The American Express is in the books as Jon Rahm continues his run of impressive golf. This week the PGA TOUR heads to Torrey Pines for the 2023 version of the Farmers Insurance Open. As can be expected, Rahm enters the event as the leader – this time by a wide margin. He’s at +400 while others start the week at +1200.
The field also includes Tony Finau who comes in behind Rahm at +1200 and Justin Thomas who comes in at +1400. The big names continue from there with last year’s winner, Luke List, sporting a +8000 which makes him a nice option when looking for value.
List won this event last year over Will Zalatoris during a playoff. Now Zalatoris returns as part of a group of three favorites bunched together at +1400. As for playoffs – this event has only ended in a playoff three times in the last ten editions.
Here are the favorites to win the 2023 Farmers Insurance Open outright:
Jon Rahm +400
Tony Finau +1200
Xander Schauffele +1200
Collin Morikawa +1400
Justin Thomas +1400
Will Zalatoris +1400
2023 Farmers Insurance Open Preview
Where: San Diego, California
Course: Torrey Pines Golf Course / both North & South
Format: Stroke Play on two courses
Par: 72 (both courses)
Length: 7,258 North / 7,698 South
When: January 25–28 2023
Purse: $8.7 Million
It’s a four-day event, so the Farmers Insurance Open uses both the South and North Courses at Torrey Pines. Saturday and Sunday play are on only the South course following the cut so get ready for some massive tee shots! The South is known for being the longest set of links on the PGA Tour and both courses are tailor-made for powerful drives off the tee.
Torrey Pines also requires some skill with short irons and hot putters will be a plus on the dual-course setup. Why is that? Because there are Bentgrass greens on the North Course while the greens are poa-annua grass on the South Course. The greens seem to feed off the ocean breeze and moisture and they can change quickly if weather conditions change.
Torrey Pines is known for its scenic look as the design makes full use of terrain and small hills along the coastal cliffs. The roughs are usually cut to a medium height for this event. There are plenty of well-placed bunkers so get ready for many players taking a walk through the sand.
2023 Farmers Insurance Open Predictions
Jon Rahm +400
You would have to have been on another planet if you don’t understand why Jon Rahm is the lone favorite at +400 this week. Rahm won here in 2017 and has been in the mix for a second win at Torrey Pines several times over the years. More importantly, he’s won four times in his last six starts worldwide. He’s played three events on the PGA TOUR this year with two wins and a T4.
Xander Schauffele +1200
Xander Schauffele turned in a T7 two seasons ago at Torrey Pines during the U.S. Open and was one of the 5 players chasing former PGA TUR player Patrick Reed during his win here at Torrey Pines in 2021. He finished T3 last week at the American Express and carded a T7 at the ZOZO championship. Last week Schauffele scored an Albatross on the Par-5 5th by long driving his first shot and draining his second (225 yards) into the hole while carrying over the water.
Taylor Montgomery +2500
Taylor Montgomery played some awesome rounds at the American Express last week before carding a lone 5th spot. He also finished solo 3 at the Fortinet earlier this season. Montgomery jumped to 9th place in FedEx Cup points and climbed the OWGR list to No. 52. His head-turning stat this season so far may be the fact that he’s played the weekend in all of the events he’s been in this season. He does have a T57 among his nine starts this season but he’s T15 or better in the other eight outings.
Others: Sahith Theegala (+5000) has shown how good of a player he can be with four finishes of T6 or better so far this season. He was T1 at the QBE Shootout a few weeks ago. As mentioned above – if you’re looking for a true-value pick, keep an eye on last year’s winner Luke List (+8000) as his short game and putter could once again propel him to the win.
