We all love this time of year when the Madness of March is purely intoxicating. Every game means something and the loser goes home while the winner advances.
As for us as college basketball bettors, we take on different characteristics ourselves. Watching the games we wagered on, our language becomes even "colorful" and we start an unusually large number of sentences with "What The......". Frankly, we're surprised the medical and pharmaceutical companies does not advertise more about blood pressure monitors and over the counter medicine to take starting March 1. Plus, it's a given alcohol consumption rises.
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So what can we do to curtail the amount of stress we feel even before the Big Dance starts, just follow these betting tips.
-Realize The Tournaments Are A New Season
If a team has not met expectations during the regular season, the coach will attempt to sell them on the fact that if they win the postseason tournament they have an automatic invite to the NCAA Tournament. That is a powerful motivator for teams that have underperformed all year and if they over-perform for a week, all is forgiven.
Everyone's slate been wiped clean and if a team has little reason to believe they can win their conference tourney, but if they are a game or two below .500 but can win a couple of times, they could reach the NIT or some other postseason event; that means more playing time and chance to win a trophy.
-Consider Recent Performance And Pedigree
At this point, how a team has played all season does not count for much. Instead, focus on how any team has played in their last five to eight contests. Specifically, look at offensive and defensive shooting percentages and are they three or more points different either way from season norms. This could tell you about how they could play.
Besides wins and losses, are they covering spreads? If a team is or is not, look at which roles this happened and make it relatable to the next game they are playing. Has an underdog covered five of six times and they are facing a favorite that is just 1-4 ATS lately? This could be a telltale sign of what might happen.
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Though it does not always work this way, the oddsmakers know what teams typically reach the semifinals and finals no matter where they finished in the regular season. (They also know who falters) Look for coaches with a track record of success or failure in these tournaments.
-Look For Underdogs With Tight Spreads
Because most of the tournaments are held at neutral sites, there will be a number of spreads that are 3 or lower. Besides using normal statistical handicapping methods, ask these two questions, one on the favorite and one on the underdog.
For the favorite: What edge do they have that can assure they will cover the spread?
For the underdog: Can or will this team win the game outright?
Come up with firm reasons about why for either and you will have success betting these contests.
-Consider Revenge But Do Not Rely On It
Today's players are different. It used to be very hard to beat a team three times in the same season, now it happens all the time. Players today are less motivated by revenge and instead feel they have an edge because they understand how to beat an opponent.
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The best revenge situation for any conference tournament is if one team has lost a really close contest or blown out in playing poorly within the previous two weeks. That would still be fresh in a team's mind.
-Know If A Home Court is Applicable
In many of the smaller tournaments, the early rounds might be played on home courts or team is the host for this year's event. That does guarantee they will win and cover, but it is something you have to know.
-Bet Wisely And Within Your Budget
From Tuesday thru Saturday leading to Selection Sunday, there are games from morning to bedtime. And if you have a lot of devices, you could easily have four or more games to watch at the same time. Determine a March Madness budget for the entire time, stick to it and limit "maybe" plays and look strictly for winners to build a bankroll.