NFL 6-Point Teasers For Your Betting Arsenal - Week 8 Picks
by Doug Upstone Scores & Statson
We are getting close again! We nailed a three-teamer and a pair of two-teamers for the second straight week. That raised out teaser record to 18-10 and if we can do at least that well again in Week 8, we will back on the positive side for profits and have the rest of the season to build on it.
Here is a look at the four teasers we like for this upcoming week. If you are new to this article, skip down to below the games to learn a great way to make money betting NFL teasers.
These two teams played to a tie in Week 1, in a contest Cleveland should have actually won but they missed makeable field goals. Both teams are different since that early September date, as the Browns have won a couple times and Baker Mayfield has taken over as the quarterback. Pittsburgh's offense has a much better flow since the start of the season and the defense has made strides in improving. This is a numbers-valued teaser as we slide under 7,6 and 3 which places us in a good spot if a close than anticipated conflict occurs. In addition, the Steelers are 30-3 against a teaser line at home games versus division opponents.
Cleveland/Pittsburgh Taken from 51 to UNDER 57 Total
Not a big fan of having two-action playa on the same game, but a lot of people to, especially on teasers. Besides, this where we found the most value on a total. Cleveland averages 21.6 PPG this season and only once have they climbed above 23 points and it seems unlikely they would get past that figure, particularly on the road. Pittsburgh's defense has been more aggressive, without being out of position and in their last two outings, as they have limited two good offenses in Atlanta and Cincinnati to 38 total points. Since the Browns got that their football franchise back in 1999, only twice have these teams scored than 57 points playing twice a year. (They did reach 57 two others times.) There is little reason think these rivals will play high-scoring affair.
Seattle Taken From +3 to +9 against Detroit
This is very good NFC matchup of two teams who started 0-2 and have bounced back by winning three of four. Trying to predict the spread winner might be a challenge and if that is correct, there seems to be real value in taking Seattle. The Seahawks at this number cross the points thresholds of 6 and 7 and we avoid the push on 3. Detroit has the better offense and weaker defense in this matchup. However, where Seattle has an edge is they have found a running game and in their prior three contests they have averaged 172 YPG on the ground and they can take advantage of the Lions No.30 run defense. Let's put a bow on this knowing the last 16 times the Seahawks have gone over 150 yards rushing in back to back games, they have won by 12.8 PPG.
Kansas City has risen as a favorite too -10 over Denver as the week progressed. For this teaser, that is about as far as we want to go. The Chiefs are 7-0 ATS this season and are winning by 10.1 PPG. Denver slowed them as much as any team has, but that was at a mile high, not in the land of barbeque. At home, K.C. is winning by more than 20 PPG, which would seem to place a large amount of pressure on Case Keenum to match points and possibly force passes that lead to turnovers. Now down to -4, we go past a couple of key numbers and find Kansas City 18-0 against a teaser line after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in last game.
Special Note from Author: You should know betting NFL teasers is just not about shaving or adding more points on a spread wager, it is about creating value going against key numbers. This is the real secret to beating the oddsmakers numbers.
The keys numbers we are talking about are 3, 6, 7, 10, 13 and 14. These are the most common outcomes in the NFL and if you can situate your wagers on the right side of these figures, you can dramatically enhance your chances of winning teasers.