NFL 6-Point Teasers For Your Betting Arsenal - Week 6 Picks
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
We hit just one two-teamer for teasers last week which was disappointing, as Tennessee and Buffalo could not even reach 34 points for our adjusted play. That took us from a positive cash position to a negative one and we will seek to rectify that situation immediately.
The number one quality of any sports handicapper is honesty, speak the truth and people will trust you with their money (as long as you don't lose consistently).
For NFL teasers, in our opinion, this is the toughest weeks of the season to date, with various games having the potential to go either way. Thus, we spent extra time to find the best teasers possible in our opinion.
These NFL odds are courtesy of Intertops.
L.A. Rams Taken From -7 to a -1 over Denver
Denver supplied a great effort against Kansas City and could have won but didn't and was flat six days later at the Jets and were destroyed. Back home the Broncos typically play better, yet, does anyone see them beating the Rams? We don't and Jared Goff's offense has the same explosive potential of the Chiefs and Todd Gurley is frequently unstoppable as a runner or pass-catcher. Once again, we stress the importance of dropping below a 6 and 3 and only need L.A. to avoid a one-point victory for the win. Since Vance Joseph became the Denver coach, they are being outscored by 5.9 PPG.
Both these AFC teams arrive in Nashville coming off defeats in which they were the favored team. Baltimore has the more talented overall roster, but they continue to not play to their ability too often. Tennessee plays in a similar fashion, which makes them frustrating also. This has the makings a rugged, low-scoring affair, with the Ravens No.1 in fewest points allowed and the Titans at No.3. Barring a rash of turnovers, backing the home team at +9 in what should be a close contest makes sense, as does getting off the 3 and going past the 6 and 7 with Tennessee. The Titans are 15-0 against a teaser line off one or more losses the last three seasons.
Minnesota Taken From -10 to -4 over Arizona
This is not our favorite number to land on, nonetheless, we like the situation a great deal. Arizona just won their first game of the season but was outgained by a whopping 227yards. The Cardinals benefitted from five San Francisco turnovers. Few if any will predict the Cards have the skill to win back to back road games with a rookie quarterback in Josh Rosen, especially against a veteran team like Minnesota. Usually, we prefer a -3 or lower in this spot, but at least we are still crawling under the 6 and 7, which helps. The Vikings have beaten the Redbirds eight straight at home by an average of 13 PPG and won the teaser odds each time. Additionally, with the total at 43. when Arizona faces a total between 42.5 and 49 points, the last 10 times that has occurred they have lost by an average of 14 points.
Kansas City/New England Taken from 59 to OVER 53 Total
This total is the highest of the week at 59. Both these offenses are very effective and efficient and are known for scoring touchdowns and not settling for field goal attempts. With this totals teaser, we are able to secure what seems like real value for the No.2 (K.C.) and No.5 (N.E.) offenses in yards per point. This speaks directly to each club generating yardage and keeping the scoreboard operator busy. Besides this, both defenses have shown vulnerability against oppoents that can move the pigskin which also helps our cause. Finally, the Patriots 22-1 OVER the teaser total in home games after two straight wins by 14 or more points.
Special Note from Author: You should know betting NFL teasers is just not about shaving or adding more points on a spread wager, it is about creating value going against key numbers. This is the real secret to beating the oddsmakers numbers.
The keys numbers we are talking about are 3, 6, 7, 10, 13 and 14. These are the most common outcomes in the NFL and if you can situate your wagers on the right side of these figures, you can dramatically enhance your chances of winning teasers.