2019 Camping World 400 Preview, Betting Odds, and Prediction
by Kent Whitaker Scores & Statson
Sonoma is in the rearview mirror as the first road course race of 2019 was won by Martin Truex Jr. giving him four checkered flags this season. That ties him with Joe Gibbs Racing (JGR) teammate Kyle Busch who also has four wins. In total, JGR has ten wins this season. Busch and Truex have eight combined with Denny Hamlin adding two more. And, that’s the way oddsmakers see things when it comes to the Camping World 400 in Chicagoland.
Kyle Busch, driver of the No. 18 Toyota and teammate Martin Truex Jr., driver of the No. 19 Toyota, are both in the top-five favored drivers to win the 400 outright according to Intertops. Busch comes in at +325 with Truex at +650. The two Toyota drivers are separated by Ford driver Kevin Harvick who splits them at +450. Here’s how the leaders heading to the race weekend shake out with odds and manufacture.
Martin Truex Jr
Once again team Chevrolet is locked out of the top-five favored drivers. Toyota comes in with two drivers, Ford has three with the highest Chevrolet driver only slightly behind. Chase Elliott is listed behind Brad Keselowski just outside of the top-five at +1000.
Past Chicagoland Winners Lean Toward the Coach!
The favored drivers are a combination of Toyota and Ford but stats show that Team Toyota may have the advantage heading into the race weekend. Toyota has won six of the last ten races at Chicagoland Speedway. Kyle Busch won the 2018 race with Truex picking up the checkered in 2016 and 2017.
Here’s where things get interesting. JGR Teammate Denny Hamlin won the 2015 Chicago race in a Toyota and Matt Kenseth, now retired, won the race in 2013. At the time, Kenseth was racing for Coach Gibbs. That means Joe Gibbs Racing has put one of their cars in Victory Lane at Chicagoland Speedway five of the last six races.
Martin Truex, Jr.
Martin Truex, Jr.
2019 Camping World 400 Prediction
Kyle Busch is the defending race winner and it’s him to let slip away! At Chicagoland, the No. 18 driver has posted some pretty impressive numbers. He has raced at the track 14 times in a cup car and won twice. But, he has won the pole four times with three of them coming in the last five races. He’s only suffered one DNF at the track and has finished in the top ten eight times.
Truex is the immediate threat to Busch as the two have already combined to win eight races this season and there is no reason to think the pair won’t tag a few more on. Like Busch, Truex has impressive numbers at Chicagoland with marked improvement over the last several seasons. Since moving to Furniture Row and Joe Gibbs from the now defunct Michael Waltrip Racing he’s finished inside the top fifteen every race, five to be exact, with two wins. This will be his first run at Chicagoland behind the wheel of JGR equipment.
This weekend may be the race where Kevin Harvick can garnish his first victory of the 2019 season but he will have to beat Brad Keselowski to do so. Keselowski has won on the track twice with one behind the wheel of a Ford and the other behind the wheel of a Dodge. That means Keselowski knows how the track feels even when cars and track surfaces change. If anyone can wrestle the stranglehold that Toyota has had on Chicagoland away then it would most likely be a Ford driver in the form of Keselowski.
The spoiler role may fall to Chase Elliott representing Hendrick Racing and Chevrolet. He and Kyle Larson have been the most competitive of the Chevy drivers in 2019 and Chicagoland is a 1.5-mile track where both of them have led plenty of laps and won races.