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Best Prop Bets for 2021 NFC Championship Game

Bettors can find a number of value prop bets in addition to wagering on the point spread and total in Sunday’s NFC championship game.

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Green Bay Packers meet for the second time this season in what should be a classic matchup of future Hall of Fame quarterbacks – Tampa Bay’s Tom Brady and Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers.

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Touchdown Passes – Rodgers

Speaking of Hall of Famers, Rodgers had himself an MVP-caliber season with 48 touchdown passes. He threw for three or more scores in six of the last seven regular season games. Rodgers had two touchdown passes last week and threw at least one touchdown in every game this season but one – Tampa Bay.

Rodgers will be looking for revenge on the Bucs and at least three touchdown passes is something the Green Bay quarterback has done routinely this year. Bet Rodgers +129 to throw three or more TDs.

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Passing Yards – Head-to-Head

Since it is a battle of Hall of Fame quarterbacks, what could be more enticing than wagering on which one throws for more passing yards? In the Week 5 game, neither quarterback performed all that well. Rodgers had his worst game of the season.

As he looks for redemption, remember he’ll be at home where he has had plenty of strong cold weather passing games. Plus, he’s a +127 underdog. If he’s throwing for three touchdowns, double up and take Rodgers to throw for more yards than Brady.

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Scoreless Quarter

Flash back to Week 5. Green Bay jumped out to a 10-0 lead in the first quarter. The Bucs responded with a 28-point second quarter. Tampa Bay scored another 10 points in the third and then neither team scored in the fourth quarter.

Sunday’s game will be played in the January cold at Lambeau Field. Both teams have been playing solid defense and “Yes” there will be a scoreless quarter is given +363 odds. It can happen again making it worthy of at least a small wager.

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Defensive or Special Teams Touchdown

Again going back to the Week 5 Bucs-Packers matchup, Rodgers tossed a pick-six early in the second quarter. Both Green Bay and Tampa Bay each had a safety and an interception return for a touchdown this season. The Packers also returned a fumble for a touchdown in 2020.

With the odds set at +200 and both teams playing well on defense, this is a prop that can pay off. The Bucs have the NFL’s best run defense. Green Bay’s Za’Darius Smith and Preston Smith have combined for 16.5 sacks and 24.5 tackles for loss.

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First Score

It’s one of the most popular prop bets. Which team will score first and how will they score? In 10 of its 17 games, Green Bay has scored a touchdown first, though those touchdowns were not necessarily the first score of the game.

In its last two games, the Packers didn’t score in the first quarter of their season finale victory over Chicago. Last week, Green Bay’s Mason Crosby kicked a 24-yard field goal at the 8:39 mark of the first quarter for the game’s initial score.

A Green Bay field goal is given +325 odds. A Packers passing touchdown is more likely at +250, but a Green Bay rushing touchdown offers a bigger payout at +550.

About the Author

A native of Western Pennsylvania, Rick, a Generation X-er, who now lives just north of the Motor City, Detroit, Michigan. A former high school, college, and professional football player, Rick now spends his time as a high school coach and as a personal quarterback trainer. An all-state high school quarterback, he went on to become an Academic All-American at Division II Indiana University of PA. He later coached at his alma mater helping lead the program to the 1990 NCAA Division II national championship game. Rick has also served as a high school head coach and as an assistant in Pennsylvania, New York, and Michigan.

His passion for sports writing started when he was the sports editor for his high school newspaper and continued when he worked as a sportswriter for the Jamestown (New York) Post-Journal in the early 1990s. A true sports fanatic, Rick enjoys all things Pittsburgh: Steelers, Pirates, and Penguins. The Immaculate Reception, the 1979 We Are Family Pirates, and the ’91-’92 Penguins are among his favorites. After working as an educator and athletic director for several years, he again took up sports writing and has contributed to several websites and publications, including Coach & Player magazine, X & O Labs, American Football Monthly, and many others.

When not consumed with coaching, watching, thinking about, or writing about football and other seasonal sports, he finds himself working out like he was still in college and reading everything from military history to Brad Thor novels. Rick has also been chasing rock god stardom as a drummer who has played with bands that have opened for the likes of Fuel, Days of the New, and Alien Ant Farm. He continues to play with his church worship group. Most importantly, Rick is married to the love of his life, Lisa, and has two beautiful daughters.