NFL 6-Point Teasers For Your Betting Arsenal - Week 14 Picks
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
We continue to press on with our winning NFL teaser picks and are after more winners again sweeping the board at 4-0. That is correct, we won all our combinations and if you are following and taking our advise, you are building some nice profits at this time.
That has brought our overall record to 38-16 (26-8 L8W) and getting closer to our benchmark figure of 75 percent, which we have actually surpassed now the past two months. While we realize winning three quarters of all teasers this year is unlikely (we would have to go 16-0), don't think for a second we're satisfied and want to get as close as possible.
Here is a look at the four teasers we like for this upcoming week. If you are new to this article, skip down to below the games to learn a great way to make money betting NFL teasers.
Houston has ripped off nine consecutive wins and has a captivating matchup with Indianapolis this week. It would seem at some point the Texans would lose and if the Colts had won at Jacksonville last Sunday as expected, this would have been a likely spot, even at home. However, Indy has not covered their last two contests and has gone back to committing multiple turnovers, which is costing them. That is why the idea of making Houston an underdog is appealing and like that the Texans are 19-1 against a teaser line versus defenses allowing 235 or more passing yards a game since 2016.
The Saints played with little emotion or energy in loss at Dallas. Give the Cowboys their due, if New Orleans was not ready to play, that is not their problem. This Sunday with extra rest and trying to work to get back to the top seed in the NFC becomes important for the rest of the season and the Saints should be much more focused. If this is true, our ability to slide under key numbers of 7, 6 and 3 is a benefit and the fact we like that Drew Brees' team is 23-2 against a teaser line versus teams averaging 375 or more yards a game.
New England Taken from -8 to -2 over Miami
This teaser is basically the same as the one above, especially from the key numbers perspective. Another component is New England has seen their fair share of odd games with the Dolphins in Miami. As to why that would be, who knows. But this we do know, the Patriots are 19-1 against a teaser line having won four of their last five games the last three seasons.
Minnesota Taken from +3.5 to +9.5 against Seattle
You might be thinking, didn't Minnesota just lost by 14 at New England and will have to play on the opposite coast against one the hotter teams in the NFC? All true if those are your thoughts, but let's go further. The Vikings have lost five times and on four of those occasions they have rebounded to win the next contest and lost the other by just seven points at the Rams. While we really like how Seattle is playing, when reviewing the numbers, they have won by more 10 or more points four times and all were against opposing teams that are well below .500, except Dallas, who is a completely different squad from the Week 3 model. Next, let's dig deeper, where we find Minnesota is 14-4 ATS against a standard spread off a road loss, winning by 6.1 PPG. And when Seattle is off a 21 or more point blowout victory of a division rival, they have a negative point differential of -3.1 PPG in the 21 games they played next.
Special Note from Author: You should know betting NFL teasers is just not about shaving or adding more points on a spread wager, it is about creating value going against key numbers. This is the real secret to beating the oddsmakers numbers.
The keys numbers we are talking about are 3, 6, 7, 10, 13 and 14. These are the most common outcomes in the NFL and if you can situate your wagers on the right side of these figures, you can dramatically enhance your chances of winning teasers.