{"id":274949,"date":"2025-07-11T08:35:23","date_gmt":"2025-07-11T12:35:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/?post_type=previews&#038;p=274949"},"modified":"2025-07-11T08:53:59","modified_gmt":"2025-07-11T12:53:59","slug":"new-york-mets-vs-kansas-city-royals","status":"publish","type":"previews","link":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/previews\/new-york-mets-vs-kansas-city-royals\/","title":{"rendered":"New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals Picks and Predictions July 11th 2025"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals July 11th 2025<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/teams\/mlb\/new-york-mets\/\">New York Mets<\/a> head to Kauffman Stadium to play against the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/teams\/mlb\/kansas-city-royals\/\">Kansas City Royals.<\/a> The game is set for Friday, July 11, 2025, at 8:10 PM. Fans can catch the action on SNY as the teams compete under the night sky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Mets have a record of 53-41 and are just one game behind in the NL East. Kodai Senga, with an ERA of 1.47, will start on the mound for them. The Royals, with a record of 46-48, will have Michael Wacha pitching. The weather forecast is very hot with overcast clouds and a light breeze.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mets vs Royals Key Information<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Sport: Baseball<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Teams: New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Venue: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Date: Friday, July 11, 2025<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Betting Odds: Mets Moneyline -140, Royals Moneyline +119, Mets Runline -1.5 (+114), Royals Runline +1.5 (-136), Total Over 9.0 (-119), Total Under 9.0 (-101)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Mets Can Win If&#8230;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The New York Mets are coming off a loss to the Baltimore Orioles, 3-7. Brandon Nimmo was a bright spot, going 2-for-4 with a run scored. Francisco Lindor also contributed with a double and a run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Mets have a solid chance to win with their strong hitting stats. They rank 7th in on-base percentage and slugging percentage, showing they can get on base and hit for power. Their 121 home runs also rank 7th, indicating their ability to score runs quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kodai Senga will be on the mound for the Mets. He boasts an impressive ERA of 1.47 and a record of 7-3. With Senga&#8217;s pitching and the team&#8217;s hitting power, the Mets have a strong opportunity to secure a win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"gb-element-371a1abd\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"Mets vs. Orioles Game 2 Highlights (7\/10\/25) | MLB Highlights\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/iFlaFeB0FOU?feature=oembed\" frameborder=\"0\" allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Royals Can Win If&#8230;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Kansas City Royals are coming off a narrow 4-3 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. Salvador Perez was a standout, hitting two home runs and driving in two runs. Kris Bubic pitched 5 2\/3 innings, allowing three earned runs and striking out six batters.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Royals have been strong in extra-base hits, ranking third in doubles this season. Their pitching has also been effective, with a team ERA of 3.46, placing them second in the league. These stats show that both their hitting and pitching can give them an edge in games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Key players like Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino are performing well. Witt Jr. has a batting average of .295, while Pasquantino leads the team with 15 home runs. With Michael Wacha starting on the mound, the Royals have a solid chance to continue their winning streak against the New York Mets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Lean<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Mets are favored on the moneyline at -140, and they look like a strong pick to win. Their pitching ranks second in ERA at 3.46, while the Royals&#8217; pitching ranks sixth with a 3.62 ERA. The Mets&#8217; offense also has a slight edge in on-base percentage, ranking seventh compared to the Royals&#8217; 18th. My model projects the Mets to win with a score of 5-3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The total for this game is set at 9.0, with the over at -119 and the under at -101. Both teams have solid pitching, with the Mets ranking second and the Royals ranking sixth in ERA. Given these strong pitching stats, my model projects a total score of 8 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the under 9.0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"gb-element-90e520da\">\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\"><strong>Explore the Depths of Advanced MLB Metrics \u2013 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/register\/\">Become a Subscriber<\/a><\/strong><\/pre>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Royals&#8217; Power Surge Faces a Major Test in Mets&#8217; Returning Ace Kodai Senga<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>A sudden and unexpected power surge has fueled a winning streak for the Kansas City Royals. They&#8217;ll face their toughest test yet on Friday night as they open a three-game home series against the New York Mets and their returning ace, Kodai Senga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">KC&#8217;s Home Run Binge<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/teams\/mlb\/kansas-city-royals\/\">Kansas City Royals<\/a>, a team not typically known for power, have been launching home runs at an incredible rate. They have hit 14 homers in their last six games, a stretch that has seen them win four straight. The surge has been led by veteran Salvador Perez and rookie Jac Caglianone, who has gone deep in two straight contests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"gb-element-e68ed08c\">\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\n<p>&#8220;Everybody&#8217;s having fun out there,&#8221; Caglianone said. &#8220;We kind of know the position we&#8217;re in and where we want to be going into the (All-Star) break, and there&#8217;s no better way to do that than on a hot streak.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Return of the &#8220;Ghost Fork&#8221;<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/teams\/mlb\/new-york-mets\/\">New York Mets<\/a> will look to cool off those hot bats by welcoming back their best pitcher. Kodai Senga (7-3, 1.47 ERA) will be activated from the injured list to make his first start since June 12. His return from a hamstring strain comes sooner than expected and is a massive boost for a team that has struggled on the road.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;For him to be in play for us now before we go into the All-Star break, it&#8217;s huge for us,&#8221; Mets manager Carlos Mendoza said. &#8220;He&#8217;s a big part of this team.&#8221; The impact of a returning ace is a key topic in our <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/expert-betting-guide\/mlb\/\">expert betting guide<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" src=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Kodai-Senga.webp\" alt=\"A baseball player is seen throwing a ball in an outdoor setting, likely at a baseball park.\" class=\"wp-image-274953\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Kodai-Senga.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Kodai-Senga-300x169.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Kodai-Senga-768x432.webp 768w, https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/app\/uploads\/2025\/07\/Kodai-Senga-206x116.webp 206w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Duel of Opposing Trends<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Friday&#8217;s pitching matchup features two veterans on very different paths. While Senga returns to the mound, the Royals will start right-hander Michael Wacha (4-9, 3.83 ERA), who is currently mired in a three-start losing streak. However, Wacha does have a solid career record against the Mets. This intriguing duel will be a key focus on the <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/scores-and-odds\/baseball\/mlb\/\">scores and odds<\/a> board.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Mets&#8217; Road Woes<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>The Mets have struggled mightily on the road, losing 10 of their last 12 games away from home while giving up a staggering 84 runs in that span. For two <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/teams\/mlb\/\">MLB teams<\/a> looking to head into the All-Star break with momentum, this series is crucial. To see if our experts think Senga&#8217;s return can solve the Mets&#8217; road problems, check out our daily <a target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/picks\/mlb\/\">MLB picks<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>New York Mets vs. Kansas City Royals July 11th 2025 The New York Mets head to Kauffman Stadium to play against the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":20,"featured_media":274950,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"previews_categories":[1318],"previews_tags":[],"class_list":["post-274949","previews","type-previews","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","previews_categories-mlb","resize-featured-image"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/previews\/274949","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/previews"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/previews"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/20"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/previews\/274949\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":274964,"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/previews\/274949\/revisions\/274964"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/274950"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=274949"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"previews_categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/previews_categories?post=274949"},{"taxonomy":"previews_tags","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.scoresandstats.com\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/previews_tags?post=274949"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}