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NFL Week 6 Line Moves Report

In looking over the line moves for this week of the NFL season, you either play it conservative and narrow your choices or become a daredevil like Richard Branson and go all out.

That is what the Week 6 card looks like and we will start with those who still think bungee-jumping sound like fun.

Put on Big Boy Pants on for These Lines Moves and Spreads

Check out these line moves and spread adjustments.

Houston -9 to -10 over Cleveland

Atlanta -10 to -12 over Miami

Denver -10 to -11.5 over N.Y. Giants

To see these big of spreads in the middle of October is certainly newsworthy. I am not going to say what side is correct, but in looking at either, these are some very challenging choices.

Miss last week’s line moves? Here’s my NFL Week 5 Line Moves Report.

Let's start with the underdogs. A good rule to follow in the NFL is to always consider any team catching more than seven points. If you have the NFL Ticket or Red Zone package, invariably, 70 percent of the time in the last three minutes, your bet comes down to needing a touchdown or protecting a one score lead. You know this going in.

Backing Cleveland is not much fun since they are 4-16 ATS since last year, losing by an average of 11.2 points a game. Yet, are you 100 percent sold on a weakened Houston defense handing out double digits? Also keep in mind the Browns have scored only 77 points, but 36 have come in the fourth quarter in mostly garbage time, which could be troubling handing out 10 points.

The situation favors Atlanta, and you can understand why bettors like them. Miami is the lowest-scoring team in the NFL at 10.6 PPG and faces a Falcons team that is known for fast starts and scoring a lot of points at home in recent years and is coming in off a bye week and upset loss to Buffalo, thanks to 3-0 turnover differential. However, while the Dolphins look to be in a bad spot, do you really want to go against their 27-14-2 ATS record as non-division road underdogs since 2007?

See the latest NFL line moves and odds here all season long.

The New York Giants have no running game, a plethora of wide receivers either out or having some injury, and are going with a 37-year old quarterback who is clearly in decline. Take that group and place them up against one the best defenses in the NFL and you wonder if +11.5 is close to enough. While we assume the G-Men are done at 0-5, the Denver offense is not exactly the St. Louis Rams "The Greatest Show on Turf", with a couple of 16-point showing the last two games. And while it is conceivable the Broncos defense could hold New York to single digits, backing a double digit spread with total down to 39.5 narrows the window if oddsmakers are correct.

Jaguars On The Prowl

Here is a question I do not know the specific answer to, but let's say this has not happened in awhile. The Los Angeles Rams are in Jacksonville and this nonconference clash opened as a Pick. Those betting football evidently actually like what they see in the Jaguars and have shoved them to -3. That's right, actual living breathing humans backing the Jags. (Likely without Russian-backed Facebook pages named - Jaguars Are Better Than Russian Vodka) Is the number right, I would say "yes" and here is how to pick the right side. What team will be the first to 100 yards rushing and match that with at least 200 yards passing?

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