2018-2019 Scores&Stats NFL Betting Power Rankings: Week 8
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
Slowly but surely favorites are not only winning more and covering more spreads. It will be interesting to see if this trend continues the next several weeks. Check out what we mean.
Favorites: 11-3 SU and 8-6 ATS (Season: 78-36-2 SU and 53-60-3 ATS) Favorite of 7 or more: 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS (Season: 24-6 SU and 14-15-1 ATS) Favorites of 3 or less: 3-3 SU and 3-3 ATS (Season: 25-21-2 SU and 22-24-2 ATS) Home Underdogs: 2-2 SU and 2-2 ATS (Season: 13-14-2 SU and 19-10 ATS) Pick Games: Home team 4-1 ATS
This all leads to our score-based Power Ratings, which we introduced this season.
These type of ratings are based not only on records but on how teams did against the point spread, which gives us a broader view when it comes to understanding the strengths of a team when making lines.
Here are this week's ranking and team updates. Your comments are always welcome.
Odds: +550 Record: 7-1 SU and 7-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 2nd
Kansas City finally lost against the spread for the first time this season by a single point. The Chiefs head to Cleveland where the Browns will have a new coach and they will again be large favorites.
Odds:+600 Record: 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS Last Week's Rank: 3rd
The Saints were extremely impressive in the victory over Minnesota and proved the public was correct in moving them from an underdog to favorite in that game. Next up, the unbeaten L.A. Rams at home in what should be a fabulous ballgame.
Odds:+2200 Record: 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 10th
Carolina keeps getting better and handled Baltimore with ease. The Panthers need to beat Tampa Bay impressively at home to keep building confidence since four of their next five games after that are on the road.
Odds:+1600 Record: 4-2-1 SU and 4-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 7th
On a 3-0 SU & ATS spin, Pittsburgh can take control of AFC North with a victory at Baltimore. The Birds are floundering, the Bengals are injury-riddled and have no pass defense and the Browns are the Browns.
Odds:+1600 Record: 4-3-1 SU and 3-3-2 ATS Last Week's Rank: 4th
We are starting to see what Redskins coach Jay Gruden did not like Kirk Cousins. The Vikings quarterback has a tendency to disappear from time to time. Minnesota has to take care of Detroit this week before regrouping at the bye week.
Odds:+3300 Record: 4-3 and 4-2-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 9th
Seattle has gone back to old school Pete Carroll meat and potatoes football. The defense has gotten hungry with a nice mix of veterans and young players. We strongly disagree with FootballFocus.com having the Seahawks O-Line ranked 28th. That was true to start the season, not anymore.
Odds: +2200 Record: 5-3 SU and 3-4-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 16th
Houston has gone from 0-3 and last place in the AFC South to 5-0 and in first place. Replacing receiver Will Fuller will not be easy, which means the Texans defense and running game will have to contribute more.
Odds:+2500 Record: 4-4 and 3-5 ATS Last Week's Rank: 12th
Former Dallas legendary coach Tom Landry believed if your team could be .500 or better halfway thru the season, it was possible to make a big push in the second half. Eagles coach Doug Pederson is thinking the same thing after getting to 4-4 with a bye next.
Odds:+3300 Record: 4-4 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 5th
From legit AFC contender to a complete phony. For all the bravado and toughness associated with the Baltimore organization, they are weak-minded outside their division. In Steelers matchup this week, the home team is on 0-4 ATS run. Ravens are at home Sunday.
Odds:+10000 Record: 3-4 SU and 5-2 ATS Last Week's Rank: 11th
Like several teams in the NFL, just when you start liking Detroit after five consecutive spread winners and squaring their record at 3-3, they are bushwhacked by Seattle. Winning in the Twin Cities will be a real chore this Sunday.
Odds:+2500 Record: 4-3 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 17th
The Bears put together a good workmanlike showing in beating the New York Jets. Chicago should have a very good chance of securing another victory, catching Buffalo on a short week off a division battle.
Odds:+4000 Record: 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS Last Week's Rank: 14th
Cincinnati's defense is ravaged with injuries at all three levels. Players that should be seeing 10 to 15 snaps are playing full time and the current backups are just warm bodies. Even with a week off, not sure where the Marvin Lewis turns for answers.
Odds:+5000 Record: 3-4 SU and 3-4-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 15th
Dallas should be ready for Monday night against Tennessee who is on a three-game losing streak. However, the Cowboys are 24-40 ATS as home favorites since 2008, which would make any football bettor skittish.
Odds: +2800 Record: 5-2 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 17th
The win over the Giants was not a thing of beauty, but Washington has put together a 3-0 SU & ATS streak for the first time since the middle of the 2016 season. A home win versus Atlanta this week would appear very important since five of the Redskins next seven will be away from home.
Odds:+6600 Record: 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS Last Week's Rank: 19th
With New Orleans and Carolina pulling away in the NFC South, Atlanta has their work cut out for them. Besides an injured and already suspect defense, the Falcons will be on the road for six of remaining nine contests, six which will be outdoors, where they often struggle.
Odds:+15000 Record: 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS Last Week's Rank: 23rd
Indianapolis is not a contender, yet they are making strides in the right direction. The Colts have a nice assortment of young players that show potential and as we mentioned last week, they are playing hard for new coach Frank Reich.
Odds: +5000 Record: 3-5 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 21st
Jacksonville has gone from a team on the rise to a team that likes to party harder and has someone else pick up the tab. Coach Doug Marrone is known as a hard-ass and needs to take control of this team.
Odds:+25000 Record: 3-4 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 22nd
It's official, you can see it coming, upheaval in Tampa Bay again. Jameis Winston is out again, coach Dirk Koetter will be shown the door at season's end and Ryan Fitzpatrick will play good enough for the Buccaneers to lose.
Odds:+75000 Record: 1-9 SU and 3-5 ATS Last Week's Rank: 29th
First-year head coach Pat Shurmur has a decision to make with New York on a bye week. Continue with a washed up Eli Manning at quarterback or start rookie Kyle Lauletta, who has not dressed for any of the Giants games this season. Decisions, decisions.
Odds:+200000 Record: 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS Last Week's Rank: 28th
San Francisco had a 15-3 lead with just over 13 minutes left in the game at Arizona and they could not close the deal. The 49ers are on pace for a second straight 1-10 start to a season. But wait, Oakland's coming, maybe a second win is on the way.
Odds:+20000 Record: 4-4 SU and ATS Last Week's Rank: 24th
With Ryan Tannehill injured again, it appears any thoughts of him being a franchise quarterback are done. Brock Osweiler is what he is and once again Miami is a rudderless ship. The Fins have the Jets at home and they are 5-16 ATS against Gang Green in their own building.
Odds:+30000 Record: 2-5-1 SU and 5-3 ATS Last Week's Rank: 27th
Not sure about firing a head coach in the middle of the season that you were probably going to jettison at the end of the year anyway. But it's Cleveland so to expect anything different is silly. Not a big deal, all the Browns have to do is prepare for is Kansas City. Gulp.
Odds:+75000 Record: 2-5 SU and 4-2-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 31st
It was hardly a thing of beauty, but Arizona went on a 15-0 fourth-quarter run and is 2-0 against San Francisco and winless against everyone else. The Cardinals should party like the Jaguars secondary because, after a week off, they travel to Kansas City.
Odds:+100000 Record: 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS Last Week's Rank: 32nd
Watching John Gruden on the sidelines is not the same. What used to be Chucky and a Super Bowl-winning coach now looks like your confused uncle Chuck. At least the Raiders are facing a team as inept as they are in San Francisco on Thursday night