their last three tilts. However, the Jackets have scored 129 points in their past two games and posted over 900 yards rushing, which is they are favored at home. But Duke has a quality front seven on defense and while they might not be Clemson, they are in the Top 4 of the ACC. With the Blue Devils 12-4 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less and if drill down further, they are 6-0 ATS when catching 3 or less away from Durham, it's the Dukies outright.
#155 Colorado (+7) at #156 USC This is the time of year all football betting experts start looking at undefeated teams and look where they might falter. This is a natural one for 5-0 Colorado since they are 0-9 since the turn of the century when facing USC. But before we write off the Buffs, let's consider their confidence and having a strong-armed quarterback in Steven Montez, who can keep them in any contest. It's not like this is a vintage Trojans club, which is actually being outscored on the season. Colorado might falter, but USC is 5-14 ATS since last season.
#159 Washington at #160 Oregon (+3.5) In other Pac-12 action, Washington could all but punch their ticket to the conference title game with a victory. But don't overlook Oregon, who would be 5-0 except for blowing the lead and losing to Stanford. The Huskies offense is more workmanlike than treacherous and the Ducks led by QB Justin Herber, are primed at Eugene to strut their stuff. Having been thoroughly embarrassed in being blown out 118-24 the past two years by Washington, Oregon is ready and this is a two-point outcome either way.
#169 Wisconsin (+7.5) at #170 Michigan In most football bettors eyes, each of these clubs has been a disappointment in various ways. Each is staring at a second defeat in the middle of October already and there have been few bright spots to fire up the alumni. This does not mean either cannot play the Big Ten championship in December, but they need to start assembling winner performances. Wisconsin is 5-2-1 ATS in the Big House in recent visits and they are 11-1 ATS on the road since 2016. Make the total in the 42.5 and 49 point range away from home (48 at last look) and Bucky Badger is a perfect 12-0 ATS.