2018-2019 Scores&Stats NFL Betting Power Rankings: Week 5
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
Short underdogs continue to shine and home underdogs are off the charts with nearly a third of the season completed. Though it is only four games, it's odd the home team has won all four Pick contests.
Favorites: 10-4 SU and 7-6-1 ATS (Season: 47-25-2 SU and 32-39-3 ATS) Favorite of 7 or more: 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS (Season: 11-5 SU and 7-8-1 ATS) Favorites of 3 or less: 2-1 SU and 1-1-1 ATS (Season: 14-13-2 SU and 11-16-2 ATS) Home Underdogs: 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS (Season: 7-5-2 SU and 12-2 ATS) Pick Games: Home team 4-0 ATS
This all leads to our score-based Power Ratings, which is new this season. These type of ratings are based not only on records but on how teams did against the point spread, which gives us a broader view when it comes to understanding the strengths of a team when making lines.
Here are this week's ranking and team updates. Your comments are always welcome.
Odds:-300 Record: 5-0 SU and 3-1-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 1st
The Rams were really tested last week at Seattle and came through with a victory. There are emerging defensive concerns about L.A. after giving up 62 points in the last two weeks. It's best against the worst in our power ratings.
Odds: +2200 Record: 4-1 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 10th
Cincinnati showed they might be a different squad this year. Instead of digging a 17-0 hole versus Miami and jumping in it, they fought back and rang up 27 unanswered points for the win. The Bengals can take control of AFC North by beating Pittsburgh this Sunday. One problem, they are 5-23 and 7-20-1 ATS when hosting the Steelers lately.
Odds:+2500 Record: 3-2 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 3rd
After looking so good against Pittsburgh, Baltimore did not play with same passion or execution level and lost to Cleveland. Ravens better be ready for Tennessee, whose as frustrated as they are Sunday.
Odds:+2500 Record: 2-2-1 SU and 2-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 6th
The only good thing for Green Bay was the game ended in Detroit and they could go home. Once again the Packers were not sharp and Mason Crosby had a kicker's nightmare. The Pack needs complete performance on Monday before the bye week.
Odds:+1400 Record: 3-2 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 5th
Any thoughts that Blake Bortles has but his past picks' problems behind him are inaccurate. The Jaguars have the defense to contain Dallas this week, but the offense cannot place them in impossible situations.
Odds: +2000 Record: 2-3 and 1-4 ATS Last Week's Rank: 12th
Last season is fading into a distant memory for the Super Bowl champs. Week 6 is usually when the champions realize opposing teams do not care about your ring and just want to beat you. Playing at the Giants on a short week offers the Eagles a real opportunity.
Odds:+8000 Record: 2-3 and 2-2-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 17th
Great effort by Seattle, but they came up two points short to the Rams. By committing to the run, the Seahawks are a better team and they have not turned the rock over in three outings. Do the same against Oakland and Seattle is .500.
Odds:+6600 Record: 3-2 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 16th
We told you here last week Tennessee better come ready to play at Buffalo. The Titans did not and had only 221 yards of offense and gave the pigskin away three times. Good news; Tennessee is 12-3 ATS after one or more losses.
Odds:+5000 Record: 2-3 SU and 2-2-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 20th
Owner Jerry Jones questioned his coach about OT punt, as Dallas lost in OT at Houston. The pressure is mounting in Big D on everyone, but multiple years of weak draft picks from the third round out are showing up. An upset of the Jaguars will cool everything off unless the Boys lose.
Odds:+6600 Record: 1-4 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 14th
Dan Quinn was hired to fix the Atlanta defense because the offense was in place. After making progress his second-year, where the Falcons should have the Super Bowl, the stop-troops are going backward. Injuries are a big part, but the backups they kept are not doing the job. Must win vs. Tampa Bay.
Odds:+10000 Record: 2-2 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 23rd
Tampa Bay gets back to work and will have its suspended regular quarterback running the team and the backup, who got his 15 minutes of unabashed fame, is back on the sidelines. The Bucs better have found answers for worst-rated pass defense going to Atlanta.
Odds: +15000 Record: 2-3 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 29th
Gang Green fans hope they got a glimpse of the future in the drubbing of Denver, with big play after big play. It's not going to happen every week for the Jets, but they could have more versus the Colts at home.
Odds:+10000 Record: 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 25th
A trick play got the Giants offense in gear in Carolina and only the second-longest field goal made could keep them from winning. No reason for New York to be down with Philadelphia on deck at home Thursday.
Odds:+20000 Record: 1-4 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 21st
So much for San Francisco being a playoff contender. Jimmy G or not, this was an overrated squad that was 1-10 and found magic last season without having the necessary talent. Good luck in the land of cheese.
Odds: +15000 Record: 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 26th
To the Colts credit, they never quit at New England and actually outgained them by a single yard in losing by 14 points and failing to cover. If Indianapolis can avoid committing two or more turnovers like they have four times this season, they could win at the Jets.
Odds:+20000 Record: 2-3 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 31st
Buffalo beat another strong team in coming from behind to stun Tennessee. The Bills are last in scoring and passing, but the defense is forcing turnovers against like last year. They will have to play defense at Houston.