Once again the PGA heads into uncharted territory with the changes made to this year's schedule with the second inaugural event in a row. And, once again a relatively light field has a predictable name, Brooks Koepka this week, at the top of the favorites list. Koepka comes in as the outright favorite at +650 with Hideki Matsuyama trailing him at +1000.

There are plenty of other top-ranked players in 156 player field but it’s an amazingly similar to last week’s Classic where Nate Lashley, a relatively unknown player who started last weekend at the final moment as an alternate. The former player turned REALTOR, lost both parents and a sibling a few years back and stepped away from the game. It’s safe to say he’s back as last weeks TOUR win locks him in for several years and tee times at the Masters.

Here are the top-six players to win the 3M Open outright according to Intertops complete with odds and rank on the current Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR) list. You’ll note that the 3M Open has four of top-25 ranked players in the top-five favorites list.

 

Brooks Koepka+650No. 1
Hideki Matsuyama+1000No. 31
Jason Day+1100No. 18
Bryson DeChambeau+1400No. 8
Patrick Reed+2200No. 25

 

No Stats to Compare from TPC Twin Cities

The Fourth of July week is now the date for the inaugural playing of the 3M Open. The event takes place at TPC Twin Cities which is located North of Minneapolis in Blaine, Minnesota. If the course sounds familiar it’s because it’s an Arnold Palmer designed a facility that hosted the PGA Champions Tour, formerly Senior PGA, event since the mid-1990s.

But, it’s the first time a regularly scheduled PGA Tour event has taken place there. With no historical data to cover it probably a good idea to look at what happened last week along with a bit of information about the course.

As mentioned above, Nate Lashley, went from alternate to the top of the leader board and dominated the field by six strokes earning his first win. While the chance of an alternate repeating that feat at the second inaugural event in a row is slim, the door is once again open for a PGA journeyman to capture a win.


Golf Glance: 3M Open


Much of the top-25 ranked OWGR players are taking a break but there are plenty of top-15 through top-30 names lurking. Luke List and Charles Howell III come to mind. And, famed players that have hit a slight drought could come storming back. Think Phil Mickelson, Patrick Reed, or Tony Finau.

Now factor in the course. TPC Twin Cities has been expanded to add distance for the pro tour but the greens and landing areas are very playable. After all, it’s been polished for the PGA Champions Tour which is not known for beating players down. The one obvious factor that may come into play is water as more than half of the holes feature water hazards. Courses such as TPC Sawgrass and Nine Bridges could offer some insight as far as similar layout and play.

Predicting the 3M Open

It’s an open book! Excuse the 3M Open pun. But it’s true. This is a new course on the schedule with only a few practice rounds available to see how golfers approach the opening round on Thursday. Any data collected at the beginning of the week would probably be useful when making picks so be ready to do some homework on the PGA website.

Koepka is the obvious favorite but he seemed a bit inaccurate the last few rounds. If he settles in with his driver and long irons he will be hard to beat. His key to success is ball placement after finding the landing area. The yardage has lengthened, but Koepka can overcome that quick with a solid opening two days. If he gets out front it will be hard to track him down.



Patrick Reed has seen an uptick in play and last week in Detroit at the Classic he finished T5 after banging around the links hovering around 70 each day. It was not the most picturesque play Reed has offered up as a pro but it does show that he’s continuing to work on his game and will eventually break his winless streak. Reed’s key to success is keeping emotions in check if errant shots find water.

Finally, it’s hard to pass over the effort and amazing week Nate Lashley had last week. Maybe stepping away from the game helped more than anyone realized. Actually, people have noticed! Oddsmakers at Intertops have him in the running at +6000 with a group of serious players and if you put numbers in front of the names that places him inside the top-25 players favored to win out of a field of 156.

He’s also jumped up the OWGR list following his impressive win. Entering the 2019 season he was ranked No. 477 in the world. Last week he started Thursday play ranked No. 353 and this week he’s ranked as the No. 101 best player in the world.

Odds to win the 2019 3M Open Outright

 

Brooks Koepka+650
Hideki Matsuyama+1000
Jason Day+1100
Bryson DeChambeau+1400
Patrick Reed+2200
Joaquin Niemann+2500
Tony Finau+2800
Viktor Hovland+2800
Keegan Bradley+3300
Sung-Jae Im+3300
Rory Sabbatini+3300
Kevin Streelman+4000
Kevin Na+4000
Ryan Moore+4000
Phil Mickelson+4000
Charles Howell III+4500
Scott Piercy+5000
Adam Hadwin+5000
Daniel Berger+6000
Kyle Stanley+6000
Nate Lashley+6600
Brian Harman+6600
Collin Morikawa+6600
Jimmy Walker+6600
Charley Hoffman+7500
Nick Watney+7500
Lucas Glover+8000
Danny Lee+8000
Pat Perez+8000
JJ Spaun+8000
Talor Gooch+8000
Peter Malnati+8000
Jason Dufner+8000
Cameron Tringale+8000
Sepp Straka+8000
Keith Mitchell+10000
Luke List+10000
Cameron Champ+10000
Sunghoon Kang+10000
Mackenzie Hughes+10000
Martin Laird+10000
Bud Cauley+10000
Corey Conners+10000
Sam Burns+10000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+10000
Dylan Frittelli+12500
Brendan Steele+12500
Doc Redman+12500
Chesson Hadley+12500
Jonas Blixt+12500
Nick Taylor+12500
Si-Woo Kim+12500
Matthew Wolff+12500
Michael Thompson+12500
Austin Cook+12500
Wyndham Clark+12500
Max Homa+15000
Beau Hossler+15000
Wes Roach+15000
Denny McCarthy+15000
Troy Merritt+15000
Russell Henley+15000
Adam Schenk+15000
Sam Ryder+15000
Bill Haas+15000
Roberto Diaz+15000
Peter Uihlein+15000
Hank Lebioda+15000
Stephan Jaeger+15000
Zack Sucher+15000
Shawn Stefani+15000
Adam Long+17500
Matt Jones+17500
Scott Stallings+17500
Alex Prugh+20000
Bronson Burgoon+20000
Brice Garnett+20000
Scott Brown+20000
Trey Mullinax+20000
Andrew Landry+20000
Harris English+20000
Sebastian Munoz+20000
Ryan Blaum+20000
Ted Potter+20000
Anirban Lahiri+20000
David Hearn+20000
Roger Sloan+20000
Brian Gay+20000
Ryan Armour+20000
Robert Streb+20000
Cameron Davis+25000
Roberto Castro+25000
Sang Moon Bae+25000
Tyler Duncan+25000
Tyrone Van Aswegen+25000
Brandon Harkins+25000
Carlos Ortiz+25000
Patton Kizzire+25000
Scott Langley+25000
Ollie Schniederjans+25000
Jim Knous+25000
Ben Silverman+25000
Chris Stroud+25000
Curtis Luck+25000
Tom Hoge+25000
Joey Garber+25000

 

 

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