2018-2019 Scores&Stats NFL Betting Power Rankings: Week 10
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
We have quite a few upsets this past week and underdogs continued to be a strong play as well as short underdogs of a field goal or less.
Favorites: 8-6 SU and 5-8-1 ATS (Season: 82-48-2 SU and 64-74-4 ATS) Favorite of 7 or more: 5-1 SU and 3-3 ATS (Season: 31-7 SU and 19-18-1 ATS) Favorites of 3 or less: 1-1 SU and 0-1-1 ATS (Season: 27-27-2 SU and 23-30-3 ATS) Home Underdogs: 2-2 SU and 2-2 ATS (Season: 17-18-2 SU and 23-14 ATS) Pick Games: Home team 4-2 ATS
This all leads to our score-based Power Ratings, which we introduced this season. These type of ratings are based not only on records but on how teams did against the point spread, which gives us a broader view when it comes to understanding the strengths of a team when making lines.
Here are this week's ranking and team updates. Your comments are always welcome.
Odds:+1800 Record: 6-3 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 11th
Chicago jumps into the Top 10 of our Power Ratings for the first time this season. Everything about the Bears is legit and they find many ways to score points. They take control of NFC North with a win over the Vikings.
Odds:+6600 Record: 4-5 and 5-3-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 9th
Seattle had a chance to for come from behind wins against both Los Angeles teams but came up short. Now it's the first of many must-wins for Seahawks to stay in playoff conversation starting Thursday against Green Bay.
Odds:+3300 Record: 4-4-1 SU and 4-5 ATS Last Week's Rank: 17th
It was not always pretty, but Green Bay was effective in dicing up the Dolphins. It's back on the road for the Pack and truthfully their season hangs in the balance with away games at Seattle and at Minnesota.
Odds: +3300 Record: 4-5 and 3-6 ATS Last Week's Rank: 12th
If the Eagles off a bye week were less mentally prepared than Dallas on a short week and off a bad loss, is this really a playoff contender? With a depleted secondary, Philadelphia only has to travel to New Orleans to take on Drew Brees.
Odds:+8000 Record: 4-5 SU and 3-6 ATS Last Week's Rank: 14th
After making a move in our ratings, Atlanta went back to old ways of being a terrible road outdoor team and was handled by Cleveland. If the Browns could run for 211 yards on Falcons defense, what might Zeke Elliott do for Dallas?
Odds:+4000 Record: 5-4 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 22nd
Washington took the break but don't bend defense to ridiculous levels, surrendering over 500 yards to Tampa Bay and only three points. Rugged test at home for the Redskins against Houston who has won six straight.
Odds:+12500 Record: 3-6 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 20th
What a difference a year makes. The Jacksonville defense was one of the best front to back last season, but they could not have been more out of position as Indy scored four first-half touchdowns. The NFL is cruel and the floundering Jags have Pittsburgh on tap.
Odds:+25000 Record: 3-6-1 SU and 6-4 ATS Last Week's Rank: 29th
At least the Cleveland is covering spreads and winning a few games. The Browns can finally enjoy an off week and when they return, if they win one more time, that would match the number of victories they had from 2015 to 2017.
Odds:+100000 Record: 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS Last Week's Rank: 31st
The Bills are the NFL's out of nowhere team. Matt Barkley was not on an NFL roster just over two weeks ago, gets the call from Buffalo and just after a week he was the Bills best option at quarterback and he his new team teammates hang 41 on the Jets. A full two weeks to savor with bye week.
Odds:+75000 Record: 3-7 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 28th
The Flyboys were hammered by Buffalo 41-10 by a quarterback who was not on there roster two weeks before the game. For this Gang Green spends the next two weeks one spot ahead of Oakland in our power ratings.
Odds:+250000 Record: 1-8 SU and 1-7-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 32nd
Oakland took the football on first possession went got inside the one-yard line and could not punch it in for a touchdown. It was all downhill from there, including Derek Carr throwing the ball away on a fourth down play. Off to the desert to meet another bad team.