2019 John Deere Classic, Betting Odds, and Prediction
by Kent Whitaker Scores & Statson
The last two weeks on the PGA Tour have produced two surprise winners and a third is probably coming. The John Deere Classic is set to tee-off on Thursday and the field is packed with players looking for their first Tour win as the majority of big-name players are taking a week off or playing in the Scottish Open. That puts Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa at the top of the favorites list as both come in at +1800.
The most recognizable name in the field to many fans that don’t follow the PGA with a microscope may be Zach Johnson who won the tournament in 2012. Johnson comes in outside of the top-five favorites at +2800. That’s not too bad considering the favorites start at +1800 and there are only eleven players under the +3000 mark.
A quick look at the past winners of the John Deere Classic shows one thing – Zack Johnson has hovered around the top of the leaderboard many times. Add that little piece of info to the fact that he won this event in 2012. Over the past ten years, Johnson has won the Classic once, placed second, or been involved in a playoff for the win four times.
Johnson, as mentioned above comes into the event at +2800 due to a 2019 season that’s seen him struggle. What makes this event interesting for Johnson is that he sits on the executive committee of the Classic. This is his tournament to win.
The strangest thing about the odds heading into round one on Thursday is the fact that defending tournament winner Michael Kim is literally riding the bottom of the odds list. Kim comes in at +30000 which is hard to understand considering he went 27 under last year and finished a full eight strokes ahead of four players that came in at T2.
Here’s the breakdown for the last ten winners of the John Deere Classic. Make a note, the tournament has finished with a playoff three times in ten years. This type of field may lead to that type of result again in 2019.
8 strokes over Bronson Burgoon, Joel Dahmen, Francesco Molinari, Sam Ryder
1 stroke over Patrick Rodgers
2 strokes over Ben Martin
Jordan Spieth (2)
Playoff with Tom Gillis
1 stroke over Zach Johnson
Playoff with David Hearn, Zach Johnson
Playoff with Troy Matteson
Steve Stricker (3)
1 stroke over Kyle Stanley
Steve Stricker (2)
2 strokes over Paul Goydos
3 strokes over Zach Johnson, Brett Quigley, Brandt Snedeker
Predicting the John Deere Classic
Zach Johnson comes into the event as a combination of a favorite as well as a dark horse. However, his game as of late has not been what it used to be. Johnson has missed the cut four times in 2019 and his best finish was T7 at his first tournament this season. He was T58 at both the Masters and the US Open. To win, Johnson will have to rein in lost strokes on both the fairway and with his putter.
Viktor Hovland is one of the favorites and this may be the weekend the young player hoists his first PGA trophy. The former Oklahoma State player, born in Norway, started 2019 slow with two missed cuts but has rebounded successfully. He’s strung together a series of great outings where he’s finished T15 or better. Hovland is beginning to show some of the natural talents that he displayed while in college. To win, Hovland will have to show that his accurate drives and improving putter are not a fluke.
Once again, it’s hard to pass over the effort and an amazing couple of weeks that Nate Lashley has had. Lashley has gone from PGA alternate to PGA Tour winner in seventeen days. His win two weeks ago was followed up by missing the cut last week at the 3M Open. However, he played pretty well going even on a tough course that knocked out plenty of players. Lashley can win again by showing the dominating short game and mastery of the putter that gave him his first win.
A few players to watch include Charles Howell III, Kevin Tway, Cameron Champ, and Harold Varner III. Any of these players are capable of adding to their PGA resume. Don’t be surprised if all are in winning distance on Sunday. That being said, Sunday may simply come down to Kevin Na, Zach Johnson, and Viktor Hovland duking it out on Sunday.
Odds to win the 2019 John Deere Classic Outright
NOTE: Kevin Na has joined the field late but is not listed in the odds list in time for this articles deadline.