This weekend features Saturday night racing under the lights at Kansas for the Digital Ally 400. The Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series has a short turnaround following a rained delayed Dover race which ran on Monday following a wet Sunday. And, as far as oddsmakers are concerned… not much has changed when it comes to drivers favored to win as Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr., and Kevin Harvick are high on the list again.

In fact, the top-five favored drivers represent two of the three manufacturers in the series despite gains the Chevrolet teams have made in the last few races. Busch and Truex are both Joe Gibbs drivers while Logano and Keselowski are under the Team Penske banner.


NASCAR's Hamin suffered carbon monoxide poisoning at Dover


Chevy pooled their resources for a dramatic Talladega win by Chase Elliott two weeks ago which was followed up by the driver of the No. 9 car with a solid run at Dover. Elliott road with the leaders much of the day on Monday at the Monster Mile but it was his Hendrick Motorsports teammate Alex Bowman, driver of the No. 88 Chevrolet, who garnished a second-place finish. Despite Chevy’s improved performance, it’s only Toyota and Ford drivers topping the favorites list according to oddsmakers. Here’s how the numbers shake down.

 

Kyle Busch7/2Toyota
Martin Truex Jr.6/1Toyota
Kevin Harvick7/1Ford
Joey Logano7/1Ford
Brad Keselowski7/1Ford

 

Dover has seen a nice mix of race winners over the last several races. The leader is Jimmie Johnson when it comes to bringing home the Checkered flag from the Monster Mile. More on Johnson below. Here’s how winners at Dover break down through the last ten events at the facility.

 

2018Chase ElliottChevrolet
2018Kevin HarvickFord
2017Martin Truex, Jr.Toyota
2017Martin Truex, Jr.Toyota
2016Kyle BuschToyota
2016Kevin HarvickChevrolet
2015Jimmie JohnsonChevrolet
2015Joey LoganoFord
2014Jeff GordonChevrolet / retired
2014Joey LoganoFord
2013Kevin HarvickChevrolet

 

The obvious factor from the stats above is that Chase Elliott may not be getting the love he deserves heading into the Digital Ally 400 race Saturday night. He won the race the last time the series visited the track. But, it’s Harvick who is the defending champ of the spring night race as Elliott won the fall race at Kansas.

2019 Digital Ally 400 Prediction

Night racing at Kansas is a challenge as the track transitions from a late afternoon start to cooler temps after sunset. Look for any of the past Kansas winners to be up front – certainly Harvick, Kyle Busch, Truex, Logano, and Keselowski. Don’t rule out that Elliott could go back-to-back at the facility!

Chase Elliott has shown that he can win in bunches over the last few seasons. And with the improved performance that Chevrolet has shown the last several weeks, there’s no reason to rule out Alex Bowman from making a run towards the front. Bowman has quietly moved from running outside of the top ten, to inside the top-ten and now has garnished two-second place finishes in a row.

He finished second last week at Dover and was in the number two spot the week before at Talladega. That shows improvement on two different types of tracks which helps eliminate the “anything can happen at Talladega” argument. Another factor is that Bowman, as well as Elliott, have improved their starting positions over the last few weeks.



With that buildup for the Chevrolet brand, it’s hard to put Kevin Harvick out of your mind when thinking about the Kansas race weekend. The driver of the No. 4 Ford for Stewart – Haas racing seems due for a win and Kansas is a place where he’s won several times in two different rides. He has both Chevy and Ford wins at Kansas under his belt.

Kyle Busch has not shown the consistency the last few weeks that the No. 18 team demonstrated at the beginning of the season. If a Toyota driver goes to victory lane it may be Truex. He’s coming off a win, has run strong the last month, and has two wins at Kansas.

Chase Elliott can repeat, but Harvick, Logano, Keselowski, and possibly Ryan Blaney may be the drivers he has to put in his rearview mirror.

Complete Odds for the 2019 Digital Ally 400

 

Kyle Busch7/2
Martin Truex Jr.6/1
Kevin Harvick7/1
Joey Logano7/1
Brad Keselowski7/1
Ryan Blaney10/1
Chase Elliott10/1
Kyle Larson10/1
Clint Bowyer18/1
Denny Hamlin20/1
Kurt Busch25/1
Aric Almirola25/1
Erik Jones25/1
Jimmie Johnson25/1
Daniel Suarez40/1
Alex Bowman60/1
Austin Dillon60/1
William Byron80/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.100/1
Ryan Newman100/1
Paul Menard100/1
Tyler Reddick100/1
Matt DiBenedetto300/1
Chris Buescher300/1
Daniel Hemric300/1
Ryan Preece500/1
Michael McDowell1000/1
Ty Dillon1000/1
Field1000/1

 

 

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