If you are returning to read this week's NFL teaser article or are seeing for the first time here, we would like to go over important factors one more time that cannot be stressed enough if you want to beat the sportsbook.
Betting NFL teasers is just not about shaving or adding more points on a spread wager, it is about creating value going against key numbers. This is the real secret to beating the oddsmakers numbers.
The keys numbers we are talking about are 3, 6, 7, 10, 13 and 14. These are the most common outcomes in the NFL and if you can situate your wagers on the right side of these figures, you can dramatically enhance your chances of winning teasers.
When making teaser bets, it's recommended to keep them at either two or four picks. Because the higher you go, the rewards might be greater, but the risks are also enhanced. Here the typical payouts at sportsbooks like Intertops.
2-teamer +100 (on $100 wager)
3-teamer +165 (on $100 wager)
4-teamer +265 (on $100 wager)
Last week we went 3-1 on teasers and had hit a three-teamer and couple two-teamers. We missed nailing a four-teamer by one point, but that fine, we will hit others this season, maybe even this week.
New head coaches are 0 and 7 this season
Atlanta Taken From -6 to a Pick over Carolina
The Falcons moved the ball on Philadelphia marvelously the first two drives but only came with three points on first and goal twice. Look for the Falcons to clean that up back home. Carolina's offense moved the ball a little better than expected against Dallas, as their offensive line is missing two important starters. However, 16 points on the road against Atlanta is unlikely to get it done. With us coming off the six points for this teaser, crawling under the No. 3, we just need the Dirty Birds to win outright and are they are 19-5 at home versus the Panthers on the teaser line.
Pittsburgh Taken From -4 to +2 over Kansas City
The Steelers were fortunate beyond comprehension to commit six turnovers and not lose at Cleveland. Coach Mike Tomlin will demand more focus after all the Le'Veon Bell comments. He realizes Kansas City has big play capabilities that could spell defeat for Pittsburgh. With this teaser, we flip Pitt from faves to underdogs and they are 28-2 on the teaser line at home after gaining 300 or more passing yards in last game.
Falcons' Ryan looking to rebound as Panthers visit
Philadelphia Taken From -3 to +3 over Tampa Bay
Maybe Tampa Bay QB Ryan Fitzpatrick will have another unbelievable game, he's done it before. History also shows us that he can have a terrible outing his next time out, which is why he's played for eight different teams. The Eagles defense can put together a suffocating pass rush and cover in the secondary, which could lead to Fitzpatrick tossing up 50-50 balls like in the past. Being able to take Philly up to +3 feels like a gift when you know they are 32-4 in teasers under coach Pederson.
New Orleans Taken From -8.5 to -2.5 over Cleveland
The Saints defense was a joke last week in surrendering 48 points. Since that will be a focal point all week and we know the offense can still keep the lights on the scoreboard flashing, being able to cruise thru key numbers like 7, 6 and 3, should place us in a very advantageous spot. With Cleveland losing by 12.5 PP as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points under Hue Jackson, all we are doing here is buying insurance.
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