The Cincinnati Bengals play the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2023 AFC Championship Game on Sunday. We’re going to analyze the NFL player props betting markets to find the best value.
The Bengals defeated the Chiefs (27-24) in week 13 and Patrick Mahomes struggled.
Read our 2023 AFC Championship Game preview to get our prediction to win the game.
Here are the top five Bengals vs. Chiefs player props for the 2023 AFC Championship Game:
Ja’Marr Chase to Score a Touchdown (+100)
Chase has scored a touchdown in both of the Bengals’ playoffs games. Chase has scored a TD in seven of his last nine games. KC are allowing WRs to score 1.2 TDs per game (31st).
Chase caught seven of eight targets for 97 yards in week 13 against KC, but failed to score a TD. Cincy need Chase to find the end zone on Sunday if they want to defeat the Chiefs in the AFCCG again.
Joe Burrow Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-175)
Burrow tossed one TD against the Ravens in the Wild Card Round and two TDs against the Bills last week. Burrow has thrown 2+ passing touchdowns in nine of his last 13 games.
The Chiefs allow 1.9 passing touchdowns per game, which ranks last in the NFL this season. KC allow 220.1 PYPG (18th). The Bengals will need to rely on their passing attack to win this game.
Isiah Pacheco Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-140)
The Bengals only allow 106.9 RYPG (7th), but this line feels way too short. Pacheco rushed for 95 yards on just 12 carries against the Jags last week. He’s averaging 4.9 yards per carry this season.
Pacheco has rushed for 48+ yards in nine of his last ten games. He’s not going to get a ton of volume in this game, but if he meets his per carry average, he only needs ten carries to cash this prop.
Hayden Hurst Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Hurst has been a reliable target for Burrow in the playoffs. Hurst had six targets in each game. He hauled in four receptions for 45 yards against Baltimore and five receptions for 59 yards against Buffalo.
Hurst has had 34+ receiving yards in six of his last nine games. His longest reception this season is 29 yards. He had an 18 yard reception in both playoff games. He won’t need much volume to cash this bet.
L’Jarius Sneed Over 6.5 Tackles + Assists (-120)
Sneed had nine total tackles last week against the Jaguars. Sneed has had 7+ total tackles in ten games this season. Sneed had six total tackles against Cincy in week 13, but will be busier this weekend.
Cincy are going to throw early and often in this match-up. Sneed is going to be busy making tackles in the secondary and there’s a good chance he’ll be able to cash this player prop on Sunday.
