It’s time to take a close look at the Preakness Stakes which will take place this Saturday, May 20th. There are a total of 10 horses in the field and it should be a great race.
The front runner is Always Dreaming. His odds are currently 4/5. Always Dreaming ran a great race at the Kentucky Derby despite the poor track conditions. If the track wasn’t so sloppy, he would’ve won by much more than he did. He’s a great horse who should be set for another fantastic race at Pimlico this weekend.
Let’s take a moment and look at the post positions and betting odds for the entire Preakness field:
1. Multiplier 30/1
2. Cloud Computing 12/1
3. Hence 20/1
4. Always Dreaming 4/5
5. Classic Empire 3/1
6. Gunnevera 15/1
7. Term of Art 30/1
8. Senior Investment 30/1
9. Lookin At Lee 10/1
10. Conquest Mo Money 15/1
Alright, I have to start by talking about the favorite. Always Dreaming is undefeated at 3 years old and it’s impressive as hell. The only concern would be rest time. It’s a quick turnaround from the Derby to the Preakness Stakes. But he’s such an athletic horse, he should be able to overcome the lack of rest. However, his trainer, Todd Pletcher has struggled at Pimlico. He’s lost 17 straight races on dirt when racing within 14 days of his last start. For some reason, Pletcher doesn’t do a great job of getting horses prepared on short rest time. These statistics are scary when considering if you’re going to bet the favorite here.
Meanwhile, Classic Empire was another horse who was a Derby favorite. His odds sit at 3/1 for The Preakness right now and I expect a better race from him this weekend. He had a terrible start in the Derby, which ultimately was the reason why he could never get into the thick of things and give himself a chance to win. He did a nice job closing and finished third in the Derby. He’s a horse who NEEDS a good start in order to truly compete. He’ll always have strong finishes, but the start will be key.
Also, Lookin At Lee finished second in the Derby. He ran a good race but couldn’t quite catch up to Always Dreaming. He’s a colt who has been improving a lot and seems to get better each and every race. His chance will come if the pace is fast upfront. He’s a very good long term runner and travels a ton of ground. The Belmont is a perfect race for him. I don’t expect him to finish Top 3 at The Preakness this weekend.
If I had to pick a winner, I will take Classic Empire. I know Always Dreaming is the favorite and is an extremely talented horse, but the trainer statistics scare me away. It’s concerning to see how bad Pletcher has been with horses regarding rest and recovery time.
As long as Classic Empire gets out to a decent start, I think he’ll close the deal and win The Preakness.