In the blink of an eye, the entire complexion of the current NBA season changed. When a prominent player tested positive for the coronavirus, the league took swift action to shut everything down.
This was the right decision and you have to give all the credit in the world to NBA Commissioner Adam Silver for making it without any hesitation.
All Systems Down
The rest of the sports in the US quickly followed suit in a grand effort to slow down the spread to athletes and fans all across the country. Play has either been cancelled or postponed for every major sports league and sporting event for the foreseeable future.
The avid fan and the avid sports bettor is left to ponder what is next?
The recently updated NBA futures odds suggest that the layoff will add value those top three teams.
Does mean that the Bucks, Lakers and Clippers will also be good teams to go with once play does resume?
Milwaukee was 53-12 straight-up with a 36-29 record against the spread. The Lakers won 49 of their first 63 games SU while going 35-27-1 ATS. The Clippers are 44-20 SU and 35-29 ATS.
The odds might suggest that regular season play will be completely suspended with the league starting back up with the opening round of the playoffs.
If that is the case, the value in betting the early games of any best-of-seven playoff series lean towards the favorites. The teams with the best individual players should prevail given the thick coat of rust that is going to be covering every NBA team.
Soft Total Lines
It is also interesting to speculate how this extended break impacts total line bets. Season-to-date, the total went OVER in 52.3 percent of the games played. Over the past 30 days of games, this trend basically remained constant.
Once play does resume, will all that rust impact shooting or defensive play? The top NBA scorers are going to do everything possible to keep their shooting touch sharp.
In the absence of team practices of other group activities, the rust is going to settle in on defensive play.
The line setters could have trouble settling into the NBA’s ‘new norm’ with their initial total lines. The lean could be towards the OVER on potentially softer numbers right out of the gate.
A big part of the services that my
marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for
sports betting websites.I have
been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years
following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.
I consider myself extremely
fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports.
I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in
sports. It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try
and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability
in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and
recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over
the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no
such thing as a lock.
The main objective with my writing
style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics
that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there
are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still
enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every
pick I make.
My love of sports started a long
time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I
was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the
Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would
honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games during quite a few
pretty dismal seasons. I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’
games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert
Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to
their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 37 years later and am I
still waiting patiently for my favorite team to bring home the Super Bowl title
my dad never got to celebrate.