Kyle Busch enters the 2019 Food City 500 as the clear favorite to win at Bristol Motor Speedway. The driver of the No. 18 Toyota for Joe Gibbs Racing has seven Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series wins at the track including multiple back-to-back checkered flags. One of the drivers Busch will have to beat is his big brother Kurt. The elder Busch brother won at Bristol the last time the Cup Series visited the track in the Fall of 2018. But Kurt’s not high on the favored to win outright list according to Intertops. Here are the top-four through +700.

 

Kyle Busch+225
Brad Keselowski+700
Joey Logano+700
Kyle Larson+700

 

It’s not a stretch to think that any of the four drivers listed above can win the 2019 running of the Food City 500. Three of the four have Cup Series wins at the track however it’s been a few years for Logano and Keselowski. Logano’s last win came in 2015 and you would have to go back to 2012 for Keselowski. Larson has never won a Cup Series race at Bristol, but he’s finished second in the last two races at the track. The Chip Ganassi driver picked up an Xfinity Series win last season.

Johnson Could Be a Sleeper

Jimmie Johnson, +1600, has not had the season we’ve come to expect from the seven-time Cup Series Champion. But, after a rough 2019 start, he pulled off a great fifth place finish last week at Texas. The No. 48 Hendrick team has shown signs of improvement of the course of the season. Johnson has won twice at Bristol with the last checkered coming in 2017. He’s also logged 20 top-ten and 12 top-five finishes at the track with only a single DNF in 34 Cup Series starts. In the last ten Bristol races, Johnson has logged a win and finished inside the top-ten seven times.



Betting on Past Bristol Winners

This could be an easy pick for those who factor in past winners at a certain track. If you fall into that category, then look no further than the Busch brothers. The numbers look even better when you consider that four of the last ten races at the track were won by drivers that have since left the sport. 

 

2013Matt Kenseth, not active
2014Carl Edwards, not active
2014Joey Logano
2015Matt Kenseth, not active
2015Joey Logano
2016Carl Edwards, not active
2016Kevin Harvick
2017Jimmie Johnson
2017Kyle Busch
2018Kyle Busch
2018Kurt Busch

 

Food City 500 Prediction

The Food City 500 will surely have all of the big names up front this weekend. That includes Kevin Harvick at +1200 who has a couple of Bristol wins and has finished inside the top-ten in six out of seven races this season. One of his worst runs this year, if you can call an eight place finish bad, came last week at Texas but the week before he drove from 36 to 8 at Martinsville. So look for Harvick to make a run along with Ryan Blaney who seems to be dialing in his first win of 2019.


Auto Racing Glance: FOOD CITY 500


Harvick, Johnson, and Blaney could certainly win this weekend but the last time the Cup Series was on a short track it was Brad Keselowski who scored the checkered in dominant fashion. Two weeks ago the driver of the No. 2 Ford for Penske Racing won two stage wins and led 446 of 500 laps at the paperclip. Only Chase Elliott gave him a run towards the end.

While Bristol is high-banked and Martinsville is flat, Keselowski has shown an ability to win on different styles of tracks in 2019 and there’s no reason to think he can’t do it again in Tennessee. But, if anyone can beat him it will probably be a driver with the last name of Busch.

Remaining Odds for the O'Reilly Auto Parts 500

 

Kevin Harvick+1200
Ryan Blaney+1200
Martin Truex Jr+1400
Denny Hamlin+1400
Chase Elliott+1400
Jimmie Johnson+1600
Kurt Busch+1800
Clint Bowyer+1800
Erik Jones+1800
Aric Almirola+2200
Ricky Stenhouse+2500
Alex Bowman+6600
Daniel Suarez+6600
Austin Dillon+8000
Ryan Newman+10000
Paul Menard+10000
William Byron+12500

 

 

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