2018-2019 Scores&Stats NFL Betting Power Rankings: Week 7
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
For really the first time all season, the favorites had a good week in most cases. Still on the season underdogs are the way to wager this season. As far as the Power Ratings, can you guess what team took a major fall for a second straight week? Read on and learn.
Favorites: 10-4 SU and 7-7 ATS (Season: 67-33-2 SU and 45-54-3 ATS) Favorite of 7 or more: 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS (Season: 18-6 SU and 10-13-1 ATS) Favorites of 3 or less: 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS (Season: 22-18-2 SU and 19-21-2 ATS) Home Underdogs: 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS (Season: 11-12-2 SU and 17-8 ATS) Pick Games: Home team 4-1 ATS
This all leads to our score-based Power Ratings, which we introduced this season. These type of ratings are based not only on records but on how teams did against the point spread, which gives us a broader view when it comes to understanding the strengths of a team when making lines.
Here are this week's ranking and team updates. Your comments are always welcome.
Odds: +300 Record: 7-0 SU and 4-2-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 1st
The Rams bullied San Francisco and forced four turnovers. Though Green Bay has pretty good defensive statistical numbers, they do give up rushing yards in bunches and their young secondary can be picked on.
Odds: +600 Record: 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS Last Week's Rank: 2nd
You begin to wonder if it is even wise to beat against Kansas City going forward after how they buried Cincinnati. Denver will come ready to play and try and get physical again, but will it matter at Arrowhead?
Odds:+800 Record: 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS Last Week's Rank: 3rd
Clutch victory for New Orleans at Baltimore, though a little luck was required for a team nicknamed the Saints. In the last weeks, Drew Brees has become the NFL's all-time passing leader, joined the 500-TD pass club, now beaten every team at least once and now tries to put behind last year's awful last-second loss at Minnesota this week.
Odds:+1200 Record: 4-2-1 SU and 3-2-2 ATS Last Week's Rank: 7th
Minnesota played a smart game at the New York Jets and wisely disguised defenses to create turnovers or bad plays for Gang Green. No such luck going against Drew Brees this week and the Vikings are out to prove last year's miracle pass to win over New Orleans was not a fluke.
Odds: +2500 Record: 4-3 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 4th
Fantastic last-minute comeback by Joe Flacco to bring Baltimore within a point of tying New Orleans, only to have K Justin Tucker miss first-ever NFL extra point. The Ravens have to pick themselves up quickly, otherwise, they will fall in Charlotte and be a .500 at the halfway point.
Odds:+500 Record: 5-2 and 4-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 6th
Chicago made it interesting against New England, but in typical Patriots fashion, they found a way to win. The Pats defense remains a major concern with their lack of speed, but that probably won't be a factor at Buffalo Monday.
Odds:+1600 Record: 5-2 SU and 3-4 ATS Last Week's Rank: 5th
The Chargers played an excellent first half in London and a less than excellent second half and were fortunate to beat Tennessee. The only good thing, the Bolts are off next week and can just relish in the outcome.
Odds: +6600 Record: 3-3 and 3-2-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 10th
Seattle returns to action and it's a compelling contest against Detroit, who like them have overcome a 0-2 start. The Seahawks running game has averaged 171 YPG in their last three contests and they will face the Lions No.30 run defense.
Odds: +2800 Record: 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 14th
Gritty performance by Carolina at Philly, coming from 17 points down in the latter stages of the third period. Those types of wins can be galvanizing for the Panthers and a triumph over Baltimore would signal Cam Newton and crew are ready to fight with New Orleans for NFC South title.
Odds:+5000 Record: 3-3 SU and 5-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 13th
Detroit continues to turn their season around and all the early whining about Matt Patricia pushing Lions players too hard has dissipated. A home win over Seattle could be the springboard to a stellar rest of the season.
Odds:+2200 Record: 3-4 and 2-5 ATS Last Week's Rank: 9th
Philadelphia blew a late 17-0 third-quarter lead to Carolina and lost 21-17. Coach Doug Pederson is being questioned and he doesn't like it one bit. The Eagles will try to get back to .500 versus Jacksonville across the big pond.
Odds: +2200 Record: 3-2-1 SU and 2-4 ATS Last Week's Rank: 12th
Green Bay will play four of their next five on the road starting in Los Angeles against our No.1 Power Ratings team, the Rams. If the Packers remain a nine-point or larger underdog, that will be the largest spread Aaron Rodgers has ever faced.
