2019 BMW Championship, Betting Odds, and Prediction
by Kent Whitaker Scores & Statson
It’s the last chance for players to gather enough FedEx points in the playoffs to move on to the Tour Championship. This week’s 2019 BMW Championship has a no-cut 70 man field with the winner taking home 2000 points. Midway through the weekend, we should have a clearer picture on will help set the top-30 player field for Atlanta at East Lake. Currently, Rory McIlroy and Brooks Koepka ride the top of the favored list as both are +800 heading into Thursday’s opening round.
McIlroy won the event in 2012 when the event made it’s first of two appearances at Crooked Stick Golf Club in Indiana. This year the tournament, which rotates venues set by the Western Golf Association, will be played at Medinah Country Club on the Club’s Course 3 in Medinah, Illinois. It’s the first time the BMW Championship has visited the site but the venue has hosted three U.S. Opens in 1949, 1975, and 1990. Two PGA Championships were played at the course in 1999 and 2006.
Most recently the course hosted the 2012 Ryder Cup and McIlroy was a member of the winning European team. That may be part of the reason McIlroy is a co-favorite – in addition to his 2019 season which has seen him nail down two wins and jump to the top of the standings while being ranked No. 3 in the Official World Golf Rankings (OWGR). Here are the top favored players to win the BMW Championship outright with odds and current OWGR rank.
Keegan Bradley Defending Champ
Last year Keegan Bradley went 20-under to win the BMW Championship in a playoff against Justin Rose at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. Rose is also a former winner as he took home the title in 2011. Bradley, now at +12500, will have to worry about more than just Rose as eleven of twelve former BMW winners are in the field! The only one missing is Camilo Villegas who won the event in 2008.
Playoff over Justin Rose
5 strokes over Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose
3 strokes over Paul Casey
6 strokes over Daniel Berger
2 strokes over Bubba Watson
2 strokes over Nick Watney
2 strokes over Phil Mickelson, Lee Westwood
2 strokes over John Senden
1 stroke over Paul Casey
8 strokes over Jim Furyk, Marc Leishman
2 strokes over Dudley Hart
2 strokes over Aaron Baddeley
Predicting the BMW Championship
First, at this writing heading into the opening round, Tiger Woods is still scheduled to play at the BMW Championship but he was forced to withdraw last week due to an oblique strain. There’s some question as to if he makes it through practice and pro-am events to actual tournament play. If Tiger is healthy enough he’ll have to put on a show at the BMW as he’s currently ranked 38 in FedEx points and needs to improve to the top-thirty in order to defend his Tour Championship win last season.
McIlroy, Koepka, and Jon Rahm are the three favorites and anyone of them can take the win heading into the season finale in Atlanta. McIlroy and Koepka are pretty straight forward pics but Rahm may be the best sleeper pic hiding in plain sight! Rahm has seen a win this season and two T3 finishes one of those being last week at the Northern Trust when Patrick Reed took home the win.
Speaking of Patrick Reed, his win last week was certainly a confidence boost as he wiped away a winless streak dating back to his win at the Masters last season. Over the course of the last few months, Reed has begun to show the finesse shots that made him a winner in Augusta come back to join his distance off the tee. In short, Reed enters the opening round of the BMW with the look of a player who’s ready to use all of the clubs in his bag. Everything is on the table.
The course, Medinah Country Club, should be a welcome sight to the players. Water comes into play on a few holes, bunkers as not crazy, fairways are tree-lined yet fairly wide, and the greens should be heavily watered due to the summer humidity. Problems players will face may be a result of their own doing as the Rees Jones redesign of a Tom Bendelow original is somewhat straight forward. Don’t get me wrong, it’s a PGA caliber course so it has its challenges. But tree-lined fairways, some fun dog-legs, and a few small greens are nothing the top-70 FedEx ranked players have not seen before.