2018-2019 Scores&Stats NFL Betting Power Rankings: Week 4
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
The NFL got back to normal after three weeks of wild upsets. For the time being, other than the Los Angeles Rams, nobody has looked dominant, underdogs should continue to have great value for football bettors.
Favorites: 12-3 SU and 8-6-1 ATS (Season: 37-21-2 SU and 25-33-2 ATS) Favorite of 7 or more: 4-0 SU and 2-1-1 ATS (Season: 9-5 SU and 6-7-1 ATS) Favorites of 3 or less: 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS (Season: 12-12-2 SU and 10-15-1 ATS) Home Underdogs: 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS (Season: 5-4-2 SU and 9-2 ATS) Pick Games: Home team 3-0 ATS
This all leads to our score-based Power Ratings, which is new this season. These type of ratings are based not only on records but on how teams did against the point spread, which gives us a broader view when it comes to understanding the strengths of a team when making lines.
Here are this week's ranking and team updates. Your comments are always welcome.
Odds:+1600 Record: 3-1 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 4th
Baltimore dismantled Pittsburgh and continues to be awesome in the second half in any game. Joe Flacco is like a different quarterback and obviously loves tight ends and wide receivers that can get open.
Odds: +1800 Record: 2-1-1 SU and 2-2 ATS Last Week's Rank: 13th
Making a bad Buffalo offense look worse was good the Green Bay defense. Aaron Rogers knew the Packers should have whipped the Bills 38-0, not 22-0 if the offense was sharper. A big battle against Detroit this week.
Odds:+1800 Record: 1-2-1 SU and 1-2-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 3rd
As opposed to offense, keeping fantastic defensive numbers is harder to do with changes and enough player movement. Minnesota's pass defense is down to 23rd and will have to improve for the Vikings to better their record.
Odds: +2500 Record: 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 14th
The Chargers were far from impressive in knocking off the Niners. The Bolts should be above .500 for the first time this season when hosting Oakland, but their defense ranks 30th in yards per point allowed.
Odds:+2000 Record: 1-2-1 SU and 1-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 8th
Coach Mike Tomlin said after the loss to Baltimore, his team just has to keep working and strive to improve. Since the loss in the playoffs to Jacksonville, others are questioning just how good Pittsburgh really is.
Odds: +4000 Record: 3-1 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 19th
Looky here! Tennessee is 3-1 and making the necessary plays on both sides of the ball. The upside potential is there also for the Titans if Marcus Mariota and others keep getting healthy. Tennessee better not take the Bills lightly this week.
Odds:+2200 Record: 3-1 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 26th
Chicago is starting to look much improved on both sides of the ball and are playing with a great deal of confidence. Talk radio in Chi-Town has two weeks to sing the praises of Mitchell Trubisky with the Bears bye.
Odds: +8000 Record: 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 24th
Tony Romo said the Giants offensive line is better than last year. Where? Best guess he was trying to say something nice. Aging Eli Manning might want to do a Vontae Davis after seeing Carolina pass rush this week.
Odds:+12500 Record: 1-3 SU and 1-2-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 31st
It was not easy or pretty, but Oakland had their Al Davis moment, "Just Win Baby". If Derek Carr would just start drilling passes, he'd likely make fewer mistakes. The rivalry game with Chargers on Sunday.