Odds:+4000 Record: 4-3 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 11th
The Bengals were confident they could compete with the Chiefs on Sunday and that belief was completely wrong. In the NFL you don't have time to feel sorry for yourself and you have to move. Cincinnati could be 5-3 if they defeat Tamp Bay this week, which keeps in the AFC North chase, which was one of their goals in 2018.
Odds:+4500 Record: 3-4 SU and 3-4-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 15th
Dallas was outplayed by Washington, but a penalty prevented them from a chance to win OT. With the addition of Amari Cooper, Dak Prescott will have a shiny new toy to throw to when the Cowboys return from their break.
Odds:+3300 Record: 4-3 SU and 2-4-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 18th
Talk about your turnarounds, what about Houston! The Texans started 0-3 and month later they lead their division thanks to four consecutive victories. The defense is stepping up, holding last three opponents to 12 PPG and if the offense perks a bit more, Houston beats Miami on Thursday night.
Odds: +3300 Record: 4-2 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 20th
Look who's atop the NFC East, the Washington Redskins. Jay Gruden's club is 3rd against the run and running the ball more effectively every week. If they can handle prosperity and knock off the Giants in New Jersey, they start to look like a frontrunner in the NFC East.
Odds:+3300 Record: 3-3 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 16th
Chicago outgained the Patriots by 72 yards, but two special teams malfunctions sent the Bears to defeat a second straight setback. The Chicago defense will look to confuse Sam Darnold of the Jets into miscues and hope the offense can cash them into touchdowns.
Odds:+10000 Record: 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 23rd
A valiant second-half effort brought Tennessee within a point of the Chargers, yet, they could not seal the deal. Marcus Mariota has to get 100% healthy during the Titans time off is they want to return to the postseason.
Odds:+4000 Record: 3-4 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 17th
Once again Blake Bortles is making the last half of last season seem like a mirage, as he continues as a turnover machine. Coach Doug Marrone said Monday he's sticking with Bortles as his starter versus Philly in London, but if Bortles fails again, maybe the Jaguars will take his passport so he cannot return home.
Odds:+12500 Record: 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS Last Week's Rank: 22nd
With all the ways Tampa Bay has found ways to lose games over decades, a last ditch 59-yard goal field in OT seemed like a fitting conclusion for them to knock off Cleveland. The Buccaneers have 13 turnovers in their past four encounters and more of the same means a setback in Cincinnati this week.
Odds:+8000 Record: 4-3 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 25th
Miami is the worst winning team in the NFL, if there is such a thing. The Dolphins are 29th in rush defense and yards per pass allowed and are at H-Town on a short week looking for solutions before the season turns into a dumpster fire.
Odds:+8000 Record: 3-4 SU and 2-4-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 31st
All-Pro Von Miller and other leaders of Denver's team talked about playing with more purpose before there Thursday night game with Arizona and it worked as they pummeled the Redbirds. What can he or others come up with to upset Kansas City on the road?
Odds: +15000 Record: 3-4 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 21st
The Jets had hoped they could sweep their three-game homestand before embarking on two-game road trip, but Minnesota was too tough. Next for Gang Green is an angry group of Bears who have lost two straight, convinced they should have won both.
Odds:+15000 Record: 2-4-1 SU and 5-2 ATS Last Week's Rank: 29th
The Browns might not a lot better, but at least backers are making money supporting them. Let's see what they what kind of effort they bring to Pittsburgh after such a loss. What are the odds on another OT game for Cleveland?
Odds: +50000 Record: 2-5 SU and 3-5 ATS Last Week's Rank: 26th
Buffalo has now tried three different quarterbacks in seven games and somehow they thought A.J. McCarron would not have better than this landfill of garbage they have created, averaging a laughable 11.5 PPG. This coming Monday, the Bills will try and match points with New England. LOL
Odds:+75000 Record: 1-5 SU and 3-2-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 28th
The Arizona Cardinals in primetime last Thursday had more laughs than an episode of "The Neighborhood". The Cardinals fired OC Mike McCoy after six games and coach Steve Wilks already has his back up against a cactus. A win over the Niners would be a brief reprieve.
Odds: +30000 Record: 1-5 SU and 1-4-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 32nd
Even on a bye week the Oakland becomes weaker. Marshawn Lynch will miss significant time with a groin injury and their best receiver, Amari Cooper, was traded this week. It seems nearly impossible Derek Carr can improve without much talents around him and beating the Colts just became a bigger challenge.