The Kansas City Chiefs won the AFC West for the third consecutive season last year. The Chiefs and Chargers both finished with a 12-4 record, but the Chiefs had a better division record and won.

This season, the Chiefs are favored to repeat as AFC West champions.

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However, I love the value on the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chiefs are still going to be tough, but the team has suffered some major setbacks due to off-field issues.

The Chargers have one of the best teams in the NFL and it’s balanced. The Chargers typically find a way to mess things up, but the team has Super Bowl expectations in 2019-20.

Odds to Win the AFC West in 2019

  • Kansas City Chiefs -165
  • Los Angeles Chargers +150
  • Denver Broncos +950
  • Oakland Raiders +1350

There’s no way I’d be betting on the Chiefs at odds-on. It looks like WR Tyreek Hill won’t be facing any disciplinary action from the NFL, but this team still lost a stud RB in Kareem Hunt.

I can’t imagine Patrick Mahomes will outperform his rookie numbers either. Teams are going to have more film on him now and I expect defenses to try and get after him more this season.

The Chargers are my bet to win the AFC West and I even like them to win the Super Bowl (+1150).

Kansas City Chiefs Team Preview

Despite Hunt being gone, this offense is among the best units in the NFL. The running game won’t be as good with Damien Williams leading the way, but the team still has a deadly passing offense.

The Chiefs will put up points again after ranking 1st last season with 35.3 PPG. They used their first draft pick (#56) on WR Mecole Hardman who should see playing time right away.

The defense lost some key pieces in Dee Ford, Justin Houston and Eric Berry. This unit allowed 26.3 PPG (24th) last season and that could become worse as the Chiefs have a tough schedule.

Los Angeles Chargers Team Preview

Everyone has a tough schedule in the AFC West except the Chargers, which should benefit them if they’re in a close race with the Chiefs again at the end of the regular season.

Philip Rivers is coming off one of his best seasons. He completed 68.3% of his passes for 4308 yards, 32 TDs and 12 INTs. However, Tyrell Williams and Antonio Gates are gone and haven’t been replaced.

The Chargers defense only allowed 20.6 PPG (8th) and 333.7 YPG (9th) last season. They drafted with a defensive focus and this unit will rank inside the top 10 again.

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Denver Broncos Team Preview

The Broncos are rebuilding and they had a lot of turnover this off-season. Joe Flacco looks like he’ll start at QB, but it’s only a matter of time before rookie Drew Lock gets his chance.

Both QBs will struggle regardless, as the Broncos lack talent at WR. Emmanuel Sanders is the #1 and he’s targeting a week 1 return after suffering an Achilles injury.

Denver allowed 365.1 YPG (22nd), but held teams to 21.8 PPG (13th) last season. The defense had a lot of turnover, though, and I don’t expect this unit to be as strong. Denver will be terrible in 2019-20.

Oakland Raiders Team Preview

Jon Gruden is still tooling the Raiders how he wants them to be and they’re a work in progress. This was a good off-season, though, as the Raiders added Antonio Brown among other WRs.

Derek Carr has no excuses this season and he needs to put up big numbers. The Raiders are a team that could surprise and hang around early in the season, but they’re not going to win the AFC West.

The defense is still among the worst in the NFL. Last year they ranked last in points allowed (29.2 PPG) and they’re going to give up plenty more. This team is a few years away from competing.

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