NFL 6-Point Teasers For Your Betting Arsenal - Week 12 Picks
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
We had a bounce-back week, nailing a three-teamer and a couple of two-teamers. That helped raise our record to 29-15 (17-7 L6W) and IT helped prop up our profit picture. The mission this week is to at least duplicate what we did and hopefully do one better and sweep the board.
Because we have focused on the weekend games, having three on Thanksgiving contests robs us of one opportunity which would be taking Dallas from -7 to -1, that for sure would be on the list.
Here is a look at the four teasers we like for this upcoming week. If you are new to this article, skip down to below the games to learn a great way to make money betting NFL teasers.
Here is why San Francisco looks like the right side at +9. When we look at how the 49ers lost by more than nine points to, it was the Rams, Chiefs, and Arizona. The first two are no big deal and if they were not -5 in turnovers to the Cardinals, that doesn't happen either. What we are saying is the Niners have shown the ability to stay with nine points against everyone else they have played. Let's also consider that Tampa Bay gives away a lot of points, which is proved by having a -25 turnover margin in their past eight games, which should also work to the Niners advantage. Moving past key numbers 6 and 7 is also positive.
Is anyone excited Ryan Tannehill is coming back for Miami? We are not and this gives us a chance to side with one of our favorite teaser numbers. Indianapolis is playing excellent football. Andrew Luck is 100 percent back and is showing what he can do with protection and his young offensive line is providing that. The Colts defense is run of the mill, but in their past three home games, they have allowed less than 14 PPG. With this teaser we fall below the 7,6 and 3 and here is the crusher. In the Dolphins last nine road games against a team completing 61 percent or more of their passes, they are losing by 19.5 PPG.
New England has been frequent teaser play of ours the last several years and for good reason, they win. Once again we hop on their saddle since they ride past key numbers. The Jets are struggling to score, lacking playmakers which help a rather ordinary Patriots defense. New England, as is usually the case has the numbers to back it up. The Pats are 80-18 against a teaser line after allowing six or more yards a play in their previous game and a perfect 16-0 having won three of their last four contests.
The Texans are on a major roll with seven straight wins and with a less than daunting schedule, if New England or Pittsburgh would slip up again, they could move up to the No.2 seed in the AFC. As we went to publish this article, the availability of Tennessee's Marcus Mariota was still unknown. But given the up and down nature of his play and in turn the Titans, we feel comfortable with this teaser knowing Houston just has to win the game. This is further solidified by the Texans at 24-2 against a teaser line versus a pass defense allowing a completion percentage of 64 percent or higher.
Special Note from Author: You should know betting NFL teasers is just not about shaving or adding more points on a spread wager, it is about creating value going against key numbers. This is the real secret to beating the oddsmakers numbers.
The keys numbers we are talking about are 3, 6, 7, 10, 13 and 14. These are the most common outcomes in the NFL and if you can situate your wagers on the right side of these figures, you can dramatically enhance your chances of winning teasers.