2023 Farmers Insurance Open Betting Lines
Jon Rahm +400
Tony Finau +1200
Xander Schauffele +1200
Collin Morikawa +1400
Justin Thomas +1400
Will Zalatoris +1400
Sungjae Im +1800
Max Homa +2200
Taylor Montgomery +2500
Jason Day +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Si-Woo Kim +2800
Maverick McNealy +4000
Sahith Theegala +5000
Cameron Davis +5000
Keegan Bradley +5000
Justin Rose +5000
JJ Spaun +5000
Adam Hadwin +5000
Harris English +6600
Wyndham Clark +6600
Taylor Pendrith +6600
Hayden Buckley +6600
Alex Smalley +8000
Luke List +8000
Kurt Kitayama +8000
Rickie Fowler +8000
Gary Woodland +8000
Davis Thompson +8000
Ryan Palmer +8000
Thomas Detry +8000
Davis Riley +10000
Will Gordon +10000
Dean Burmester +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Emiliano Grillo +10000
Patrick Rodgers +10000
Nick Hardy +12500
Robby Shelton +12500
Sebastian Munoz +12500
Ben Griffin +12500
Adam Svensson +12500
Aaron Rai +12500
Brendan Steele +12500
Matthew Nesmith +12500
Trey Mullinax +12500
Stephan Jaeger +15000
Beau Hossler +15000
Justin Suh +15000
Patton Kizzire +15000
Byeong-Hun An +15000
Ben Taylor +15000
Lee Hodges +15000
S.H. Kim +15000
Lanto Griffin +15000
Martin Laird +15000
Cameron Champ +15000
Matthias Schmid +15000
Taylor Moore +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +20000
Joseph Bramlett +20000
Kevin Yu +20000
Garrick Higgo +20000
Charley Hoffman +20000
Aaron Baddeley +20000
Callum Tarren +20000
Carl Yuan +20000
Harry Hall +25000
Sam Ryder +25000
Scott Piercy +25000
Doug Ghim +25000
Danny Lee +25000
Adam Long +25000
Harry Higgs +25000
Justin Lower +25000
Michael Thompson +25000
Austin Eckroat +25000
Henrik Norlander +25000
Kevin Streelman +25000
Cameron Percy +25000
M-J Daffue +25000
David Lingmerth +25000
Ben Martin +30000
Austin Smotherman +30000
Dylan Frittelli +30000
Doc Redman +30000
Eric Cole +30000
Ze-Cheng Dou +30000
Cole Hammer +30000
Adam Schenk +30000
Keita Nakajima +30000
Zac Blair +30000
J.B. Holmes +30000
Austin Cook +35000
Andrew Novak +35000
Harrison Endycott +35000
John Huh +35000
Satoshi Kodaira +40000
Tyson Alexander +40000
Taiga Semikawa +40000
Rory Sabbatini +40000
Tyler Duncan +40000
Michael Kim +40000
James Hahn +40000
Seung-Yul Noh +40000
Peter Malnati +40000
Dylan Wu +40000
Kevin Tway +40000
Patrick Welch +40000
Paul Haley +50000
Ryan Armour +50000
Sean O'Hair +50000
Brice Garnett +50000
Brian Stuard +50000
Robert Streb +50000
Vincent Norrman +50000
Nicolas Echavarria +50000
Sam Stevens +50000
Kelly Kraft +50000
Erik Barnes +50000
Tano Goya +50000
Hank Lebioda +50000
Camilo Villegas +50000
Ryan Brehm +50000
Jonathan Byrd +75000
Jimmy Walker +75000
Augusto Nunez +75000
Kevin Roy +75000
William McGirt +75000
Cody Gribble +75000
Philip Knowles +75000
Jason Dufner +75000
Nick Watney +75000
Kyle Stanley +75000
Joey Vrzich +100000
Trevor Cone +100000
Bill Haas +100000
Anders Albertson +100000
Scott Harrington +100000
Michael Gligic +100000
Jim Herman +100000
Kyle Westmoreland +100000
Brent Grant +100000
Brandon Matthews +100000
Richy Werenski +100000
Martin Trainer +100000
Trevor Werbylo +100000
Michael Block +100000
Ben Crane +100000
Arjun Atwal +100000
Carson Young +150000
Michael Herrera +150000
