The US Open, officially called the United States Open Championship, is heading to Pebble Beach with more fanfare than usual because of one name – Tiger Woods. The famed golfer has three US Open Championships under his belt and he’s proven that he can win again after his Master’s victory in August this spring. However, Tiger’s not at the top of the favorites list. That honor is held by Dustin Johnson and Rory McIlroy.

The two players come into the opening round on Thursday both at +800 while Woods comes in at +1100 following a week where the former Clemson player took some time off. While Tiger was resting, McIlroy put on a clinic last week to claim the Canadian Open Championship by winning with a seven-stroke lead. Johnson, who is ranked No. 2 on the Official World Golf Rankings ended the Canadian Open a disappointing T20 with six other players.

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When you look at the favored players, coming in at +1800 and under according to intertops, things look wide open. In fact, the field is packed with wide-open possibilities. But that’s the norm for any US Open. Here are the favored players to win outright by Intertops.


Dustin Johnson+800
Rory McIlroy+800
Brooks Koepka+850
Tiger Woods+1100
Jordan Spieth+1800
Patrick Cantlay+1800


All six players listed above can come to Pebble Beach and win the US Open including Brooks Koepka at +850. Koepka, with a win this Sunday, would tie Woods by winning his third Open Championship. The only difference is that Koepka has won the last two US Open in a row. Winning a third in three consecutive years would make history and seal Koepka’s status as a great player… as if there were any questions on that topic.

Past Winners List May be Telling

There may be a “tell” showing up in the past winners list if you factor that into your picks. The past winner's list is eye-opening for several reasons. First, the fact that Koepka has back-to-back wins makes him an automatic pick when it comes to favorites. But, the list also includes Johnson, Spieth, and McIlroy which means that four of the players listed above at +1800 or below are former US Open Champions.

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Now, expand that observation to include players that have come in second over the past ten years. The list is impressive – and packed with players ranked high on the odds list. It includes players such as Tommy Fleetwood and Hideki Matsuyama as well as Rickie Fowler, Jason Day, and Phil Mickelson as well as other. According to the complete odds list, located at the end of this article, the odds are in favor of a former winner or runner up to win the Open in 2019.


2018Brooks Koepka1 stroke over Tommy Fleetwood
2017Brooks Koepka4 strokes over Hideki Matsuyama, Brian Harman
2016Dustin Johnson3 strokes over Jim Furyk, Shane Lowry, Scott Piercy
2015Jordan Spieth1 stroke over Dustin Johnson, Louis Oosthuizen
2014Martin Kaymer8 strokes over Erik Compton, Rickie Fowler
2013Justin Rose2 strokes over Jason Day, Phil Mickelson
2012Webb Simpson1 stroke over Graeme McDowell, Michael Thompson
2011Rory McIlroy8 strokes over Jason Day
2010Graeme McDowell1 stroke over Grégory Havret
2009Lucas Glover2 strokes over Ricky Barnes, David Duval, Phil Mickelson


Predicting Pebble Beach

The US Open returns to Pebble Beach for the first time since 2010 when Graeme McDowell took home the Championship. Since then, the open has been played at eight different courses with completely different course designs, So, long story short, there’s no real way to predict how the Open will play out when comparing to last years course. But, you can look at how players have faired at Pebble Beach!

First, note that the Pebble Beach Pro-Am is played over three different courses – but there are still some things that stand out. The first is that Phil Mickelson has won at Pebble Beach five times with two finishes in second place. Currently, the lefty is coming in well behind the favorites at +5000. But, Mickelson knows how to play the kind of golf that this course requires so don’t be surprised if he’s a factor on Sunday.

Also, Pebble Beach is known for not being a course that favors bombers off the tee. The greens are smaller and demand great play when it comes to second shots and approaching the green. Tiger Woods is one of those players who can attack tiny greens but so is Koepka! Tiger will probably have a great run in the Open this year but it’s hard to see him pulling out a second Major in 2019.

