College Football's Top Underdogs - Week 8 of Upset Possibilities
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
After blistering the books the last few weeks, we struggled to a 2-3 ATS mark in Week 7 and now sport a record of 19-16 ATS on the season. Let’s get back on track this week and do what we usually do and keep cashing our college football underdog picks.
All odds courtesy of
#317 North Carolina (+9.5) at #318 Syracuse These ACC foes have one common opponent between them this year as the Heels eked by Pittsburgh 38-35 as three-point dogs and the Orange dropped a 44-37 decision as three-point road chalk just last week to the Panthers. Despite that North Carolina is 1-4 straight up, they have covered the number in two of their last three and are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Conversely, Syracuse is 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss and 1-4-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Grab the points with the road up here.
#333 Ohio State at #334 Purdue (+13.5) Buckeyes’ fans are loving their undefeated season, but those who have been laying the lumber with Ohio State over the last three weeks have been getting crushed at the windows. Last week the Buckeyes welcomed a middling at best Minnesota team to Columbus as 29-point dogs and came away with a workmanlike 30-14 victory, but never even sniffed the cover. It was far from a dominating performance and eventually, Ohio State will see their perfect record blemished by an unlikely foe. Purdue has been scoring in bunches lately, averaging nearly 39 points per game over their last four, could be that team.
#347 Houston at #348 Navy (+12.5) The last time these schools met at Annapolis, the Middies stunned the Cougars by the score of 46-40 as 16-point home underdogs. Granted, that was two years ago but big home dogs tend to bite back in their own backyard, particularly against teams in their own conference, let alone their own division. Navy is 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 home games while Houston is 0-4 ATS in their last four games following an ATS win and 0-6 ATS in their last six following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Go Navy!
#363 Western Michigan at #364 Central Michigan (+4.5) At first glance, this would appear to be a case of the haves versus the have-nots as Western Michigan is undefeated in MAC play while Central Michigan is winless against their conference rivals. But the line favors the visiting Broncos by only 4 ½ points because Western Michigan has won those three MAC games by a grand total of 11 points and failed to cover the number in all of them. This is not a team that dominates but one that hangs on and outlasts their opponents. Last year the Chippewas traveled to Western Michigan and walked away with a 35-28 win as four-point road underdogs. We see a repeat this season only on Central Michigan’s turf.
#391 Kansas (+20) at #392 Texas Tech Texas Tech may be without their quarterback Alan Bowman again this week as he recovers from a collapsed lung suffered in the team’s 42-34 loss to West Virginia. The Red Raiders’ offense took a big step back with sophomore backup Jett Duffey under center last week, but the bottom line is winning, and Tech did just that in a 17-14 defensive struggle over TCU. Kansas is coming off their bye week after hanging tough against the Mountaineers and covering the number as four-touchdown dogs in their 38-22 loss. Texas Tech has dominated this series recently but the 20-points is too much to give when considering that the Red Raiders are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games and the Jayhawks have had two weeks to rest and prep for this Big 12 clash.
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