Hopefully, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series can avoid the rain as the last two weeks have been plagued by wet tracks. Last weeks Daytona 400 race was postponed from Saturday night to Sunday afternoon where Justin Hailey won the rain-shortened event. And, if you’re wondering if the driver for Spire Motorsports will rise on the odds list… don’t worry as Quin Houff returns to the seat of the No. 77 Chevrolet. That means there’s no big shake-up as once again familiar faces are riding the top of the favorites list.

Auto Racing Glance: QUAKER STATE 400

Kyle Busch, driver of the No. 18 Toyota and teammate Martin Truex Jr., driver of the No. 19 Toyota, are both in the top-five favored drivers to win the 400 outright. The two Joe Gibb Racing teammates have won three of the last four Cup Series races at Kentucky. Plus, Kyle Busch won the first ever Cup race at the track. Here’s how the favorites are lining up for the Quaker State 400.


Martin Truex Jr.7/2Toyota
Kyle Busch5/1Toyota
Kevin Harvick5/1Ford
Brad Keselowski8/1Ford
Joey Logano8/1Ford


Once again team Chevrolet is locked out of the top-five favored drivers despite being the winning manufacturer of the rain-shortened Daytona race this past Sunday. Toyota comes in with two drivers, Ford has three including both Team Penske cars along with Kevin Harvick from Stewart – Haas Racing. Similarly to the last few weeks, Chase Elliott is listed as the most favored Chevrolet driver in the odds listed below.

Past Kentucky Winners Point to Gibbs

Coach Joe Gibbs may have the employees in his stable that have completely figured out Kentucky Motor Speedway. The Cup Series has only raced at the track eight times and his drivers, or drivers affiliated with his team, have won at the track five of those eight races. Busch won the first race and tagged on two more for the Coach. Then, Matt Kenseth won in a Toyota when he raced for Joe Gibbs Racing back in 2013.

Now, factor in Truex who is the defending back-to-back race winner. However, his wins came while racing for Furniture Row Racing, which is now defunct, but was then a JGR affiliated team.

The only other driver to win races at Kentucky is Brad Keselowski who nailed down wins at the track three times. His first was behind the wheel of a Dodge back in 2012 but managed to post two additional wins at the track behind the wheel of a Ford.


2011Kyle BuschToyota
2012Brad KeselowskiDodge
2013Matt KensethToyota
2014Brad KeselowskiFord
2015Kyle BuschToyota
2016Brad KeselowskiFord
2017Martin Truex, Jr.Toyota
2018Martin Truex, Jr.Toyota


2019 Quaker State 400 Prediction

The buzz around the garage area over the last several weeks has been about when Kevin Harvick will win in 2019? At this point last year the drivers from Stewart – Haas Racing had already won seven times with Harvick having several of them. This season the team has yet to post its first checkered flag but that could change at Kentucky. Harvick has been running well, has stayed in the top-ten for finishes for much of the season, and has collected a ton of stage points. He has a solid footing in the points standings and has six top-ten finishes in the Blue Grass state.

Truex is the defending race winner as he has won the last two races at Kentucky. However, he runs over the last few weeks have been a bit off when compared to the majority of the 2019 season. But he does have four wins this year. That means the fluctuation in finishing positions may be due to the team trying things with their cars. In other words, they are locked into the playoffs and maybe testing setups for races coming up during playoff races. Truex has every ability to win this race and make history as being the first driver to win three-in-a-row at Kentucky.

Like Truex, the Kyle Busch No. 18 team may be tweaking things with an eye on playoff races. The only problem with taking that in mind when it comes to Kyle Busch is that he hates to lose. So if there’s any chance he can put another win on the board at Kentucky you can bet he’ll give it everything he can. 

Once again the Chevy camp may take on the role of spoiler Saturday night in Kentucky. Justin Hailey got his surprise win last week for the manufacture and several other Chevrolet drivers had great runs at showing that team Chevy may be dialing in their cars. Don’t be surprised if Chase Elliott or Alex Bowman take home the trophy. The surprise long shot would be Jimmy Johnson who has steadily improved over 2019. He has now racked up ten top-ten finishes including finishing in the top five the last two races.

Odds for the 2019 Quaker State 400


Martin Truex Jr.7/2
Kyle Busch5/1
Kevin Harvick5/1
Brad Keselowski8/1
Joey Logano8/1
Chase Elliott10/1
Kyle Larson12/1
Ryan Blaney20-1
Alex Bowman20-1
Denny Hamlin20-1
Clint Bowyer25-1
Jimmie Johnson25-1
Erik Jones25-1
Kurt Busch25-1
William Byron40-1
Aric Almirola40-1
Austin Dillon60-1
Daniel Suarez60-1
FieldN/A at press time



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