Betting Strategies For Early MLB Games

MLB’s Opening Day may have been put on hold, but the games are going to start back up in the coming months. According to posted odds for a return to action, betting that games will be on the live board at your favorite online sportsbooks sometime around the original All-Star Game makes the most sense.

Given this unprecedented work stoppage that came halfway through the spring training exhibition season, even the top MLB professional handicappers do not know what to expect.

The probability of playing the full regular season schedule is rather low, so the first impact on bettors will be how many games will be played?

 


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If we are looking at half a season with 81 games, things are going to remain much more competitive than usual.

 


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The Usual Suspects

The New York Yankees in the American League and the National League’s Los Angeles Dodgers will remain the top two teams to beat in their respective leagues.

However, there is now quite a bit of value in teams such as the Houston Astros, Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays to give the Yankees a run for their money in the AL. You could also add the Atlanta Braves, Washington Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals to that list in the NL.

As far as actually betting the early games, the country’s top MLB line setters are also going to be at somewhat of a loss setting their early betting lines.

Each team’s starting rotation will be impacted in its own unique way, but it could be safe to assume there will be quite a bit of rust in more than a few right or left arms.

Hitters can keep their swing intact through added practice. It is much easier to hit a baseball with a certain degree of accuracy in the absence of actual games. Pitching accuracy is much more difficult to maintain when the best arms in the game are not facing live batters on a regular basis.

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This sets the stage for leaning towards underdogs on the moneyline and OVER on the total line with those early bets.

Take Advantage of Soft Lines

This betting situation will not last all that long once normal daily play resumes. However, you might be able to take advantage of more than a few soft lines in the first few weeks of play.

As the picture begins to clear a bit in the coming weeks, many online books will be posting early betting lines for the first round of games. This presents a two-fold betting opportunity.

1. The first is to jump on one or two of those early games once the betting lines are first released based on your own betting instincts. You should avoid being influenced by any outside distractions.

2. The other is to track the line movements for these early lines. This will give you a sharper sense of how the betting public is reacting to the numbers.

Any MLB bettor is in the same boat for this unique situation. With time being of the essence, there is going to be little advanced preparation for live play that does count in the standings.

Another factor to take into consideration is each team’s injury situation.

There is going to be a higher number of minor injuries once play resumes. Tweaked hamstrings, sore pitching arms and other types of ailments caused by the extended layoff are going to affect every MLB team. Access to accurate and up-to-date injury reports is going to be vital as far as tracking the situation.

Be sure to bookmark our MLB Previews and Predictions page, once there, you will have access to all the info you need to make an informed decision on who you will bet.

About the Author

A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites.  I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.

I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.

It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.

The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.

My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.

I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.