It’s the last chance for players to gather enough FedEx points in the playoffs to move on to the Tour Championship. This week’s 2019 BMW Championship has a no-cut 70 man field with the winner taking home 2000 points. Midway through the weekend, we should have a clearer picture on will help set the top-30 player field for Atlanta at East Lake. Currently, Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka ride the top of the favored list as both are +800 heading into Thursday’s opening round.

McIlroy won the event in 2012 when the event made it’s first of two appearances at Crooked Stick Golf Club in  Indiana. This year the tournament, which rotates venues set by the Western Golf Association, will be played at Medinah Country Club on the Club’s Course 3 in Medinah, Illinois. It’s the first time the BMW Championship has visited the site but the venue has hosted three U.S. Opens in 1949, 1975, and 1990. Two PGA Championships were played at the course in 1999 and 2006.


Golf Glance: Race for top 30 heats up at BMW Championship


Most recently the course hosted the 2012 Ryder Cup and McIlroy was a member of the winning European team. That may be part of the reason McIlroy is a co-favorite – in addition to his 2019 season which has seen him nail down two wins and jump to the top of the standings while being ranked No. 3 in the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR). Here are the top favored players to win the BMW Championship outright with odds and current OWGR rank.

 

Rory McIlroy+800No. 3
Brooks Koepka+800No. 1
Jon Rahm+1000No. 5
Dustin Johnson+1400No. 2
Justin Thomas+1400No. 10

 

Keegan Bradley Defending Champ

Last year Keegan Bradley went 20-under to win the BMW Championship in a playoff against Justin Rose at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. Rose is also a former winner as he took home the title in 2011. Bradley, now at +12500, will have to worry about more than just Rose as eleven of twelve former BMW winners are in the field! The only one missing is  Camilo Villegas who won the event in 2008.

 

2018Keegan Bradley−20Playoff over Justin Rose
2017Marc Leishman−235 strokes over Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose
2016Dustin Johnson−233 strokes over Paul Casey
2015Jason Day−226 strokes over Daniel Berger
2014Billy Horschel−142 strokes over Bubba Watson
2013Zach Johnson−162 strokes over Nick Watney
2012Rory McIlroy−202 strokes over Phil Mickelson, Lee Westwood
2011Justin Rose−132 strokes over John Senden
2010Dustin Johnson−91 stroke over Paul Casey
2009Tiger Woods−198 strokes over Jim Furyk, Marc Leishman
2008Camilo Villegas−152 strokes over Dudley Hart
2007Tiger Woods−222 strokes over Aaron Baddeley

 

Predicting the BMW Championship

First, at this writing heading into the opening round, Tiger Woods is still scheduled to play at the BMW Championship but he was forced to withdraw last week due to an oblique strain. There’s some question as to if he makes it through practice and pro-am events to actual tournament play. If Tiger is healthy enough he’ll have to put on a show at the BMW as he’s currently ranked 38 in FedEx points and needs to improve to the top-thirty in order to defend his Tour Championship win last season. 

McIlroy, Koepka, and Jon Rahm are the three favorites and anyone of them can take the win heading into the season finale in Atlanta. McIlroy and Koepka are pretty straight forward pics but Rahm may be the best sleeper pic hiding in plain sight! Rahm has seen a win this season and two T3 finishes one of those being last week at the Northern Trust when Patrick Reed took home the win.



Speaking of Patrick Reed, his win last week was certainly a confidence boost as he wiped away a winless streak dating back to his win at the Masters last season. Over the course of the last few months, Reed has begun to show the finesse shots that made him a winner in Augusta come back to join his distance off the tee. In short, Reed enters the opening round of the BMW with the look of a player who’s ready to use all of the clubs in his bag. Everything is on the table.

The course, Medinah Country Club, should be a welcome sight to the players. Water comes into play on a few holes, bunkers as not crazy, fairways are tree-lined yet fairly wide, and the greens should be heavily watered due to the summer humidity. Problems players will face may be a result of their own doing as the Rees Jones redesign of a Tom Bendelow original is somewhat straight forward. Don’t get me wrong, it’s a PGA caliber course so it has its challenges. But tree-lined fairways, some fun dog-legs, and a few small greens are nothing the top-70 FedEx ranked players have not seen before.

Odds to win the 2019 BMW Championship Outright

 

Rory McIlroy+800
Brooks Koepka+800
Jon Rahm+1000
Dustin Johnson+1400
Justin Thomas+1400
Justin Rose+1600
Patrick Cantlay+2000
Webb Simpson+2200
Patrick Reed+2200
Adam Scott+2200
Tommy Fleetwood+2500
Rickie Fowler+2800
Jordan Spieth+2800
Xander Schauffele+3300
Tony Finau+3300
Louis Oosthuizen+3300
Bryson DeChambeau+4000
Paul Casey+4000
Tiger Woods+4000
Billy Horschel+4000
Hideki Matsuyama+5000
Jason Day+5000
Ian Poulter+5000
Matt Kuchar+5000
Francesco Molinari+5000
Brandt Snedeker+5000
Collin Morikawa+5000
Jason Kokrak+6000
Kevin Kisner+6600
Andrew Putnam+6600
Ryan Moore+6600
Gary Woodland+6600
Marc Leishman+6600
Shane Lowry+6600
Abraham Ancer+6600
Rafael Cabrera Bello+6600
Byeong-Hun An+6600
Rory Sabbatini+8000
Joaquin Niemann+8000
Chez Reavie+8000
Sungjae Im+8000
Charles Howell III+10000
Harold Varner III+10000
JT Poston+12500
Adam Hadwin+12500
Jim Furyk+12500
Lucas Glover+12500
Scott Piercy+12500
Keegan Bradley+12500
Dylan Frittelli+15000
Ryan Palmer+15000
Phil Mickelson+15000
Vaughn Taylor+15000
Emiliano Grillo+15000
Corey Conners+15000
Si-Woo Kim+15000
Troy Merritt+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
C T Pan+15000
Kevin Na+17500
Graeme McDowell+20000
Kevin Tway+20000
Cameron Champ+20000
Keith Mitchell+20000
J.B. Holmes+20000
Nate Lashley+25000
Max Homa+25000
Sung Kang+30000
Joel Dahmen+30000
Adam Long+50000

 

 

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