NFL 6-Point Teasers For Your Betting Arsenal - Week 17 Picks
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
Just like last week, we went 3-1 and picked up teasers that produced winners on a three-teamer and two-teamers, adding to our ever-growing bankroll. That has brought our overall record to 46-21 (33-13 L11W) and we look to close the regular season with a flourish.
Here is a look at the four teasers we like for this upcoming week.
Like always, the idea of this teaser is not only to win but get past key numbers. Here we slide thru like 7, 6 and 3 and are asking Green Bay to defeat Detroit by just two points. This should not be an issue for the Packers since they are 25-2 SU at home against the Lions since 1992. Detroit is 2-7 SU since beating Dallas and Green Bay in October and they have played as they packed it in. Also, we have this Teaser System: Take teams like the Packers in a 6-point teaser, who commit 1.25 or fewer turnovers a game, versus a team that forces 1.25 or fewer turnovers a contest, past the midpoint of the season, after four consecutive games where they committed one or fewer turnovers. (63-3, 95.5%)
With two losses, Houston has fallen from the No.2 in the AFC to the third-seed and if they would drop this contest to Jacksonville, they would lose the division and slide to a Wild Card team. One would think the Texans now more than ever have to seal this deal to play at home next week and play with more urgency. As mentioned above, we are passing thru important football numbers on a team that needs a win. We also have this caveat, when a team drops from -9 to -7 on the spread, that team is 61-10 against teaser lines.
With Pittsburgh losing at New Orleans and Baltimore upsetting the L.A. Chargers, the Ravens win the AFC North with a victory over Cleveland. Baltimore has won five of six with Lamar Jackson at quarterback and his confidence is growing as a passer. The Ravens at Even is nothing more than insurance if something unforeseen might happen. After being in this same position to make the postseason and playing at home in Week 17, don't expect Baltimore to blow two straight years. Besides, the Ravens are 23-1 against a teaser line in home games after allowing four or fewer yards a play in their previous contest.
The Rams have to beat San Francisco to lock up the No.2 seed in the NFC and earn a bye week. Los Angeles played more like normal last week in routing Arizona and they are facing a 49ers team that is 0-7 on the road and losing by 10.3 PPG. Toss in the Niners are losing by 9.1 PPG against NFC competition this year and being crushed by 19.5 PPG when the total is 49.5 and higher since 2016. The Rams appear a very solid teaser play.
Special Note from Author: You should know betting NFL teasers is just not about shaving or adding more points on a spread wager, it is about creating value going against key numbers. This is the real secret to beating the oddsmakers numbers.
The keys numbers we are talking about are 3, 6, 7, 10, 13 and 14. These are the most common outcomes in the NFL and if you can situate your wagers on the right side of these figures, you can dramatically enhance your chances of winning teasers.