BPL Free Pick | FC Minsk vs. Dinamo Minsk

With the large majority of sports leagues now postponing their season due to coronavirus, the betting board isn’t what it used to be, there are still plenty of betting options though. I’ve selected a soccer match from the Belarus Premier League.

I’ll be honest, I don’t follow the BPL, but I’ve spent the day going through this weekend’s matches to find a best bet that I’m confident in backing. I’m now 4-0-2 on my free picks here at SAS.

 


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Game: FC Minsk (1-0-0) vs. Dinamo Minsk (0-0-1)

When: 10:00 AM, Saturday, March 28th, 2020

Where: FC Minsk Stadium, Minsk, Belarus

Current Line: FC Minsk (+231) / Dinamo Minsk (+106) / Draw (+190)

Asian Handicap: FC Minsk +0.5 (-136) vs. Dinamo Minsk -0.5 (+106)

Total: Over 2.5 Goals (+127) vs. Under 2.5 Goals (-157)


 

The BPL got underway last weekend. FC Minsk opened the season with a win against Belshina (3-1), while Dinamo started the season with an unexpected loss to Ruh Brest (1-0).

Dinamo allowed an early goal (26th min.), and despite pushing back, they failed to score. They were huge favorites in the match and they’ll be desperate to find their form on Saturday.

Dinamo Has Dominated the H2H Series

Dinamo have gone undefeated (12-5-0) in the last 17 H2H matches against Minsk. The last time Minsk was able to defeat Dinamo was back in 2011, however, the recent results have been closer.

Dating back to 2016, Minsk have drawn three of four H2H matches at home.

 


BELARUS: PREMIER LEAGUE | Dinamo Minsk 3-2 Minsk | 11.08.2019


 

Minsk Are Tough at Home

It’s hard to look past the H2H results in this series, but Minsk are a strong home team.

Looking at results from the Belarus Premier League only, Minsk have won 8 of their last 10 home matches and they’ve kept a clean sheet in 4 of their last 5 home matches.

Last season, Minsk went 8-4-3 (28 Points) at home and 1-5-9 (8 Points) in away matches.

What’s Wrong With Dinamo?

Dinamo finished the 2019 Belarus Premier League in 4th place (50 points), but they struggled mightily down the stretch. They finished last season on a 1-4-4 run in their final nine matches.

So far in 2020, Dinamo lost their season opener as a huge favorite and they also lost both of their matches against BATE Borisov in March, which eliminated them from the Belarus Cup.

With Dinamo winning just 1 of their last 10 BPL matches, should they even be favored?

At the end of last season, Dinamo made big changes. They brought in more than 10 new players during the winter transfer window. Seven of those players started against Ruh Brest.

With so many new players, it’s going to take a little while to build chemistry.

Back FC Minsk on the Asian Handicap

My best bet in this match is FC Mink +0.5 (-136) at America’s Bookie.

I looked at several bookies and AB had the best AH odds on FC Minsk at -136.

For those unfamiliar with Asian handicaps, +0.5 means we’ll win if FC Minsk win or draw this match.

With 3 of the last 4 H2H matches at FC Minsk Stadium ending in a draw and Dinamo struggling to defeat anyone in the BPL, I’m confident the home team will put up a strong fight.

This is a great opportunity for Minsk to defeat Dinamo, something they haven’t done in nearly a decade. Minsk looked great in their opener and it was nice to see them pile on the goals.

Today’s BPL Free Pick: FC Minsk +0.5 (-136)

Pick by Scott

About the Author

Scott is one of our newest writer and handicapper here at ScoresAndStats.com, but he has been writing sports betting content for more than a decade online. His work has been featured on many websites.

 

Scott is a millennial (born in 1989) who grew up in Toronto, Canada and he has never left the big city. He grew up playing a few sports (hockey, soccer and baseball) when he was younger. His favorite sport was hockey and he played goalie. He still likes to get out to the rinks to play some pick-up with his buddies.

 

Growing up in Toronto, Scott is a huge fan of all Toronto teams.

 

He watches the Maple Leafs and Raptors religiously. Scott also enjoys watching the Blue Jays, Argonauts and TFC.

 

His best sports memory was when the Raptors were crowned the 2019 NBA Champions. Unfortunately, he’s still waiting for the Maple Leafs to win a Stanley Cup during his lifetime.

 

Scott may be a diehard fan of Toronto sports teams, but he loves watching all sports. He’s a huge UFC fan (look for his UFC betting articles for most events) and he’ll watch just about anything, including tennis, golf, soccer and cricket.

 

Scott is a numbers guy and he likes digging deep into the statistics when handicapping games. He also likes to identify value bets in markets most bettors overlook, including player/team props.

 

When he’s not handicapping and watching sports, he enjoys golfing in the warmer months. He also loves burgers and poutine. Not only is that his favorite meal, but he has tried over 100 burgers in Toronto and he’s constantly looking for the best new burgers in the city.