The first aspect of this bet normally remains unchanged. You may find some slight half-game variances in the projected wins from one online sportsbook to the next but they generally remain the same.
What does change on a regular basis is the moneyline odds for betting the UNDER or the OVER. This is the true value aspect of a MLB win total bet and where you need to focus most of your attention.
World Series Favorites
* It must be noted this article was written just prior to the breaking news of the cheating scandal that saw Astros manager A.J. Hinch, Red Sox manager Alex Cora and Mets manager Carlos Beltran let go.
The New York Yankees were high on the MLB futures list to win the 2020 World Series at +600 but they quickly moved to the top of the list as +350 favorites due to the signing of starting pitcher Gerrit Cole.
The fact that he previously pitched for the Houston Astros, another top AL contender, also caused the change in odds.
The Yankees’ projected win total for the 2020 season has been set at 100.5 games with a slight -120 lean towards the OVER. They have clearly established themselves as the team to beat, and with 100 wins in 2017 and 103 last year, the value lies in the betting the OVER.
The NL favorite to win this season’s World Series is the Los Angeles Dodgers at +600. Before making an early exit in the 2019 NLDS against the Washington Nationals, the Dodgers represented the National League in the previous two Fall Classics.
The projected win total for Los Angeles has been set at 98.5 with a slight -115 lean towards the OVER. As the perennial favorite to win the NL Pennant the past few seasons, the Dodgers won a team-best 106 games in 2019. This followed 104 wins in 2017 and 92 wins in the 2018 campaign.
With the roster pretty much intact from last year, the added motivation to get back to the World Series also adds value to the OVER play.
Top World Series Contenders
The Astros are still listed as +600 second-favorites to win the 2020 World Series along with the Dodgers. The loss of Cole does sting but all the right pieces for a third AL Pennant in four seasons remains in place.
Houston’s projected wins have been set at 97.5 with even -110 odds for the UNDER or OVER.
This is another highly motivated squad following last season’s stunning 4-3 World Series loss to the Nationals as a heavy favorite. The Astros still have plenty of time to plug any existing holes in the lineup and even without Cole they have a formidable starting rotation. Three straight seasons of 100+ wins makes the OVER on this bet an attractive way to go.
The second-favorite to win the next World Series in the NL is the Atlanta Braves at +1000. Last year, they pulled off a second-half rally in the regular season to win the NL East title before falling to the St. Louis Cardinals three games to two in the NLDS.
The projected win total for the Braves this season is 90.5 after winning 97 games last year. The betting odds have been set at -105 for the UNDER and -115 for betting the OVER. Atlanta exceeded expectations last year, and with the Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies closing that gap, my lean would be towards the UNDER for this bet.
A big part of the services that my
marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for
sports betting websites.I have
been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years
following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.
I consider myself extremely
fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports.
I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in
sports. It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try
and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability
in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and
recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over
the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no
such thing as a lock.
The main objective with my writing
style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics
that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there
are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still
enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every
pick I make.
My love of sports started a long
time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I
was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the
Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would
honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games during quite a few
pretty dismal seasons. I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’
games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert
Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to
their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 37 years later and am I
still waiting patiently for my favorite team to bring home the Super Bowl title
my dad never got to celebrate.