Look for the 2019 US Open winner to make full use of mid and short irons as that’s what pebble beach demands. As said above, the field is wide open which is why there are so many players filling the list at +8000 and under. Johnson, Koepka, Woods, and McIlroy will be factors but this could be a Sunday where a player like Justin Thomas, Rickie Fowler, or even the “Lefty” Phil Mickelson can win.

Complete odds to win the 2019 US Open Outright


Dustin Johnson+800
Rory McIlroy+800
Brooks Koepka+850
Tiger Woods+1100
Jordan Spieth+1800
Patrick Cantlay+1800
Justin Rose+2500
Rickie Fowler+2500
Jon Rahm+2800
Xander Schauffele+2800
Justin Thomas+2800
Jason Day+3300
Francesco Molinari+3300
Adam Scott+3300
Tommy Fleetwood+3300
Hideki Matsuyama+3300
Tony Finau+4000
Bryson DeChambeau+4000
Matt Kuchar+4000
Webb Simpson+4000
Paul Casey+5000
Phil Mickelson+5000
Shane Lowry+5000
Henrik Stenson+5000
Brandt Snedeker+5000
Martin Kaymer+6600
Gary Woodland+6600
Marc Leishman+8000
Sergio Garcia+8000
Patrick Reed+8000
Matt Wallace+8000
Louis Oosthuizen+8000
Graeme McDowell+8000
Ian Poulter+10000
Bubba Watson+12500
Kevin Kisner+12500
Matthew Fitzpatrick+12500
Kevin Na+12500
Keegan Bradley+12500
Jim Furyk+12500
Emiliano Grillo+12500
Tyrrell Hatton+12500
Jason Dufner+15000
Erik Van Rooyen+15000
Rory Sabbatini+15000
Rafael Cabrera Bello+15000
Branden Grace+15000
Jimmy Walker+15000
Lucas Glover+15000
Zach Johnson+15000
Si-Woo Kim+15000
Danny Willett+15000
HaoTong Li+15000
Alex Noren+15000
Billy Horschel+15000
Cameron Smith+15000
Daniel Berger+15000
Scott Piercy+15000
Charles Howell III+17500
Byeong-Hun An+17500
Luke List+17500
C T Pan+20000
Thomas Pieters+20000
Aaron Wise+20000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat+20000
Scottie Scheffler+20000
Thorbjorn Olesen+20000
J.B. Holmes+20000
Kyle Stanley+20000
Bernd Wiesberger+20000
Lucas Bjerregaard+20000
Jhonattan Vegas+25000
Aaron Baddeley+25000
Viktor Hovland+25000
Chez Reavie+25000
Justin Harding+25000
Keith Mitchell+25000
Andrew Putnam+25000
Joel Dahmen+25000
Abraham Ancer+25000
Matthew Jones+30000
Luke Donald+30000
Ryan Fox+30000
Harris English+30000
Dean Burmester+40000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+40000
Nick Taylor+40000
Brian Stuard+40000
Anirban Lahiri+40000
Chesson Hadley+40000
Ollie Schniederjans+40000
Collin Morikawa+40000
Sam Horsfield+50000
Marcus Kinhult+50000
Alex Prugh+50000
Shugo Imahira+50000
Roberto Castro+50000
Luke Guthrie+50000
Nate Lashley+50000
Adri Arnaus+50000
Ernie Els+50000
Patton Kizzire+50000
Chan Kim+50000
Chun-An Yu+50000
Sam Saunders+50000
Zac Blair+75000
Clement Sordet+75000
Tom Hoge+75000
Sepp Straka+75000
Cody Gribble+75000
Brendon Todd+75000
Joseph Bramlett+75000
Stewart Hagestad+100000
Merrick Bremner+100000
Justin Walters+100000
Marcus Fraser+100000
Matthieu Pavon+100000
Lee Slattery+100000
Mikumu Horikawa+100000
Luis Gagne+100000
Austin Eckroat+100000
Brandon Wu+100000
Andreas Halvorsen+100000
Daniel Hillier+100000
Billy Hurley+100000



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