It’s the last race in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season and it’s a big one. Four drivers are still in the hunt for the Championship and the one that does the best at Homestead/Miami Speedway takes home the Cup Series 2019 crown. Currently, JazzSports Sportsbook Review has Martin Truex Jr and Kyle Busch at the top of the favorites list.


Auto Racing Glance: FORD ECOBOOST 400


According to JazzSports, the two Joe Gibbs Racing (JGR) teammates are coming in head-to-head at the top of the list with fellow JGR teammate, Denny Hamlin close behind. In fact, JGR drivers are three of the four drivers still eligible for the Championship along with Ford driver Kevin Harvick who is the fourth eligible driver. Here are the odds below +400 according to JazzSports with a full odds list posted below. The Championship Four drivers top the list.

 

Martin Truex Jr+300Toyota
Kyle Busch+300Toyota
Kevin Harvick+325Ford
Denny Hamlin+325Toyota

 

Manufacture Wins

Joey Logano drove his Ford to victory lane at Homestead last year and at the same time, he won his first Cup Series Championship. It was one of two Ford wins during the last ten Homestead races. During that time Toyota and Chevrolet have split the remaining eight down the middle with four wins each. Overall, Ford has the top spot when it comes to wins at the track which first came on the schedule in 1999. Here’s how wins breakdown according to NASCAR stats.

 

Ford8
Chevrolet5
Toyota4
Pontiac2
Dodge1

 

Top-Rated Online Sportsbooks, such as JazzSports Sportsbook Review, considers wins at a track and here’s how that breaks down over the last ten races.

 

2018Joey LoganoFord
2017Martin Truex, Jr.Toyota
2016Jimmie JohnsonChevrolet
2015Kyle BuschToyota
2014Kevin HarvickChevrolet
2013Denny HamlinToyota
2012Jeff GordonChevrolet
2011Tony StewartChevrolet
2010Carl EdwardsFord
2009Denny HamlinToyota

 

Predicting the Ford EcoBoost 400

As mentioned above, only four drivers of the original sixteen Championship drivers and 39 drivers in the field this Sunday are eligible to win the Championship. The stat that stands out is that all four eligible drivers have Cup Series wins at Homestead with Hamlin being the only repeat winner of active drivers.

 

Denny Hamlin2
Martin Truex Jr1
Kyle Busch1
Kevin Harvick1

 

Kyle Busch, the driver of the No. 18 Toyota, drove a strong race last week before fading at the end. That’s been the issue for Busch over the last part of the season. Busch can win at Homestead and win the Championship but he and his team will have to push past the problems that have held them back after they started the season strong.

Kevin Harvick has been the strongest Ford driver in the Cup Series this season and that’s why he’s the only one to still be eligible to win the Championship. Harvick has been a contender during the majority of the races this season and he should be strong again this weekend. If Harvick stays out of other drivers messes then he can pull into victory lane.

Denny Hamlin is the only repeat Homestead winner, among active drivers, and the winner of last week's race. He comes into the Championship weekend with a team that is firing on all cylinders… pun intended. Hopefully, Hamlin will avoid the pit mistakes that plagued his team early this season and some of last year. If he has a clean race it will be hard to beat him.



Martin Truex Jr and his team admitted that they took the weekend off at ISM Raceway. This was due to the fact that he was already locked into the Championship race with a win in round three of the playoffs. They brought the bare minimum number of crew and an old race car to the track last week. Something about that seems out of place for a driver craving wins. Hopefully, that admitted lack of effort does not come back to haunt them.

The spoilers for this weekend are Chase Elliott and his buddy Ryan Blaney. The two were eliminated last week but both had opportunities to make the Championship round. But, they both can still win the final race of the year and play the spoiler role.

JazzSports odds to win the Ford EcoBoost 400.

 

Martin Truex Jr+300
Kyle Busch+300
Kevin Harvick+325
Denny Hamlin+325
Kyle Larson+775
Joey Logano+1600
Brad Keselowski+2200
Chase Elliott+2800
Ryan Blaney+4500
Alex Bowman+5500
Erik Jones+6000
Kurt Busch+6000
Clint Bowyer+6600
William Byron+7500
Aric Almirola+8000
Daniel Suarez+12500
Jimmie Johnson+12500
Austin Dillon+25000
Ryan Newman+30000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr+30000

 

 

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